dphole retweeted
For the many UK politicians @UKLabour and journalists @BBC who don't know anything about UK trade, here are the highlights:
1. The UK is now predominantly a service exporter. 57% of UK exports are services, which are not affected by EU 'red tape'.
2. UK goods exports have dropped from almost 70% of our total exports in 1997 to just 43% in 2025. This trend began long before Brexit and is tied to Net Zero mandates, high UK energy prices, and EV mandates.
3. Machinery and transport goods, such as cars and aircraft parts, are 42% of all UK goods exports. This is by far the UK's largest export sector, although it is also falling. It was 50% of UK exports in 2000. But if the UK joins the EU's CBAM, companies in this sector will see their imported material costs rise, making their exports even less competitive.
4. Chemicals are the UK's second-largest export sector. They account for 19% of UK goods exports, but this share is shrinking due to UK and EU energy costs and Net Zero regulations. These will increase if the UK joins the EU ETS.
5. Miscellaneous Manufactures account for 11% of UK goods exports. This is still the UK's third-largest export sector, even though it includes many goods the UK no longer makes because of our high Carbon taxes, which will increase if the UK signs up to the EU's even higher ETS on November 20th.
6. Fuels account for 9% of UK exports. This is still the UK's 4th largest goods export sector, even though the current and previous governments are/were trying to destroy it with bans on new exploration and ultra-high taxes.
7. Material Manufactures account for 8% of UK goods exports. This sector includes iron, steel, aluminium, ceramics, and glass manufacturing - industries that have gone, or are going, out of business in the UK because of high UK energy costs, which will rise if the UK joins the EU ETS.
8. These five sectors make up almost 90% of UK exports. The other 5 industry sectors are insignificant. But the government and our journalists think the UK is New Zealand and that the only goods we export are food and live animals to the EU. We don't! UK food and live animal exports to the EU were just 1.3% of the UK's total exports.
9. The government is about to sacrifice all of the export industries listed above to slightly reduce the IMPORT costs of a handful of Supermarkets, at least two of which are privately owned German companies.
These savings will not be passed on to UK shoppers because the government has also increased wages again, and supermarket energy costs will increase if we join the EU's ETS.
10. UK exports of food and live animals will not increase because we are paying farmers to not produce them, this has nothing to do with EU red tape. Instead we are paying farmers to plant trees and wildflowers or plaster their farmland with solar panels. (54% of UK electricity is coming from gas today, 12% from solar and 3% from wind.)
11. Write to your MP and tell him to #StoptheReset.
If you don't stop this, don't complain when all of our goods export industries have closed because of EU higher carbon taxes, EU higher carbon import tariffs, and the cost of complying with the EU's new packaging and process regulations.
dphole retweeted
Read this thread. If it’s true it means the @UKLabour government is consciously destroying our burgeoning AI and high tech sector out of a slavish desire to be run by the EU and increase the sale of seed potatoes.
Sir John Cowperthwaite ran Hong Kong's finances from 1961 to 1971 and treated regulation like a tax on discovery. Nobody in government can know which business will work, so he refused to pick, plan, or protect.
Whitehall sent officials to Hong Kong to push for economic statistics, and he sent them home. When Milton Friedman asked in 1963 why he collected so little data, Cowperthwaite answered: "If I let them compute those statistics, they'll want to use them for planning." Numbers give planners a reason to act, and every plan arrives as a rule that tells entrepreneurs what they may not try. Asked what poor countries should do to grow, he said they should abolish the office of national statistics.
He rebuffed tariffs, opposed corporate subsidies, and refused London's push to raise taxes. When a legislator proposed that the government back promising industries, he asked how the government could possibly know which ones those were.
The results arrived without a plan. During his decade as Financial Secretary, real wages rose 50% and the share of residents in acute poverty fell from 50% to 15%. When he took the job, the average Hong Kong resident earned about a quarter of what a Briton earned. By the early 1990s, Hong Kongers out-earned Britons. Britain, the birthplace of the Industrial Revolution, planned its economy with ministries full of statisticians and fell behind a rock with no resources except a harbor.
