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Posting information for my own records. Not financial advice. Do your own research & due diligence. Your decisions, your responsibility. Knowledge empowers.

USA
Joined February 2008
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To Trade or Not to Trade, That is the Question- learntotradethemarket.com/fo…
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📉 $SPY Tapping 761 in Premarket$SPY has tagged 761 four times so far in premarket. A number of big stocks are taking hits.For context: recent high was 781.62. That’s only about 20 points off the high — not a deep washout yet, but the tape is soft into the open.Technicals: Repeated tests of 761 show sellers are active Still early — premarket can still shift First cash-session tell is whether 761 holds or breaks Lose 761 early and 758–759 comes into play Hold 761 and a bounce toward 763–765 is possible Key Levels for Today: Resistance: 763–765 then 767–769 Immediate Support: 761 Stronger Support: 758–759 then 755–756 Bias: Cautious into the open. 761 is the line. Hold it and this can stabilize. Break it and the pullback from 781.62 has more room.Tapping 761 four times. How far does the drop go at the bell?#SPY #SPX #StockMarket #Trading #PremarketDisclaimer: Not financial advice. For entertainment & educational purposes only. Always do your own research (DYOR) and trade at your own risk. Past performance ≠ future results.
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📊 Neutral Chop Under VWAP: $SPY & $SPX12:36 PM ET $SPY at 764.16 (down ~1.16%) $SPX at 7,666.06 (down ~91 pts / 1.17%) No new lows since the 10:35 flush (SPY 762.10 / SPX 7,646.05). Noon rally made higher lows, then stalled under the bigger moving averages and slipped back just under VWAP.Structure: Rising lows: 762.10 → 762.40 → 763.98 Range: SPY 762.10–765.91 / SPX 7,646–7,683 Bullish RSI divergence on the 11:40 retest led to the noon bounce Cleared VWAP briefly around 11:55, then lost it on the 12:30 bar Technicals: Under the 5-min 9/20/50 EMAs (50 EMA ~766.15) Under the 15-min 20 EMA (~766.61) VWAP: SPY 764.30 / SPX 7,671.82 5-min RSI ~43, rolling over from 55 Volume light outside a few large block prints News backdrop: Tech/AI leading the selling (Nasdaq ~-2%), oil highest since May on geopolitics, bonds rallying, defensives holding up.Afternoon Triggers: Bullish: SPY back above 764.60 then break 765.91 (SPX 7,683) → targets 766.60 then 767.71 (SPX 7,703) Bearish: SPY below 763.98 then 762.10 (SPX 7,646) → targets 760.64 (SPX 7,632), then 760 / 7,600 Chop with a slight lean lower while under VWAP. 765.91 or 762.10 decides the next leg.#SPY #SPX #StockMarket #TradingDisclaimer: Not financial advice. For entertainment & educational purposes only. Always do your own research (DYOR) and trade at your own risk. Past performance ≠ future results.
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Ahh the slow grind!
algos slowly buying everything. $SPY vwap defended $TSLA holding hods, no sell side. $NVDA defended vwap curl up, 218+ is key for opening range breakout we're choppy, but leaning bullish. slow buys
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📈 Bounce Off the Lows: $SPY 768 | $SPX 7,710 Popped from the morning lows: $SPY from 765 to 768 $SPX from 7,685 to 7,710 Technicals: Dip got bought Short-term momentum flipped positive off the lows Still under the opens — this is a bounce, not a full reclaim yet Needs a hold above 768 / 7,710 to keep the recovery alive Key Levels Right Now: Resistance: SPY 769–770 / SPX 7,730–7,750 Immediate Support: SPY 766–767 / SPX 7,690–7,700 Stronger Support: SPY 765 / SPX 7,685 Bias: Neutral to cautiously bullish while above the lows. Hold 765 / 7,685 and bulls can press the opens. Lose those lows and the bounce fails. Bounced from 765 / 7,685. Hold it or fade back? #SPY #SPX #StockMarket #Trading Disclaimer: Not financial advice. For entertainment & educational purposes only. Always do your own research (DYOR) and trade at your own risk. Past performance ≠ future results.
