On the fifth day of war, several things are slightly clearer: Iran’s regime is still solidly in place and apparently moving toward Khamenei’s succession; there has been no mass uprising in Iran, mainly because it’s very difficult to organize anything in the midst of chaos; bombing government or regime buildings does virtually nothing to force regimes out; Hezbollah’s entry into the battle is both tied to, and separate from, Iran’s fate, because even if Iran emerges stronger from the war, it’s highly unlikely Israel will cease its operations in Lebanon until it can impose conditions it wants; and for the time being, the U.S. and Israel seem far from achieving their objectives on the nuclear, ballistic missile, and regional allies front. Supplies of armaments will be an important variable, and if Gen. Dan Caine was correct, this could emerge as a major problem in the coming weeks, probably for both sides. I could say more, but all the signs are that the situation is becoming much more complicated, which will ultimately impact Trump’s decisions.