dav_fifa (@dav_fifa) profile picture

FPL since 2008. Stat person. Chelsea Fan. CFC. London is Blue. KTBFFH!

Joined January 2018
Photo by dav_fifa (@dav_fifa)Photo by dav_fifa (@dav_fifa)Photo by dav_fifa (@dav_fifa)Photo by dav_fifa (@dav_fifa)Photo by dav_fifa (@dav_fifa)Photo by dav_fifa (@dav_fifa)Photo by dav_fifa (@dav_fifa)Photo by dav_fifa (@dav_fifa)Photo by dav_fifa (@dav_fifa)Photo by dav_fifa (@dav_fifa)
This season I’m building a FPL forecasting + optimisation engine with the help of AI - just to test a more systematic way of playing and share the process with others interested in FPL/data. It goes from xG/xA + xMinutes → xPts → legal GW1–6 squad optimisation. #FPL #Analytics
1
462
The UK taxpayer has footed the bill due to government mismanagement. Over 10 years here are some of the worst cases: 🧵
54
486
159
1,550
331,152
dav_fifa retweeted
We have taken down our paywall for 48 hours - for you to enjoy some of our reporting about Manchester City. First up - The men behind Manchester City: The dark side By Nick McGeehan josimarfootball.com/2018/08/…
18
678
41
2,439
391,860
🚨 Tony Cascarino on Arsenal demanding answers over the Sunderland penalty: 🗣️“Arsenal won the game 2-0, the penalty was saved, and they still want a meeting about it. If this is how Arsenal are going to behave every time a referee makes a decision they dislike, then we might as well stop playing football and let Arteta referee his own matches. They want every decision explained when it goes against them, but when decisions go their way, suddenly it’s ‘part of football.’ You cannot spend an entire season talking about referees and then expect people to take you seriously when you call yourselves title contenders.”
373
433
52
3,526
155,930
Just wear Arsenal jersey and you can do everything on the pitch 😂😂😂 nitter.gq/chapelmarketafc/status…
So Arsenal players can do everything on the pitch and get no cautioned
366
3,256
353
25,365
1,049,249
Absolutely brilliant from Enzo Fernandez! 👏 nitter.gq/MediaForNOT/status/209…
10
54
12
2,051
278,042
Reece (CAPTAIN) James: "If you’ve got to persuade them to help carry the bricks, they aren’t the ones to build with” 👊
18
475
15
5,860
93,466
dav_fifa retweeted
134 pts on BB2. 2.6m up to 87k. Tzolis and Cov the only letdowns
7
1
57
1,942
dav_fifa retweeted
🚨 John Terry on Enzo Fernández pushing to leave Chelsea: 🎙️ “I’m sorry, but I’m struggling with this one. A vice-captain agitating for the exit and asking not to be included in squad against certain teams is not leadership. That’s the opposite. “I understand players have ambitions. City are interested, fine. But as VC you calm the dressing room, you don’t stir it. In our day, miss the Champions League and the wages dropped. Bonuses gone. Nobody liked it. You still trained, still played, still dragged the club back. You didn’t pick and choose fixtures. “This sets a rotten example. Young lads are watching. If he stays and I’m Alonso, that armband comes off. You don’t unsettle the group and keep the privilege. The question’s simple: how is that a vice-captain?”
94
227
38
1,756
115,622
dav_fifa retweeted
JT confirms he’s given Martinez the Green light to take No26 shirt
46
570
50
7,938
756,625
dav_fifa retweeted
Any Chelsea fan saying yes to Martinez clearly doesn’t know what they’re asking for or doesn’t watch him. You want to bin Sanchez for his bozo moments (rightfully so) then advocate for Martinez, who’s just as much of a bozo
🚨👇Emi Martinez
75%Yes
25%No
28,815 votes • Final results
408
310
194
2,819
929,161
dav_fifa retweeted
26/27 GW1 Match Predictions 📅📊 Here is an early pre-presser look at what we might expect in the first gameweek of this season.
2
12
1
119
87,524
Turning natural sentences into FPL solver constraints was a big challenge (and making it cover almost anything you'd want to say was the harder part) but we finally have it. Very proud of this one! Now you can test your plans and beliefs, directly with the solver:🤟 - price points - ownership - projected minutes - team stacks - formations - transfers and hits - free transfers and itb - chip timing Live for pro members.
13
8
4
127
21,758
dav_fifa retweeted
The free model is now live! app.fplreview.com/free This acts as a useful, freely accessible reference and gives everyone a chance to play around with the planning tools. This season the ability to blend team strengths from the default free model to the @elevenify numbers is also available to free access users You can connect via Patreon (without a paid subscription) to save drafts & inputs. Non-logged in guest drafts & inputs only persist for the session. Please note, the free model projections differ from the Massive Data Model
6
5
1
61
11,129
Of the 120 players with zero PL mins: • 50 foreign senior transfers • 39 promoted seniors • 11 GK/reserves • 8 returning from non-PL • 7 domestic non-PL transfers • 4 academy/youth • 1 little/no senior history #FPL #Analytics
Replying to @dav_fifa
The low-data group is much larger than I expected: • 120 players: 0 PL minutes • 71: 1–299 mins • 44: 300–899 mins • 61: 900–1,799 mins So 235/581 players have fewer than 900 PL minutes in the 3-season window. #FPL
1
3
418
Where the 115 sparse-PL players had recent senior routes: • Championship 29 • La Liga 9 • Bundesliga 7 • Brazil Série A 7 • Eredivisie 6 • Ligue 1 5 • League One 5 • Serie A 4 #FPL
1
94
These league counts overlap: loans/transfers mean one player can appear in multiple leagues. The point: low PL mins ≠ little senior experience. Much of the data sits outside the PL. #FPL
50
One issue to quantify before trusting the model too much: how much Premier League history do current FPL players actually have? Across the current 581-player pool, only 285 (49.1%) have 1,800+ PL minutes in the last 3 seasons. #FPL #Analytics
2
1
5
4,543
The 120 players with zero PL minutes are not all the same problem. 65 are at promoted clubs. 55 are still unresolved from the data I currently hold — they could include foreign signings, academy players, recent breakthroughs or other cases. #FPL
1
191
Those groups need different modelling paths. A player with 2,500 Bundesliga minutes should not be treated the same as an academy player with no senior top-flight history, even though both currently show “0 PL minutes”. #FPL
161