Stocks | ETFs | Funds | SMSFs Unleash the investor within. #Onwards
Sydney, Australia
Joined February 2017
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Stoked you could join us @ASX__Trader
Pretty cool seeing this pop up as a notification from @hellostake.
I was recently featured in Stake’s “What I’m Trading” series, where I got to share a bit more of the story behind how I ended up in markets.
We covered everything from how fantasy sports originally pushed me towards a data-driven approach to investing, to my early mistakes in crypto, the lessons those mistakes taught me, how being a teacher shaped the way I analyse markets, and eventually how Mastering the Markets came about.
We also got into what I’m watching right now, particularly commodities and energy, and why I think understanding the bigger market cycle matters so much.
One thing I really enjoyed about this was that it wasn’t just about winning trades.
Some of the biggest lessons I've learned came from getting things completely wrong.
Markets have taught me a lot over the years, but probably the biggest lesson is this:
Don’t outsource your decision-making.
Learn how to read the evidence, build your own process and make your own decisions.
That’s ultimately what I love teaching today.
Thanks to the team at Stake for featuring my story and apparently sending me into everyone’s notifications.
You can read the full story in the comments.
Here we go again...
The RBA has raised the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.60%. In case you were wondering, that's its highest level in 15 years.
Tomorrow we get a read on inflation and a glimpse at whether there's more to come. The CPI was 3.5% in July and our central bank wants it at 2-3%.
Hi @alisterberkeley, James from Stake here. Thanks for bringing this to my attention. I'd like to look into the withdrawal concerns you’ve raised and understand what’s happened. Could you please send us a DM with the client’s details and any relevant information? We’ll take it from there.
The stories impacting your portfolio this week 📈
1. Another week of U.S. earnings ahead. Home Depot ( $HD ) reports on Tuesday, followed by Analog Devices ( $ADI ) on Wednesday and Walmart ( $WMT ) and Alibaba ( $BABA ) on Thursday.
2. Oil is climbing as shipping through the Strait of Hormuz slowed over the weekend as tanker attacks continued. It follows Donald Trump's threat to declare the Strait a U.S. territory on Friday.
3. China’s data dump. Retail sales, industrial production, fixed-asset investment, house prices and FDI data arrive today. These give a useful health check on the world's second biggest economy.
4. ASX reporting season continues, with CSL ( $CSL.AX ), BHP ( $BHP.AX ), JB Hi-Fi ( $JBH.AX ), a2Milk( $A2.AX ), NAB ( $NAB.AX ), BlueScopeSteel ( $BSL.AX ) and Lendlease ( $LLC.AX ) reporting this week.
5. U.S. Fed minutes. The Fed held rates in July, but three policymakers voted in favour of a hike. Investors will be looking for how divided the committee really is in minutes released Wednesday.
Here's what's impacting your portfolio this week 📈:
1. Oil prices have fallen more than 5% Monday after U.S. President Donald Trump paused strikes on Iran over the weekend. Tehran has also halted retaliatory attacks in response.
2. Fresh tariffs: Australia has been hit with a new tariff of 12.5% on exports to the U.S. The tariffs, which came into force last Friday, impact 60 trading partners, including the EU and China.
3. U.S. earnings: Tech giants Apple ($AAPL), Amazon ($AMZN), Microsoft ($MSFT) and Meta ($META) deliver results this week. Visa ($V) and Coca-Cola ($KO) also report company earnings.
4. Fed meeting: The U.S. Federal Reserve will meet this week to decide whether to raise interest rates. Markets are pricing in a 70% chance that rates will remain steady.
5. Australia's CPI: Australia's core inflation data for June will be released this Wednesday. In the 12 months to May, the CPI rose 4.0%, with the biggest contributors housing, food and transport.
Trade teaser: The world’s largest home improvement retail company was created for revenge. After the founders were suddenly fired from Handy Dan in the 70’s, they built their own and eventually put their former employer out of business. The company reported US$41.77B in Q1 2026 revenue. Name that stock.
What's happening this week in markets? 👀
1. Oil back up: U.S. stock futures fell as oil prices rose on Sunday. Ongoing talks for a U.S.-Iran peace deal were overshadowed by Tehran announcing it had closed the Strait of Hormuz again.
2. Aussie macro: Aussie investors await May inflation data (Wed) and unemployment numbers (Thurs), which could influence expectations around the RBA's next policy decision.