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📊 Soft Open, Mixed Tape: $SPY & $SPX Monday so far: $SPX opened 7,702, now 7,790 $SPY opened 767, now 766 Technicals: SPX bounced well off the open SPY is lagging and sitting just under its open Short-term momentum is mixed — index strength vs ETF softness First hour will decide if SPY catches up or if the divergence grows Key Levels Right Now: Resistance: SPY 767–769 / SPX 7,800–7,820 Immediate Support: SPY 765–766 / SPX 7,770–7,780 Stronger Support: SPY 763–764 / SPX 7,740–7,750 Bias: Neutral, with SPX firmer than SPY. SPY needs to reclaim 767 to match the index. Hold 765–766 and the bounce can continue. Lose it and 763–764 comes next. SPX up off 7,702. SPY still under its open. Catch-up or more lag? #SPY #SPX #StockMarket #Trading Disclaimer: Not financial advice. For entertainment & educational purposes only. Always do your own research (DYOR) and trade at your own risk. Past performance ≠ future results.
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📉 Soft Open: $SPY & $SPX Just after the bell: $SPY opened around 773 $SPX opened around 7,742 Both starting to pull back Technicals: Early weakness right out of the gate Short-term momentum is soft First 15–30 minutes will decide if this is a quick flush or the start of a down day Watch whether the open gets reclaimed or the fade extends Key Levels for Today: Resistance: SPY 774–776 / SPX 7,750–7,770 Immediate Support: SPY 771–772 / SPX 7,720–7,730 Stronger Support: SPY 769–770 / SPX 7,700–7,710 Bias: Cautious into the open. Hold 771–772 / 7,720 and this can stabilize. Lose those and the pullback has room. Reclaim the open to flip it back to strength. Opened 773 / 7,742 and fading. Bounce or more downside? #SPY #SPX #StockMarket #Trading Disclaimer: Not financial advice. For entertainment & educational purposes only. Always do your own research (DYOR) and trade at your own risk. Past performance ≠ future results.
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📉 Open Fade, Bounce Off the Lows: $SPY & $SPX Today so far: $SPY opened 774.93, ran to 776, flushed to 771.20, now 772 $SPX opened 7,774.18, ran to 7,789.50, flushed to 7,737.41, now 7,745.94 Technicals: Early strength got sold hard Dip buyers showed up near 771.20 / 7,737.41 Bounce is real, but both are still under the open Short-term momentum is mixed — recovery, not a full reclaim yet Key Levels Right Now: Resistance: SPY 774.93–776 / SPX 7,774–7,789 Immediate Support: SPY 771.20 / SPX 7,737.41 Stronger Support: SPY 769–770 / SPX 7,720–7,730 Bias: Neutral. Hold 771.20 / 7,737.41 and bulls can try the opens again. Lose those lows and the fade extends. Reclaim 774.93 / 7,774 to flip the tape. Opened higher, flushed to 771.20 / 7,737, now bouncing. Dip bought or just a pause? #SPY #SPX #StockMarket #Trading Disclaimer: Not financial advice. For entertainment & educational purposes only. Always do your own research (DYOR) and trade at your own risk. Past performance ≠ future results.
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Rock 'Em Sock 'Em: Then to Now The changes are fun to watch. What toy's have you used AI on to show the change? #toys #Ai
🤖 Made with AI
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📈 Open Bounce: $SPY & $SPX Just after the bell: $SPY opened 777.34, popped to 778.50 $SPX opened 7,795.27, popped to 7,817 Technicals: Soft open got bought quickly Short-term momentum flipped positive off the open Still under the premarket high of 778.82 on SPY First test is whether this pop holds or fades back to the open Key Levels Right Now: Resistance: SPY 778.82 then 780 / SPX 7,820–7,830 Immediate Support: SPY 777.34 (open) / SPX 7,795 Stronger Support: SPY 776–777 / SPX 7,780 Bias: Neutral to cautiously bullish while above the opens. Hold 777.34 / 7,795 and bulls can press 778.82 / 7,820. Lose the opens and the premarket fade is back. Opened 777.34 / 7,795, now 778.50 / 7,817. Hold the pop or fade it? #SPY #SPX #StockMarket #Trading Disclaimer: Not financial advice. For entertainment & educational purposes only. Always do your own research (DYOR) and trade at your own risk. Past performance ≠ future results.
