
Full-Time Trader focused on equities, options, and market structure. Sharing real-time ideas and market education. Founder of Altori Research @altoriresearch
Joined May 2022
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What happens if you take $SPY 0DTE calls with the same $500 every single trade for 300 trades?
Starting account: $2,000
Win rate: 80%. That's my actual win rate.
1/3 off at +25%, 1/3 at +50%, 1/3 at +75%
Hard stop at -50%. No exceptions.
And NO 100%+ trades. The max win in this sim is 75%. Anyone who's been in Altori knows I hit 100-200% bangers all the time... none of those are in here. This is the boring version.
A full winner pays +$250. A loser costs -$250. Same size on both sides... so where's the edge?
Win rate. 4 out of 5 trades pay you, and the 5th one is capped. That's +$150 a trade on average. Over 300 trades the account went from $2,000 to $47,000.
Look at the red bars at the bottom. The losses are there the whole time. Back to back. Sometimes a few in a row. The account still goes up because no loss was ever allowed to get past -50%.
This only works with discipline and following the rules...
Same 80% win rate. Change two things:
You panic and sell every winner at +25%.
You let losers ride to -80% because "it'll come back."
Your edge drops from $150 a trade to $20. Over 300 trades that's $6,000 instead of $45,000. Same entries, same win rate.
The setup didn't make the money. Following the rules every single time did.
Most people don't have a strategy problem. They have a follow-through problem.
These are of course simulated results, based on my own statistics, not real trades.
I’m sry, but as of this evening I’m going to start blocking a lot of individuals on this platform. Criticism will not be blocked but trolling will. It’s a waste of my time and space in my comments and you obviously have no interest in bettering your life.
Crypto is dead. The only way to make money online is max leverage $SPX options
Clint Awana retweeted
CLINT FOMC PREDICTION: Fed will hold rates tomorrow with Warsh mentioning potential hikes in December.
I ask this every so often because it is important to me. What further transparency would you like to see from me?
I see some accounts on here run paid discords without trading themselves, and I’m perfectly fine with that.
Of course, their analysis should still be top tier and professional and ensure their members are learning, but I really do not care about their sizing unless they’re are intentionally misleading or taking advantage of their paying subscribers.
You think Jim Cramer and Warren Buffett are taking positions in every single stock they give their thoughts on??
CLINT FOMC PREDICTION: Fed will hold rates tomorrow with Warsh mentioning potential hikes in December.
Every October Fed decision since 1998.
8 holds. 7 cuts. 0 hikes. The Fed has not hiked in October once in the modern era.
So what happens Wednesday?
Context matters here. The Fed just hiked in September for the first time in 3 years. Rates sit at 3.75 to 4.00%. No October meeting in this data has ever come right after a hike.
Now layer in the election. In election year Octobers the Fed held 4 times and cut 3. The cuts only came during real stress: LTCM in 1998 and the financial crisis in 2008. Zero hikes heading into a vote. Midterms are next Tuesday.
Then there's yields. The 10 year is sitting near 5% after printing its highest level since 2002 earlier this month. That's higher than every October meeting since 2000.
When the 10 year was 4.5% or higher in October, the Fed held 3 times and cut 2. Both cuts had a shock attached: 9/11 in 2001 and the credit crunch in 2007. No shock, no move.
Futures are pricing roughly a 91% chance of a hold. So history, the election calendar, and the market all point the same way. The decision probably isn't the trade. The tone is.
If Warsh leans into a December hike, yields likely stay heavy and rate sensitive names feel it. If he sounds patient, watch the 10 year come off and risk catch a bid.
$BA down -21% on the year. This looks like a really tempting buy right now at these prices.
I’m send $200 of today’s winnings on $QQQ to 2 winners who like and comment :)
$TSLA proved me correct :)
Here’s what makes me different from other traders on this platform; I livestream all my stuff. All my entries, trims, stop losses analysis, swing, you name it.
Would it be easier to just post entries and exits without streaming? Absolutely. But people want to see transparency.