3. Wall St earnings: Micron's ($MU) Q3 earnings drop after market close on 24 June. Analysts expect US$35B in revenue (+250% YoY). FedEx ($FDX) also reports Q2 earnings this week.
4. Metcash FY profit: Metcash ($MET) reported a 1.5% drop in FY26 net profit to A$279.1M. The company cited softer conditions in its hardware and liquor divisions.
5. SGH's A$500M buyback: Seven Group Holdings ($SGH) approved an on-market share buyback of up to A$500M to be executed over the next 12 months.
The RBA has held the official cash rate steady at 4.35%.
The board chose to leave rates on hold during its June meeting, providing borrowers with a temporary pause following three rate hikes in 2026.
The RBA plans to assess how prior tightening is impacting the slowing economy and rising unemployment, balancing these factors against higher-than-expected inflation
The RBA board will hold its next interest rate announcement on 11 August.
Monday market update - the big events impacting your portfolio this week📈📈
1. SpaceX ($SPCX) had a successful market debut on Friday. Shares finished 19% higher to reach a market capitalisation of US$2.1T, making it the sixth biggest firm on Wall St.
2. RBA rate call: On Tuesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will meet to decide whether to change the cash rate. So far this year, the central bank has raised rates three times.
3. Fed rate call: On Wednesday (ET), the Federal Reserve will have its first interest rate meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh. It follows stronger than expected jobs data for May.
4. Wall St earnings: Mutiple Wall St companies are reporting earnings this week, including: Accenture ($ACN), Jabil ($JBL), Kroger ($KR) and La-Z-Boy ($LZB).
5. ASX firms going ex-dividend: Select Harvests ($SHV), WAM Active ($WAA), AFT Pharmaceuticals ($AFP) and Fisher & Paykel Healthcare ($FPH).
SpaceX ($SPCX) has officially landed on Wall St in a record breaking debut.
First session closed at US$160.95, up 19% from its US$135 offer price, for a market value of around US$2.1T.
That makes SpaceX the sixth biggest company on Wall St and minted CEO Elon Musk as the world’s first trillionaire, before the rest of us had breakfast.
We put it under the spotlight: hellostake.com/au/blog/under…
Hi @parrpometer as soon as SpaceX is available to trade on the secondary market, you'll be able to place orders through Stake. You'll soon be able to add the ticker to your watchlist - keep an eye out on our SpaceX IPO blog via our website for regular updates!
Monday update -- what's happening this week? 👀
1. Oil prices hit a two-week low on Monday after Trump said the U.S. and Iran had 'largely negotiated a peace deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
2. Australia’s key inflation data for April is out Wednesday, while U.S. Core PCE Price Index figures – the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge – are due Thursday along with GDP.
3. U.S. earnings -- Dozens of U.S. firms are reporting this week, including Marvell ($MRVL), HP ($HPQ), Salesforce ($CRM), Snowflake ($SNOW), Costco ($COST) and Dell ($DELL).
4. South Korea's market rally isn't showing signs of slowing, with the KOSPI Index up 82% YTD. That's largely been driven by memory chip firms, including Samsung and SK Hynix.
5. U.S. holiday Heads up: Wall Street is closed Monday for Memorial Day, so liquidity may be thinner globally early in the week. The London Stock Exchange (LSE) is also closed.
SpaceX has finally made its IPO filing public.
Key details: It will list on the Nasdaq under the ticker $SPCX as early as 12 June.
Up to 30% of the IPO is expected to be allocated to retail investors, three times the standard for an offering of this size
The filing reveals Elon Musk owns 93.6% of SpaceX's Class B stock, which carries 10 votes per share, giving him 85% of total voting power.
Musk could receive an additional 1B shares if he takes SpaceX’s value to US$7.5T and sets up a human colony on Mars.
Woolworths’ Q3 results highlight a shift in how growth is being generated in the supermarket sector. Woolworths is still seeing sales growth, with total and food sales higher than this time last year - group sales rose 4.5% to $18.1 billion, with Australian Food, the core of the business, up 5.9%. This tells us grocery demand is still resilient even as households come under inflationary pressure. Against a backdrop of higher food prices and the ACCC’s scrutiny of supermarket discounting, what’s interesting is that this growth is being driven by volume not price.
On Monday, the portal for U.S. retailers to claim tariff refunds went live, after the U.S. Supreme Court ruled the levies illegal.
This means Nike could receive US$1B, according to Citigroup – modest next to Walmart’s $WMT estimated US$10.2B haul, with total payouts expected to top US$160B.
That’s real cash.