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📉 Soft Open Ahead: $SPY & $SPX Premarket so far: $SPY tagged a high of 778.82, then dropped to 777 Set to open around 777 $SPX also down from yesterday’s close Technicals: Overnight strength got sold into the open Short-term momentum is soft after the premarket fade 778.82 is now the first resistance if this opens weak First 15–30 minutes will decide if 777 holds or if more selling shows up Key Levels for Today: Resistance: 778.82 then 780–782 Immediate Support: 776–777 Stronger Support: 774–775 Bias: Cautious into the open. Hold 776–777 and this can stabilize. Lose 776 early and 774–775 comes into play. Reclaim 778.82 to flip the premarket fade. Premarket high 778.82, opening near 777. Bounce or more downside at the bell? #SPY #SPX #StockMarket #Trading #Premarket Disclaimer: Not financial advice. For entertainment & educational purposes only. Always do your own research (DYOR) and trade at your own risk. Past performance ≠ future results.
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📊 Split Tape: $SPY vs $SPX Friday so far: $SPY opened 776.24, tagged the 50 SMA at 776.86, dropped through the 20 and 9 SMA to 775.415, then bounced back to the 9 SMA at 776.17 $SPX opened 7,786.36, ran to 7,796.43, dipped to 7,779.45, now 7,790 — and stayed above the 9 SMA the whole time Technicals: SPY got rejected at the 50 and slipped under its short-term averages SPX held its 9 SMA — relative strength is with the index SPY is back testing the 9 at 776.17. That’s the line for the ETF If SPY can’t reclaim the 9 while SPX holds its own, the bounce is still incomplete Key Levels Right Now: Resistance: SPY 776.86 (50 SMA) / SPX 7,796.43 Immediate Support: SPY 776.17 (9 SMA) / SPX 7,779.45 Stronger Support: SPY 775.415 / SPX 7,770 Bias: Neutral, with SPX firmer than SPY. SPY needs to hold 776.17 and reclaim 776.86. SPX stays constructive above 7,779.45. SPY back at the 9. SPX never left its 9. Catch-up or more divergence? #SPY #SPX #StockMarket #Trading Disclaimer: Not financial advice. For entertainment & educational purposes only. Always do your own research (DYOR) and trade at your own risk. Past performance ≠ future results.
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📉 Off the Highs: $SPY Yesterday’s high: 781.62
Now: 774.09 That’s a sharp give-back from the recent push. Technicals: •Failed to hold the 781.62 high •Selling accelerated into this morning’s session •Short-term momentum flipped negative •Chart low so far near 773.27 — that’s the first line •Still a pullback until 773 breaks and holds below Key Levels Right Now: •Resistance: 776–778 then 781.62 •Immediate Support: 773.27–774 •Stronger Support: 770–772 Bias: Cautious short-term. Hold 773.27 and this can stabilize. Lose it and 770–772 comes next. Reclaim 776–778 to slow the fade. 781.62 → 774.09. Dip buy or more downside into midday? #SPY #SPX #StockMarket #Trading Disclaimer: Not financial advice. For entertainment & educational purposes only. Always do your own research (DYOR) and trade at your own risk. Past performance ≠ future results.
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📈 Holding the 9 SMA: $SPY & $SPX Monday so far: $SPY opened 769.69, hit 772.96, now 772.75 — testing the 9 SMA at 772.45 $SPX opened 7,730.86, hit 7,758.32, now 7,752.45 Technicals: Strong open-to-high push on both Short-term momentum still positive SPY’s 9 SMA at 772.45 is the first line Hold it and the grind stays intact. Lose it and the morning high starts to fade Key Levels Right Now: Resistance / Targets: SPY 772.96–776 / SPX 7,758–7,780 Immediate Support: SPY 772.45 (9 SMA) / SPX 7,745–7,750 Stronger Support: SPY 769.69 (open) / SPX 7,730.86 Bias: Cautiously bullish while SPY holds the 9 SMA. Hold 772.45 / 7,750 and bulls can press the highs again. Lose them and the opens come back into play. SPY 772.75 on the 9. SPX 7,752.45 off the 7,758 high. Hold or fade? #SPY #SPX #StockMarket #Trading Disclaimer: Not financial advice. For entertainment & educational purposes only. Always do your own research (DYOR) and trade at your own risk. Past performance ≠ future results.
