Regenerated US Army officer forging a new beginning in Systems & Cognitive Engineering. The best way to predict the future is to create it.

Joined June 2010
My youngest graduated from University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign’s nuclear, plasma, and radiological engineering program today!
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Jonathan Jeckell retweeted
Former Polish President Lech Walesa to the US: "Reclaim, as Americans, your leadership role in the world. And you can begin by saving Ukraine."
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Push a railgun past 3 km/s and the armature vaporizes. This fills the barrel with gases that allow plasma arcs to short-circuit the railgun. But what if the armature was already plasma? 40-stage plasma railgun tested to 10 km/s (arc only): ieeexplore.ieee.org/document…
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Jonathan Jeckell retweeted
Jaką wojnę przypomina Wam ten opis? "Spośród 80 tys. rosyjskich żołnierzy, którzy przekroczyli granicę, mniej niż połowa przeżyła następny rok". "Ogromna liczba żołnierzy była poświęcana dla stosunkowo niewielkich korzyści". "Większość rosyjskich żołnierzy nie zginęła w bitwie, lecz zmarła od ran i z powodu chorób, które może nie okazałyby się śmiertelne, gdyby istniały odpowiednie służby medyczne". "Korupcja przeżarła cały system zaopatrzeniowy. Ponieważ każdy oficer przywłaszczał sobie część pieniędzy przeznaczonych na kupno zapasów, niewiele zostawało na racje dla ich podwładnych". To fragmenty z "Wojny Krymskiej 1853-1856" Orlando Figesa. Tak wiele się zmienia, żeby nic się nie zmieniło.
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the market is rational, in that over the long run it rewards people when they are right and punishes people when they are wrong the media is irrational, in that you can be as consistently and objectively wrong as an ed or gary and still be rewarded with increasing attention
Some entertaining highlights from wheresyoured.at/wheres-the-m… 20 months ago: - "Anthropic has projected (made up) that it will make at least $12 billion in revenue in 2027" - "This company is not worth $60 billion. Anthropic has raised $14.7 billion to create an also-ran Large Language Model company" - "Anthropic, much like OpenAI, has categorically failed to productize its Large Language Model" - "Its CEO is also a sleazy conman who, like Sam Altman, continually promises that his company's AI systems will become powerful and autonomous in a way that they have never shown any possibility of becoming." - "Any investor in Anthropic needs to seriously consider what it is they're investing in. Its products are both unpopular and commoditized, and it lost $5.6 billion last year! Stop dancing around this fact! Stop it!" - "there’s a lot of demand to put AI in stuff and some demand to buy stuff with AI on it by enterprises buying software, but little evidence to suggest significant user adoption or usage, I’d argue because Large Language Models do not lend themselves to features that provide meaningful business returns." - "When a company uses the term “agent,” they are intentionally trying to be deceitful, because the term “agent” means “autonomous AI that does stuff without you touching it.” The problem with this definition is that everybody has used it to refer to “a chatbot that can do some things while connected to a database,” which is otherwise known as a chatbot." - "It isn’t working. The users aren’t there. The revenue isn’t there. The best time to stop this was two years ago, and the next best time is as soon as humanly possible. I have said that generative AI is a group delusion in the past, and I repeat that claim today." - "we are approaching the limit of what the transformer-based architecture can do, if we haven’t already reached it. No amount of beating off about test-time compute and connecting Large Language Models to other Large Language Models is going to create a new use case for this technology" - "generative AI is OpenAI. The consumer adoption of this software has completely failed, and appears to be going nowhere fast. ChatGPT is sustained entirely on deranged, specious hype drummed up by a media industry" ... and my favorite ... - "I will keep writing this stuff until I’m proven wrong."
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Jonathan Jeckell retweeted
Sim City. But realistic. And terrible...
Somebody (not me this time) vibedcoded a realistic US citybuilder where every proposed project and rezoning near others is subject to endless appeals, studies, and modifications, project denials are common, and the only easy growth is on the urban fringe. permit.petercai.com/play/
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The only times I can think of when they “won”, like WWII and the Chechen war, they burned through a generation of demographics and made themselves weaker for a generation.
