26k Reddit Followers - 4k Discord Followers - Perfect 5-Star Reviews. Real trades. Real community. No bullshit. The rawest trading community on the planet.
Texas, USA
Joined January 2025
- Tweets464
- Following89
- Followers168
- Likes347
$RCAT - I’m watching closely this week for a 2-3 week swing play.
100% tariff goes into effect on September 3rd for all imported drones and drone parts.
We may see some profit taking first after a +18% week, but I like this for a continuation depending on price action.
$ONDS - we’re just getting started on this one imo.
But this was a nice little short term weekly swing play. 💰
BEAUTIFUL earnings setup with $INFQ went slightly in the money to avoid IV crush and maximize intrinsic.
Snagged these yesterday around the low of day.
Earnings thesis played out exactly like I thought it would.
Nice little overnight +33%.
Low stress.
FT Trading Floor retweeted
Yes, I'm still bullish on memory like $MU / Samsung.
As I said earlier, markets tend to rotate from bottleneck to bottleneck.
This week it looks $AXTI to $LITE in the photonics sector is the focus again.
The thing is... the primary thing that changed are the stock prices, followed by some narratives + updates sprinkled in here and there.
For photonics:
> We already knew $COHR / $LITE lasers were completely sold out for the next 2 years during July's drop.
> We knew about demand imbalance from $AAOI from last quarter's earnings calls.
Nothing deteriorated fundamentally during July's crash, other than listed price after liquidations.
Yet tons of people called $AAOI a "scam" when it dropped to $75, or $AXTI a "scam" on its drop to $35...
But are bullish again at $140 or $80, when the transciver/InP substrate bottleneck hasn't changed at all, but maybe even got worse... (eg. draft for US ban on new china optical transceivers, scale up demand projections)
For Memory:
I'm witnessing a lot of retail capitulation, but the same people I'm seeing were mega bullish after $MU signed 16 SCAs and gave exceptional projections a month ago.
Or were celebrating Samsung having the highest operating profit in the world.
There's updates here and there eg. Rubin Ultra with memory optimizations (which Nvidia strives for every generation), with prices no longer being hiked way above expectations to the extreme.
But the operating income relative to MC is just absurd around current prices, especially memory becomes structural.
And the demand imbalance should be even worse next year.
People tend to capitulate and follow narratives when a sector drops (eg. Helium/LNG back in Iran war), even if the bottleneck or fundamental situation hasn't really changed much (eg. $SPCX Elon earnings call reiterating memory tightness).
I can't tell others what to to do:
But $AAOI at $140 and $AAOI at $75 are the same company.
Samsung at a $1.5T MC and Samsung at a $980B MC are the same company.
Just valuations and narratives (often noise) change, and markets rotate from sector to sector.
Oh okay, so we’re all retarded degenerates 😂 good to know.
youtu.be/AR9mx5CH3aA?is=aLG7…
Held 40% of the fund in $NBIS and sold it all for a loss to Citadel right before it ran
Short Squeeze:
The best pure example we had of this in our community was $OPEN … we caught that one perfectly, we ended up making 400% in a few days on that trade for the exact reasons below.
🤖 Made with AI
Weekly recap:
This week we had some major events.
- Fed held interest rates at 3.5% - 3.75%. Remained hawkish.
- Q2 GDP report came in at 1.5%. Slightly lower than expected.
- PCE inflation came in soft, headline inflation cooled.
- ECI came in at .9%, slightly higher than expectations.
One of the biggest earnings weeks of the year.
Major reports included:
Microsoft
Meta
Apple
Amazon
Boeing
Coca-Cola
Visa
UPS
PayPal
Many semiconductor companies
The biggest winner was $MSFT and the biggest loser was $META, imo in terms of their reports and guidance.
“Float Contraction”
Less supply + same or more demand = Explosive moves. 🚀
These are hard to predict, and they normally correct.
But it’s one of the purest short squeeze setups if you can find them in time.
This is what we did with $OPEN when shit went nuts a year ago or so.
🤖 Made with AI
$DFNS - this is what happens when you get massive float contraction after a reverse split.
Zero news. No new contracts. Just pure squeeze. Crazy.