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📊 Chop Under the 50 SMA: $SPY Today so far: Opened 770.58 Ran to 772.65 Flushed to 767.14 in about 45 minutes Bounced back to the 20 SMA (~769.90) about 40 minutes later Since then, chopping — now 769.42 Technicals: Early high got sold hard, then the dip got bought Price is stuck between the 20 SMA (769.14) and the 50 SMA (770.27) 9 SMA is converging into the 20 SMA — that coil usually resolves one way or the other Short-term momentum flat after the open-fade / bounce 767.14 is the morning low and the line if this chop breaks down Key Levels Right Now: Resistance: 770.27 (50 SMA) then 772.65 (HOD) Immediate Support: 769.14 (20 SMA) then 767.14 Stronger Support: 765–766 Bias: Neutral. Hold the 20 SMA at 769.14 and bulls can try the 50 SMA at 770.27. Lose 767.14 and the morning flush extends. A clean hold over 770.27 puts 772.65 back in play. 9 and 20 are converging under the 50. Break up or roll over? #SPY #SPX #StockMarket #Trading Disclaimer: Not financial advice. For entertainment & educational purposes only. Always do your own research (DYOR) and trade at your own risk. Past performance ≠ future results.
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$SPCX is trying to turn the post-IPO wreckage into a base. Weekly chart shows the June blow-off at 225.64, the washout to 104.83, and this week pushing back through the mid-150s. **See Weekly Chart** IPO was June 12 at $135. It spiked to a 52-week high of 225.64 within days, then gave most of it back down to 104.83. Price is now about 156, roughly 31% off the high and about 49% off the low. This week’s range on your chart is 145.36–156.75, last around 156.25, up about 5%. That is a higher low off the summer floor and a push back over the 150 area that stalled the bounce in September. Structure is repair, not a confirmed uptrend. The stock is still well under the breakdown zone from the June spike. Levels that matter: - Hold 145–148 (this week’s low / prior close area). Lose that and 140, then the 105 low, come back into play. - First supply is 160–170. A weekly close above 160 opens 180–190, where the post-IPO air pocket starts. - 225.64 is the only real high-water mark. Street targets cluster near there, so that zone is both technical and narrative resistance. **News behind the bid** The tape is reacting to launch cadence and the AI/Starlink story, not earnings. Starship Flight 14 reached orbit and deployed 26 Starlink V3 satellites. Gene Munster called it a bigger week than most investors realize and said a realistic path toward 2,000-plus annual launches by 2030 could more than double the stock from the high-140s. Thursday also brought NASA’s Crew-13 on Falcon 9 and a $68.1 million Filtronic follow-on order. ETFs bought about $110 million of SPCX on Tuesday. Q2 revenue was $7.8 billion, up 92% year over year; connectivity was $4.3 billion and the AI segment $2.6 billion, up 248%. Needham has framed compute deals as a path toward a $54 billion AI run rate inside a $100 billion ARR target. UBS is looking for a Q3 beat ($13.8 billion revenue, $7.5 billion adjusted EBITDA vs. Street $12.9 billion / $6.9 billion). **Outlook** Bias is cautiously constructive while 145 holds. A weekly close over 160 would be the first real tell that the base is resolving higher, with 180–190 next and 225 the bigger test. Wall Street is still Buy-leaning: average targets sit around $226–$235, roughly 45–55% above the recent $148 close, with a wide range ($75 to $800). That upside case rests on Starship scaling Starlink V3 and orbital compute. The risk case is the valuation. Market cap is about $2 trillion on roughly $23 billion of trailing revenue, the company is still loss-making, and beta has been running 3–5. One soft launch week or a reset in the AI-ARR narrative and this bounce can fail fast. Not advice. Levels can shift with the open. Sources: [stockanalysis.com](stockanalysis.com/stocks/spc…), [Benzinga on Munster](benzinga.com/news/space/26/0…), [Benzinga launch/Filtronic](benzinga.com/trading-ideas/m…), [Motley Fool on Starship V3](fool.com/investing/2026/10/0…), [TipRanks/UBS](tipranks.com/news/spacex-sto…).
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📉 Open Fade, Then a Bounce: $SPY & $SPX Today so far: $SPY opened higher, tagged 765.39, flushed to 758.79, now back to 761.89 $SPX hit a low of 7,616.78, now at 7,649.91 Technicals: Early strength got sold Dip buyers showed up off 758.79 / 7,616.78 Bounce is real, but price is still under the morning high Short-term momentum mixed — this is a recovery, not a full reclaim yet Key Levels Right Now: Resistance: 763–765.39 SPY / 7,660–7,680 SPX Immediate Support: 760–761.89 SPY / 7,640–7,650 SPX Stronger Support: 758.79 SPY / 7,616.78 SPX Bias: Neutral. Hold 758.79 / 7,616.78 and bulls can keep pressing the bounce. Lose that low and the morning flush extends. Reclaim 765.39 to flip the tape back to strength. Tagged 765.39, flushed to 758.79, now 761.89. Dip bought or just a pause? #SPY #SPX #StockMarket #Trading Disclaimer: Not financial advice. For entertainment & educational purposes only. Always do your own research (DYOR) and trade at your own risk. Past performance ≠ future results.