Every regulation assumes a regulator who knows which experiments to allow. That regulator does not exist, so each gate he builds blocks the ideas nobody in the room could have predicted. Hong Kong's most valuable policy was the absence of a gatekeeper.
As far as civil servants go, this guy is the GOAT.
dphole retweeted
If this is true, then the UK would lose an industry worth £28 billion, to slightly lower the import costs of UK supermarkets, including the privately owned German ones that operate in the UK.
🤔
The UK's entire food and animal exports to the EU were only worth £12 billion in 2025. Why are we throwing good money after bad?
🙄
dphole retweeted
The UK is supposed to have lost 6-8% of GDP by leaving the EU, but given the UK runs an £88B deficit with the EU, where is that growth supposed to have come from? By us buying even more from them?
Meanwhile, the UK enjoys a £70B trade surplus with non-EU countries, which we're willing to threaten by rejoining the EU. Surely this is where we should be concentrating our efforts.
dphole retweeted
Handy chart to illustrate the relative importance of UK exports of food to the EU, which is the centre-piece of the 'reset'... 🤔👇
(In 2025, the UK's exports of food to the EU were worth £12.2bn, about 1.3% of all exports and just 0.4% of GDP)
dphole retweeted
Great deconstruction of the myths around the economics of leaving the EU from @bernardjenkin. 👇
politics.co.uk/2026/11/burnh…
dphole retweeted
Another chart to show the declining importance of UK goods exports to the EU – a trend that began well before Brexit,
It shows that UK goods exports to the EU have been falling as a share of UK GDP since at least 2000, which further undermines the case for rejoining... 🤔
dphole retweeted
This says it all, frankly!
h/t @sebs_tweets
dphole retweeted
Climate policies have consequences
EU households pay 1.9x US prices and 4x China
And Germany has the highest household electricty cost in the world
iea.org/data-and-statistics/…
The cheap green lie
You are told that solar and wind are cheap
But you need near-100% backup when no sun or wind, paying for two systems
Data for 2025 shows that
cramming in more solar and wind makes electricity overall more and more costly
Sources:
Electricity prices, households and industry, 2025
iea.org/data-and-statistics/…
Solar and wind generation, electricity use and consumption weights
iea.org/data-and-statistics/…
Solar and wind for countries without IEA 2025 data
ember-energy.org/data
Electricity trade partners, plus industry prices for Norway, Albania, Iceland and Kosovo
ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/en…
US industry price
eia.gov/electricity/annual
Australia, IEA 2021 prices updated with official price indices
abs.gov.au/statistics/econom…
South Africa industry price
eskom.co.za/wp-content/uploa…
Taiwan industry tariff
taipower.com.tw
Egypt industry tariff
egyptera.org/en/TarrifAug202…
Tunisia tariffs (archived copy, the STEG site is unreachable)
web.archive.org/web/20250614…
Azerbaijan industry tariff
regulator.gov.az/en/istehlak…
2025 tariff changes applied to IEA 2024 prices
Pakistan: nepra.org.pk
Thailand: erc.or.th
Ghana: purc.com.gh
Paraguay: ande.gov.py
Kazakhstan: stat.gov.kz/en/industries/ec…
GlobalPetrolPrices 2025 averages for 18 countries, read from archived 2025 pages
globalpetrolprices.com/elect…
web.archive.org
Sri Lanka 2025 tariff changes
pucsl.gov.lk/end-user-tariff…
Indonesia solar and wind estimated from official 2025 capacity
esdm.go.id/id/media-center/a…
Statista 2025 averages for China, Mexico, Brazil, Russia, Singapore, Peru, Argentina and South Africa (data from GlobalPetrolPrices)
statista.com/statistics/1369… (business prices worldwide)
statista.com/statistics/1461… (household prices worldwide)
statista.com/statistics/1173… (Latin America business)
statista.com/statistics/1123… (Latin America households)
statista.com/statistics/1373… (China business)
statista.com/statistics/1372… (Mexico business)
statista.com/statistics/1372… (Mexico households)
statista.com/statistics/1617… (South Africa households)
dphole retweeted
73 balls. London. One golden moment.
