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QuantumScape / PowerCo Amendment
🤔 💭
Understanding Why the Amendment May Be Bullish $QS
My humble opinion & not financial advice..
Key Takeaways
• The amendment revised the engineering collaboration, including the Statement of Work, milestones, payment structure, project expenses, and maximum cost-sharing payments.
• Maximum cost-sharing payments declined from approximately $131 million to
approximately $75 million.
• Management stated that lower projected project expenses resulted in a forecast net-
neutral cash impact.
• MotoE-related milestones were removed after the championship entered hiatus.
• The revised scope emphasizes larger-format automotive cells and QuantumScape’s future
technology roadmap.
• Ducati confirmed that the V21L prototype unveiled at IAA Mobility used QuantumScape
QSE-5 solid-state batteries.
• QuantumScape did not announce a reduction to the broader PowerCo licensing
framework.
• The separate $130 million royalty prepayment remained unchanged.
• Management said it had not announced any change to the targeted 2029 start of
production.
• The public evidence may support a bullish interpretation that the engineering program is
evolving toward automotive commercialization, but that conclusion remains an investment thesis rather than a confirmed company statement.
Don’t let the election impact on market scare you. $QS is needed and will deliver 😤
Patience is 🔑
🅰️J retweeted
$QS: 🚨@QuantumScapeCo is pursuing NON-DILUTIVE FUNDING, as per the Q3 earnings call right now!
QSEV targets have not changed but QSAS & QSDC will be faster time to market - Quantumscape CEO Siva during Q3 Q&A $QS
Market is reacting positively to Quantumscape after hours to this bullish Q3 ER $QS
Quantumscape executed 3/4 2026 with last to be completed 11/11/2026 🇯🇵, love the consistency and transparency. Great job Siva and team. $QS 👀🥳
“Quantumscape is currently demonstrating scalable production of solid state batteries using its highly automated Eagle Line pilot facility in San Jose.” $QS
Muehlbauer evaluated the Eagle Line processes and developed design enhancements to bring the technology to mass production; engineering work on higher-throughput processes and equipment for the new line is underway.
Start of cell production is targeted for 2028.
QuantumScape – Q3 2026 ER Summary
October 21, 2026 $QS
Overall: Bullish Long-Term 📈
QuantumScape continues progressing toward commercialization, expanding beyond EVs into AI data centers, defense, and aerospace while improving financial efficiency.
Market reacted positively after hours. Excited for Q&A!
ER call starts now join with link below:
edge.media-server.com/mmc/p/…
BOTTOM LINE
Bullish: QS is executing its 2026 strategy, expanding commercial relationships, advancing manufacturing, and improving financial efficiency.
Bearish: PowerCo milestones remain unresolved, significant losses continue, and commercial-scale manufacturing remains unproven.
Biggest Opportunity: AI data centers and defense could generate meaningful commercial demand ahead of large-scale EV production.
Next Major Catalyst: November 11 - next generation technology roadmap and automotive collaboration strategy.
2026 GOALS – STATUS
1. Demonstrate Scalable Production – ✅ ACHIEVED
Eagle Line operational and producing increased QSE-5 volumes. Commercial scale economics still need validation.
2. Advance Automotive Commercialization – ✅ ACHIEVED
Honda billings, new customer agreements, and continued PowerCo development.
3. Enter New High Value Markets – ✅ ACHIEVED
AI PowerBlock launched; defense, aviation, and telecommunications customer engagement and initial billings.
4. Next-Generation Technology Roadmap – PENDING
Scheduled for November 11, 2026, at QS’s Solid State Battery Symposium in Kyoto.
2026 Scorecard: 3 of 4 goals substantially achieved, with the final goal scheduled for November 11.
OPPORTUNITIES
• AI Data Centers: Potential demand for high-power, compact, safer energy storage.
• Defense: Domestic battery manufacturing could create competitive advantages and government contracting opportunities.
• PowerCo Licensing: Finalized milestones could unlock payments, royalties, and future commercialization.
• Automotive: Honda and additional manufacturers diversify opportunities beyond Volkswagen.
• Manufacturing Scale: Murata, Corning, and Muehlbauer partnerships establish a potential pathway toward GWh-scale production.
THE BAD (RISKS)
• PowerCo: Updated development milestones remain unresolved, creating uncertainty around licensing and future payments.
• Production Timeline: First 100-MWh commercial line isn’t expected to begin production until 2028.
• Continued Losses: Q3 net loss of $84.5M and operating cash burn of $55.1M.
• Revenue: $9.8M in customer billings, which does not necessarily represent recognized revenue.
• Manufacturing: Commercial-scale production costs, yields, and consistency remain unproven.
• Dilution: Weighted-average shares outstanding increased approximately 5.4% YoY.
THE GOOD (BULLISH)
• Manufacturing: Announced Muehlbauer partnership for a 100-MWh commercial production line targeting 2028.
• Eagle Line: Fully operational, increasing QSE-5 production and customer sampling.
• AI Data Centers: QS PowerBlock demonstrated 4× power density and 5× runtime compared with the OCP reference specification.
• Honda: Recorded first customer billings and signed another agreement with an unnamed global mobility manufacturer.
• Defense & Aerospace: Shipped QSE-5 samples and recorded first customer billings.
• Financial Improvement: Q3 net loss decreased approximately 20% YoY to $84.5M.
• Liquidity: Strong balance sheet with $819.8M available.
🅰️J retweeted
$QS: Update: Siva wasn't just attending. He spoke on a panel covering energy, critical infrastructure and steel, per Resilinc's Kamal Ahluwalia (USIBC board).
Batteries now sit in the same strategic conversation as AI and semis.
$QS : Siva Sivaram was among the attendees at the USIBC x Hoover Institution West Coast Summit (Stanford, Oct 14).
Agenda: AI, semiconductor supply chains, US-India tech cooperation.
No QS-specific news, but the CEO is spending time where tomorrow's critical industrial supply chains are being shaped.
Tesla Roadster Reveal. Wonder what battery they are going with? Long rumored connect with $QS
Long shot but worth the watch at 5:55p PST
livestream.tesla.com/














