High Conviction, Early-Stage, Unfiltered.

Vancouver, BC
Joined May 2011
Third time gold has tested $4K since June. Third time it’s held. The “top is in” crowd was nowhere to be found at $3,300. My line: lose $3,950 and $3,890 is next. Reclaim $4,180 and the bears go quiet. Until then, I hope you bought the dip because gold is going to rip 🚀
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Gold was $369 in 1996. It's $4,160 today. Canada sold every ounce it had at ~$1,240. China is 23 months into buying every dip. Next week I'm laying out the full chart, and why the real leverage isn't in gold at all. It's in the juniors. Watch for it. smallcapinvestor.ca
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This is how a junior mining story is supposed to end. $6.75 cash + Spinco shares per share. 58% premium to the 20-day VWAP. And shareholders keep 85% of a new company with ~1.9Moz of gold, US$10M cash and the same team. I think the spinout is the part most people will miss. $RM.TO $SSRM smallcapinvestor.ca/ssr-mini…
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I wonder what Snowline is raising another $150M for? Not jumping to any conclusions, but it does make you think about where the Snowline story is headed. As they move closer to the endgame, it's hard not to wonder where $GSR.V ultimately fits into that equation.
🚨 SNOWLINE GOLD LOCKS IN MASSIVE C$150M BOUGHT DEAL Snowline Gold has entered into a C$150 million underwritten financing led by BMO Capital Markets at C$14.50/share to fully fund technical milestones and accelerate drilling at its flagship Valley deposit in the Yukon. Does this level of institutional backing make Snowline the premier junior gold play in the market right now? (TSX: $SGD.TO | OTCQB: $SNWGF)
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Despite the share price weakness over the last year, Gold Strike Resources $GSR remains my top gold pick moving forward. Here is why I believe the market is overlooking both the Florin upside and the potential M&A value of Gold Strike’s land position. smallcapinvestor.ca/why-gold…
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Leopold stepped into the lions den and got swallowed up by the alpha
OH. MY. GOODNESS. CITADEL HAS BOUGHT A MAJORITY OF THE PUBLIC ASSETS FROM LEOPOLD'S SITUATIONAL AWARENESS FUND. So...Citadel scares everyone on Tuesday about a surprise rate hike during FOMC that WE ALL KNEW was not going to happen... On Wednesday, the entire market freaks out about the rate hike which causes the selling to compound on itself creating 50-70% drawdowns across the board in high beta semicondcutor names... Which means Leopold who we now know had $45B of assets and was 400% LEVERED ends up being the sacrifice as he gets liquidated at what theoretically could be the bottom due to not having the margin requirements to keep solvent... AND THE PERSON WHO CAUSED THE SELLOFF WITH THE RATE HIKE FEARS ENDS UP COMING IN TO BUY HIS ASSETS FOR 40 TO 50 CENTS ON THE DOLLAR. By the way, Leopold is getting married this weekend. I think he wanted to make sure he wasn't getting margin called during his wedding. A vet on wall street in Ken Griffin takes out the young new kid. ABSOLUTE. CINEMA.
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Nice bounce off the bottom for high beta momentum semiconductor stocks Some of these names are going to drive the AI revolution for the next 15-20 years and they are trading at a fraction of what they were 2 months ago.
Replying to @TokStocks
This looks like a very good buying opportunity especially for high-beta AI infrastructure stocks.
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What a ridiculous headline. This is the same $NVDA that has $54B cash, $12B in debt, and $160B in Net Income (ttm). They could pay off the entirety of the debt tomorrow if they wanted to and still have $42B left over.
$NVDA - NVIDIA CREDIT RISK JUMPS The cost of insuring Nvidia's debt surged to a record after reports the company is discussing more than $750 billion in AI infrastructure financing tied to OpenAI. Investors are growing concerned about Nvidia's expanding financial commitments, with analysts warning complex financing structures could increase credit risks.
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Wow... chart of the day: Sandisk $SNDK This was the most talked about stock on earth for the last several months. Since June 25th it is down over 50%.... I think this is incredibly blown out and due for a sharp rebound. Not much has changed in the last month. $INTC and $GOOG both reported strong earnings with increases to CAPEX... the AI revolution is not ending today.
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Almost all of the analysts covering this name have $2000+ price targets on the stock
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One of the narratives/themes that I think will be very prevalent over the next 5 years is robotics. "Elon tends to be directionally correct on where the future is heading, such as with EV or Space. He seems extremely bullish on humanoids." I agree.
Just some notes from $TSLA transcripts: Elon Musk: "I think Optimus will be the biggest product ever" from Q2 earnings transcripts. Even from Q1, Elon Stated: "I think Optimus will be our biggest product. Not just Tesla's biggest product ever, but probably the biggest product ever. And I remain convinced of that conclusion". It's very rare to see such high conviction reiterated from Elon regarding humanoids both directionally and TAM-wise. In terms of upstream suppliers opportunities, Karn Budhiraj, VP of $TSLA supply chains stated: "We’re seeing the same level of investment going to memory and also new specific items like metal injection molded parts, flexible printed circuits, and all sorts of nonlinear technologies..." And that they had to build new supply chains from scratch. So would be interesting to look at for new supply chain supplier opportunities apart from the known ones. Just pulled older slides and it looks like capacity targets for Fremont are 1M and Giga Texas was 10M, so at scale, $TSLA seems to be the clear US leader. If you're looking at that S-Curve opportunity ramp. On a side note, Elon also gave a shoutout to $MU with likely reasonably priced LTAs, given his statement: "We really appreciate Micron making room for Tesla in the years to come and giving us actually a very significant allocation on reasonable terms given the pretty insane pricing of memory these days." (Just for structural memory demand). Elon also gave a shoutout to Panasonic which had invested many billions in increasing battery cell production (will need to do deeper DD into Panasonic after this), then Samsung and $TSM. Just takeaways from Tesla earnings TLDR: Elon tends to be directionally correct on where the future is heading, such as with EV or Space. He seems extremely bullish on humanoids.
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We just saw the worst 30 day drop for high-beta stocks since 2008, mainly due to pullbacks in AI infrastructure and memory names. These stocks are down AGAIN today. Is the AI revolution over or are you buying the dip?
High Beta Stocks have plunged more than 20% and are on track for their biggest monthly loss since the Global Financial Crisis 🚨🚨
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Some names I have been watching $ORCL $SNDK $MU $ALAB $LITE $AAOI
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So the pullback on Abaxx finally came and this time I took advantage. As of this morning, I am officially one of the 29ers... Did I do that right? LONG $ABXX.NE
A friend of mine told me to buy this at $12 not too long ago. Probably should have listened. Congrats to the longs $ABXX
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Well, $GDXU was in fact a buy here.
Would you buy this here? $GDXU
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Would you buy this here? $GDXU
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Crazy stat… Over half of the entire KOSPI (Korean Stock Market) is made up of two companies.
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