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📈 $SPY Reclaims the Open After the Washout Today’s tape: Opened 768.38 Faded to 763.71 Ripped to 769.57 $SPX tagged 7,724.69 News vs price: Morning drop was news-driven — Trump rejected Iran’s Hormuz proposal, oil jumped, yields spiked. The noon burst was not a new headline. That was dip-buying / a squeeze off 763.71. Technicals: Failed the open, flushed, then reclaimed it Short-term momentum flipped on the bounce 768.38 is now support if this hold is real 763.71 is the fail line Key Levels: Resistance: 770–772 SPY / 7,730–7,750 SPX Immediate Support: 768.38 then 765.54 Stronger Support: 763.71 Bias: Neutral to cautiously bullish while above the open. Hold 768.38 and 770–772 is next. Lose 763.71 and the morning fade is back on. Oil and yields hit first. Buyers showed up at 763.71. Now the open is the tell. #SPY #SPX #StockMarket #Trading Disclaimer: Not financial advice. For entertainment & educational purposes only. Always do your own research (DYOR) and trade at your own risk. Past performance ≠ future results.
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📉 Monday Fade, Then a Bounce: $SPY Today so far: Opened at 768.38 Dropped to 767, bounced to 768.50 Grinded down to 763.71 Now back up to 765.54 Technicals: Failed to hold the open Slow bleed into midday, then buyers showed up off 763.71 Short-term momentum mixed — bounce is real, but still below the 768 open 763.71 is the line if this recovery fails Key Levels Right Now: Resistance: 767–768.50 SPY / 7,690–7,710 SPX Immediate Support: 763.71–765 SPY / 7,650–7,670 SPX Stronger Support: 761–762 SPY / 7,630–7,640 SPX Bias: Neutral. Hold 763.71 and bulls can try the open again. Lose it and 761–762 comes next. Opened 768, flushed to 763.71, now 765.54. Reclaim the open or fade into the afternoon? #SPY #SPX #StockMarket #Trading Disclaimer: Not financial advice. For entertainment & educational purposes only. Always do your own research (DYOR) and trade at your own risk. Past performance ≠ future results.
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🚀 Premarket Bid: $SPY Hits 771.06 $SPY just tagged 771.06 in premarket after yesterday’s flush-and-bounce. Technicals: Overnight follow-through after the midday reclaim of the 9 SMA Premarket is back above yesterday’s 769 high Still a working print — open is ~90 minutes away First test is whether 771 holds into cash or fades like other premarket pops Key Levels for Today: Resistance / Targets: 772–775 SPY / 7,740–7,770 SPX Immediate Support: 768–769 SPY / 7,700–7,720 SPX Stronger Support: 764–766 SPY / 7,660–7,680 SPX Bias: Cautiously bullish while above 768. Hold 771 into the open and bulls have first shot at 772–775. Fade back under 768 and yesterday’s range is back in play. Premarket 771.06. Follow-through at the bell or another fade? #SPY #SPX #StockMarket #Trading #Premarket Disclaimer: Not financial advice. For entertainment & educational purposes only. Always do your own research (DYOR) and trade at your own risk. Past performance ≠ future results.
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📈 Afternoon Squeeze, Then a Hold: $SPY The tape since midday: 12:10 — ran from 763.63 to 768.43 12:15 5-min candle — dropped back to 766.26 12:55 — pushed to 769 Now holding over the 9 SMA at 768 Technicals: Sharp midday burst out of the morning box Pullback got bought above 766.26 Rising 9 SMA is now the line Structure flipped from fade to grind as long as 768 holds Key Levels Right Now: Resistance: 769–771 SPY / 7,710–7,730 SPX Immediate Support: 768 (9 SMA) then 766.26 Fail: lose 766 and the morning range comes back Bias: Cautiously bullish while above 768. Hold the 9 and 769–771 is next. Lose 768 and this was just a midday burst. Burst to 769, now sitting on the 9. Hold it or fade into the close? #SPY #SPX #StockMarket #Trading Disclaimer: Not financial advice. For entertainment & educational purposes only. Always do your own research (DYOR) and trade at your own risk. Past performance ≠ future results.
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