🅰️J (@kingaj408) profile picture

California living

Joined July 2020
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QuantumScape / PowerCo Amendment 🤔 💭 Understanding Why the Amendment May Be Bullish $QS My humble opinion & not financial advice.. Key Takeaways • The amendment revised the engineering collaboration, including the Statement of Work, milestones, payment structure, project expenses, and maximum cost-sharing payments. • Maximum cost-sharing payments declined from approximately $131 million to approximately $75 million. • Management stated that lower projected project expenses resulted in a forecast net- neutral cash impact. • MotoE-related milestones were removed after the championship entered hiatus. • The revised scope emphasizes larger-format automotive cells and QuantumScape’s future technology roadmap. • Ducati confirmed that the V21L prototype unveiled at IAA Mobility used QuantumScape QSE-5 solid-state batteries. • QuantumScape did not announce a reduction to the broader PowerCo licensing framework. • The separate $130 million royalty prepayment remained unchanged. • Management said it had not announced any change to the targeted 2029 start of production. • The public evidence may support a bullish interpretation that the engineering program is evolving toward automotive commercialization, but that conclusion remains an investment thesis rather than a confirmed company statement.
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🅰️J retweeted
WTF JUST HAPPENED WHY DID EVERYTHING DROP 10%
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Don’t let the election impact on market scare you. $QS is needed and will deliver 😤 Patience is 🔑
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If Tim likes it, we LOVE it $QS
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$QS (QuantumScape) #earnings are out:
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$QS: 🚨@QuantumScapeCo is pursuing NON-DILUTIVE FUNDING, as per the Q3 earnings call right now!
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QSEV targets have not changed but QSAS & QSDC will be faster time to market - Quantumscape CEO Siva during Q3 Q&A $QS
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Market is reacting positively to Quantumscape after hours to this bullish Q3 ER $QS
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Quantumscape executed 3/4 2026 with last to be completed 11/11/2026 🇯🇵, love the consistency and transparency. Great job Siva and team. $QS 👀🥳
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“Quantumscape is currently demonstrating scalable production of solid state batteries using its highly automated Eagle Line pilot facility in San Jose.” $QS Muehlbauer evaluated the Eagle Line processes and developed design enhancements to bring the technology to mass production; engineering work on higher-throughput processes and equipment for the new line is underway. Start of cell production is targeted for 2028.
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QuantumScape – Q3 2026 ER Summary October 21, 2026 $QS Overall: Bullish Long-Term 📈 QuantumScape continues progressing toward commercialization, expanding beyond EVs into AI data centers, defense, and aerospace while improving financial efficiency.
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Market reacted positively after hours. Excited for Q&A! ER call starts now join with link below: edge.media-server.com/mmc/p/…
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BOTTOM LINE Bullish: QS is executing its 2026 strategy, expanding commercial relationships, advancing manufacturing, and improving financial efficiency. Bearish: PowerCo milestones remain unresolved, significant losses continue, and commercial-scale manufacturing remains unproven. Biggest Opportunity: AI data centers and defense could generate meaningful commercial demand ahead of large-scale EV production. Next Major Catalyst: November 11 - next generation technology roadmap and automotive collaboration strategy.
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2026 GOALS – STATUS 1. Demonstrate Scalable Production – ✅ ACHIEVED Eagle Line operational and producing increased QSE-5 volumes. Commercial scale economics still need validation. 2. Advance Automotive Commercialization – ✅ ACHIEVED Honda billings, new customer agreements, and continued PowerCo development. 3. Enter New High Value Markets – ✅ ACHIEVED AI PowerBlock launched; defense, aviation, and telecommunications customer engagement and initial billings. 4. Next-Generation Technology Roadmap – PENDING Scheduled for November 11, 2026, at QS’s Solid State Battery Symposium in Kyoto. 2026 Scorecard: 3 of 4 goals substantially achieved, with the final goal scheduled for November 11.
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OPPORTUNITIES • AI Data Centers: Potential demand for high-power, compact, safer energy storage. • Defense: Domestic battery manufacturing could create competitive advantages and government contracting opportunities. • PowerCo Licensing: Finalized milestones could unlock payments, royalties, and future commercialization. • Automotive: Honda and additional manufacturers diversify opportunities beyond Volkswagen. • Manufacturing Scale: Murata, Corning, and Muehlbauer partnerships establish a potential pathway toward GWh-scale production.
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THE BAD (RISKS) • PowerCo: Updated development milestones remain unresolved, creating uncertainty around licensing and future payments. • Production Timeline: First 100-MWh commercial line isn’t expected to begin production until 2028. • Continued Losses: Q3 net loss of $84.5M and operating cash burn of $55.1M. • Revenue: $9.8M in customer billings, which does not necessarily represent recognized revenue. • Manufacturing: Commercial-scale production costs, yields, and consistency remain unproven. • Dilution: Weighted-average shares outstanding increased approximately 5.4% YoY.
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THE GOOD (BULLISH) • Manufacturing: Announced Muehlbauer partnership for a 100-MWh commercial production line targeting 2028. • Eagle Line: Fully operational, increasing QSE-5 production and customer sampling. • AI Data Centers: QS PowerBlock demonstrated 4× power density and 5× runtime compared with the OCP reference specification. • Honda: Recorded first customer billings and signed another agreement with an unnamed global mobility manufacturer. • Defense & Aerospace: Shipped QSE-5 samples and recorded first customer billings. • Financial Improvement: Q3 net loss decreased approximately 20% YoY to $84.5M. • Liquidity: Strong balance sheet with $819.8M available.
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$QS: Update: Siva wasn't just attending. He spoke on a panel covering energy, critical infrastructure and steel, per Resilinc's Kamal Ahluwalia (USIBC board). Batteries now sit in the same strategic conversation as AI and semis.
$QS : Siva Sivaram was among the attendees at the USIBC x Hoover Institution West Coast Summit (Stanford, Oct 14). Agenda: AI, semiconductor supply chains, US-India tech cooperation. No QS-specific news, but the CEO is spending time where tomorrow's critical industrial supply chains are being shaped.
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