Michael (@mike61400) header
Michael (@mike61400) profile picture

Huge Yankees, Pats & Celts fan, amateur winter weather nerd, professional martial arts instructor

Joined January 2013
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Heading into winter I'd love to build my follower base a bit. If you follow me and like what I do with winter storm tracking I would appreciate a plug! I track Northeast winter storms...I'm not an every day, all season weather account... but when winter storms threaten I'll be on it!
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Michael retweeted
Paul George dropped 36. Jayson Tatum dropped 21. Celtics beat the Sixers by 22. No beef. Just lamb chops.
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00z GFS vs 00z CMC... I think the GFS is overdone and the CMC is likely underdone for the mountains at least...something between most probable imo
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As we look towards late nov into early Dec, winter looks like it will get off to a quick start if you ask me. Long range models starting to trend towards colder and stormier conditions in eastern 1/3, polar vortex stays weak, active Sub trop jet , and MJO not in a bad spot.
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Nice first snowfall across the northeast for PA, NY state, VT, and NH over the next few days ❄️
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A good amount of interior NY as well as the mountains of VT and NH have a moderate snowfall on the way, the more elevation the more snow
Slight uptrend from the evening NBM, though no change in placement.
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❄️ WINTER 2026–27 OUTLOOK IS HERE ❄️ 3 things to know 👇 🌡️ MILD: El Niño keeps temps above average 🌀 STORMY: Very active southern jet = lots of storms & plenty of mix events 🗓️ FEBRUARY: Our best shot at a major snowstorm comes late Maps in the thread 🧵
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NNE, especially in the mountains, and interior NY esp NE NY likely to see accumulating snow into Friday
There still is a solid signal for heavy snow in New England late week into weekend. Elevation & dynamics will be huge. 500 feet makes a big difference in setups like this.
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To my 2,000 new followers… I live in Southern RI, so my focus is Southern New England but this year will try my best-time permitting (I don’t get paid for this lol) - to provide some insight for more of the northeast, but forgive me that I can’t be super detailed about every location from Buffalo to Bangor. Super appreciate all the new followers! Also- yes I’m a snow hound, I love it- but I really try my best to keep my forecasts and tracking impartial, even if the result isn’t what I prefer!
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Wow when I posted this I thought maybe I’d gain a couple hundred followers…. Didn’t think it would add 2,000 in one day!!! Thank you to my friends who shared my post and recommended a follow & welcome aboard for winter weather tracking in the northeast to all the new followers!
Heading into winter I'd love to build my follower base a bit. If you follow me and like what I do with winter storm tracking I would appreciate a plug! I track Northeast winter storms...I'm not an every day, all season weather account... but when winter storms threaten I'll be on it!
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Michael retweeted
The epo continues to trend more and more negative. Good sign if you want cold and snow threats as we move into early december.
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My CFSv2 Top 5 analog blend for December has gone nuclear! If this is a true signal, the very warm December forecasts may be in trouble…
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12z Euro also looks like a reasonable solution, snow in the mountains, maybe a little in the Berks/NW hills of CT, cold rain elsewhere. Coast is battling climo, really has to be a special set up to get snow to the coastal plain this early
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Don’t miss this… if you don’t follow, you should
Winter forecast drops tonight ❄️
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One of my favorite follows for weather…
I think ski country should do quite well with this system. Open the slopes!
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If you don’t follow this guy for New England weather you are missing out… he’s one of the best!
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12z Euro AI seems reasonable to me... ski areas especially in VT get the season started, maybe some light accums in the Berks
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Michael retweeted
Saturday and Sunday Morning lows will be COLD 🥶
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12z CMC with a colder look, I don't think snow gets as far south as this shows, but I do think the signal for NNE ski area snow is getting stronger
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12z GFS significantly more north than the 12z RRFS, still significant mountain snows per this run
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