🇵🇱 “The myth that Russia always wins has been successfully planted in the West. But history tells a very different story,” — Polish Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski The minister pointed out that Russia has not always emerged victorious from its wars: “They lost the Crimean War. They lost the war against Japan. They emerged from World War I with their tails between their legs. They lost their invasion of Poland. They lost in Afghanistan. And they lost the Cold War.” “So things can turn out very differently,” Sikorski emphasized.
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Jonathan Jeckell retweeted
🇵🇱 “The myth that Russia always wins has been successfully planted in the West. But history tells a very different story,” — Polish Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski The minister pointed out that Russia has not always emerged victorious from its wars: “They lost the Crimean War. They lost the war against Japan. They emerged from World War I with their tails between their legs. They lost their invasion of Poland. They lost in Afghanistan. And they lost the Cold War.” “So things can turn out very differently,” Sikorski emphasized.
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Electra's hybrid-electric Ultra Short aircraft landed and took-off from Downtown Skyport in Lower Manhattan, marking the 1st flight ops by a fixed-wing aircraft at the NYC heliport. Its blown-lift wings and oversize control surfaces let it land at 30 kts... electra.aero/news/no-runway-…
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Jonathan Jeckell retweeted
An airplane just landed at a heliport. In lower Manhattan. That is the @ElectraAero EL-2, the ultra-short takeoff and landing prototype aircraft. CEO Marc Allen said Monday it was the first time the manufacturer has shown the EL2’s capabilities publicly in such an environment. Story ➡️ vist.ly/5q45c #eVTOL #airplane #newyorkcity #heliport #aviation
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Jonathan Jeckell retweeted
In 1965, Norman Borlaug sent Mexican wheat seed to India and Pakistan. Instead of impending famine and collapse, this started the Green Revolution that saved 1-2 billion lives.
I’ve asked this before but is there any historical event that is like the Opposite of 9/11. Like something so good that happened that it changed the world forever
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A best-guess breakdown of the W33 nuclear warhead, meant to fit inside a 203mm artillery shell: reddit.com/r/nuclearweapons/… It was a gun-type device, delivering 5-40 kT yield depending on the variant (Y1-4).
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When George Washington was inaugurated in 1789, he wore a relatively plain brown frock coat. To the modern eye, the garment may look fancy, but it was relatively constrained for a man of Washington's position. Affluent Americans at the time tended to wear European fabrics, as centuries of textile tradition on that side of the Atlantic meant that their materials were finer, silkier, and more luxurious. Those who could afford to wear such materials often did, not just because they were more comfortable, but because they signaled status. Washington rejected this convention for his inauguration, opting instead for a plain brown frock coat made from an American-made material, specifically one produced by a relatively new upstart in Connecticut. It's also notable that his outfit for that day was considerably more restrained than those of leaders in other Western nations. For instance, check out this outfit on George III (slide one). In this 1762 coronation painting, we can see the British monarch wearing a gold damask coat with a velvet mantle lined and edged with ermine and trimmed in gold. Even his shoes featured solid gold buckles. Washington opted for something simpler because he wanted to send two political messages. First, he wanted to support domestic industry (hence his request that the garment be made from American woolen broadcloth). Second, he understood that the US was supposed to be a democratic republic, not a monarchy. Back in Europe, monarchs wore fancy ceremonial attire to reinforce their position in society. Washington, by contrast, chose something more restrained, signaling that he was not governing through divine right but rather through consent of the people. Irish-born architect James Holban also understood this when he designed the White House in the Neoclassical style, drawing from Georgian and Palladian architecture. Neoclassicism was a rejection of Rococo, which had been fashionable among European monarchs and aristocrats in the preceding decades. Most people will know Rococo from the photos of the lavish French palaces erected during the reign of Louis XV. Much like the elaborate ceremonial attire of European monarchs, these interiors were meant to impress upon people the wealth and power of European leaders. The visual grandeur reinforced the idea that these people fundamentally occupied a different social station from those they governed. To be sure, the White House was much nicer than what ordinary Americans at the time would have occupied. But much like Washington's inauguration outfit, Hoban's design was meant to balance the dignity of the office with the republican ideal that political authority ultimately comes from the people. Our leaders are not above us; they are here to serve us. That is why the White House was decorated in this relatively restrained way for almost 250 years, changing only recently. I have seen some on here suggest that glorifying the White House is meant to glorify the state, and thus the citizens. But this logic was historically used by dictators abroad, not US presidents.