We drove the balls representing Harry Kane’s goals for club and country to London, gifting them to former teammates, people from his hometown, and the places that shaped his journey – from the streets where he grew up to his former clubs, as well as the heart of London City.
All leading up to one golden moment last night.
Harry, we’re incredibly proud of you. Here’s to everything we’ve achieved together – and everything still to come. ❤️🤍
dphole retweeted
Where do I begin? That was an evening I'll never forget.
It’s an incredible honour to receive the Ballon d’Or award after a year full of goals, trophies and special milestones. Thank you to all the staff and my teammates at @england and @fcbayern, as well as family, friends and everyone who’s supported me – this wouldn’t be possible without you all.
Thank you to everyone who has sent a kind message, social media post - I appreciate every single one of them.
This will live long in the memory. 🙌🏆❤️
dphole retweeted
Human beings are not just consumers of resources, but producers of ideas, technologies, and entirely new forms of wealth.
We do not merely divide the pie, but bake bigger pies from ingredients earlier generations were unaware of.
humanprogress.org/the-most-i…
dphole retweeted
Does @AngelaRayner realise how misleading this is?
Even if not, good journalists should have figures at hand to correct her & other Govt. ministers trying to imply UK exports to the EU have gone down since Brexit.
In fact total exports to the EU have increased since Brexit.
…
dphole retweeted
I’d like to apologise.
The last week has finally made me understand that the real victims of the shocking rise in antisemitism are not Jewish people (and Jewish school children in particular) but Owen Jones, Sarah Helm and Sally Rooney.
I hope they’re ok and I’m very sorry for having got this wrong.
dphole retweeted
The point of no return by Richard von Mises is worth reading:
"A state becomes almost unreformable when the majority of the population is financially or structurally dependent on the state (state employees, civil servants, recipients of subsidies, grants, or transfer payments, etc.). As soon as those who net benefit from or are supported by the state outnumber those who do not, the system blocks reforms, since the majority votes out of self-interest for the preservation or expansion of state services."
Does this sound familiar? Some European countries, France, Belgium, Finland are already way beyond that point, closely followed by Germany, Spain, Austria and Italy. It works for a while, as long as markets buy more sovereign debt at reasonable interest rates. The party ends when they stop though. For France, they stopped this month, Belgium will be next.
The longer the socialist illusion persists, the more painful the inevitable cuts and adjustments will be. It’s pure arithmetic. Good luck Europe, good luck Euro. Buckle up, it won’t be pretty.
dphole retweeted
Someone noted an interesting aspect of this chart: Brexit’s impact on the industrial production and UK economy. And I know, Brexit didn’t happen in December 2015, but that’s a rounding error. The leading narrative is that leaving the EU despite all its regulations and bureaucratic overreach decimated Britain’s industry. Yet look at industrial production in the UK, France, Italy, and Germany since Brexit. Isn’t that intriguing?
Maybe Britain’s stagnant GDP per capita isn’t due to Brexit, but to mass immigration diluting prosperity per capita?
This chart illustrates Germany’s structural economic decline compared with its peers really well.
Industrial production is down roughly 11% since 2015 (about 15% from the 2018 peak), with sharp losses in manufacturing, energy-intensive sectors, autos, and machinery. Public investment is up over 20%, and public/near-public employment has surged by hundreds of thousands of jobs since 2023, while the private sector has shed jobs. The private sector has subtracted from growth, only state consumption and investment prevented outright contraction.
By contrast, Poland’s industrial production rose 54% and Switzerland’s 36% over the same period, reflecting competitive cost structures, investment, and (in Switzerland’s case) high-value sectors rather than deindustrialization.
Public spending can temporarily paper over weakness but cannot replace a shrinking productive base. Without deep structural reforms addressing regulations, bureaucracy, and overtaxation, Germany won’t remain prosperous forever. Unfortunately nothing is happening, and the current government has just increased taxes for entrepreneurs throttling growth potential and innovation even further.


