That former presidents did nothing to modernize elevate the White House is pathetic and embarrassing. As for Trump’s decor, style - travel to the world’s capitals and monuments. You will see he’s very restrained and incredibly tasteful by comparison.
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Jonathan Jeckell retweeted
Japan’s government has released its 2026 defense white paper (yes, this is the cover page). The document directly addresses Japan’s population-driven manpower shortages, drawing on lessons from Ukraine and pitching a force structure highly reliant on drone systems.
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Replying to @SethGJones
@SethGJones interview with MG Curtis Buzzard, who recently led SAG-U, is excellent. Particularly important are points about the professional duty to learn and implement relevant lessons from the war in Ukraine for the joint force. youtu.be/lMrWw4NSSrY
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This guy has it completely backwards. OWA allow a smaller, poorer, less technologically advanced country to deter a larger one because they too can mass produce and hurl these and it’s hard to stamp out production.
1/ Russia is developing the capability to launch tens of thousands of kamikaze drones against European cities such as Paris, says a Russian drone developer. He describes heavy long-range drones such as the Iranian Shahed and Russian Geran as "a new weapon of deterrence". ⬇️
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Ukraine’s contributions in Afghanistan weren’t as big as they were in Iraq, but they were there too.
At one point, Ukraine had the third-largest contingent of personnel deployed in Iraq, behind only the U.S. and UK.
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"USS Ted Stevens is the fourth commissioned U.S. Navy ship to carry a SPY-6 radar, and one among many more in assembly and trials. That figure is expected to rise to more than 50 in the next decade. The radar’s variants are being fielded across the fleet and validated on land and at sea. Their testing record includes successful live-fire events on the Arleigh Burke-class destroyer USS Jack H. Lucas (DDG 125), and they are on track to complete 60 live firings in operational testing in 2027" ~ Raytheon
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1) you don’t need to power the entire base, just the mission critical systems 2) this capability may deter enemies from targeting the civilian power grid because it won’t stop military ops. All risk, no reward 3) the power source must be immune to supply disruptions
FORTRESS: The Pentagon is preparing every major U.S. military base to survive 90 days without outside support — no civilian power grid, no global supply chains, no outside fuel or water. The initiative, revealed in documents reviewed by Fox News Digital, envisions portable nuclear reactors, massive battery storage, and microgrids that can disconnect installations from civilian electricity entirely. Strategic reserves of munitions, fuel, critical minerals, and medical supplies would be stockpiled based on wartime consumption rates. Civilian factories are being pre-identified to shift to defense production during a crisis. Pentagon chief spokesperson Sean Parnell put it bluntly: "Power is combat now. Without electricity, you lose communications, water, logistics, assembly lines and just basic military command structures." Full story here foxnews.com/politics/inside-…
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Rock island Arsenal gets > 1/3 of its power from its hydroelectric dam fed by the flow of the Mississippi River. “Red plug” all of the mission critical systems on the installation and they are ahead of the game. * red plugs in hospitals are the only ones powered in blackouts
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Don’t just shoot the archer, schwack the fletcher
Ukrainian forces continued to hunt down Russian missile production facilities with their UK-supplied Storm Shadows today, successfully striking the Yelets Energia Plant. The plant, hit by multiple Storm Shadows, produced subcomponents for the Iskander, Kinzhal, and Zircon.
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