Paul Maher retweeted
How to hold a dissembling, obfuscating minister’s feet to the fire.
Energy Sec refuses to answer, multiple times, whether she backs the government's immigration proposal.
🗣️ @SophyRidgeSky asks - "Do you support plans for people to live in the UK for 15 years before they get permanent residency?"
Paul Maher retweeted
In the latest episode of @DiffereEngine #tech #strategy #podcast @WestFour and I discuss whether it’s good to have more UK ex-politicians in US AI firms or whether it hampers British built-and-based category leaders in a much more competitive future AI landscape.
pod.link/1703382202
Paul Maher retweeted
"Do you think that the state of Israel, as a safe home for Jews after the Holocaust and after the pogroms, has a right to exist?"
@bbcnickrobinson repeatedly asks Green Party leader Zack Polanski.
Britain loses over half its billionaire wealth in two years: Super-rich worth combined £121bn leave UK lbc.co.uk/article/britain-lo…
Paul Maher retweeted
Absurdly Counter Terrorism chief Vicky Evans claimed the decision to further charge Joshua Kerry ( he was accused of murdering Ann Widdecombe) with planning terrorism acts against Nigel Farage was due to a “ hugely intensive and complex investigation”. No it wasn’t.
Police had the photo of somebody pushing a lit incendiary device through the letterbox of Farage’s London home early last year.
But they failed to push the photo out , closed the case and it was only when the alleged killer of Ms Widdecombe was identified after her murder in July this year - 16 months later- that they put two and two together.
If counter terror and the Met had taken the attack on the Reform leader seriously would Ann Widdecombe be alive today?
A serious question. Not helped by claiming the charge was due to a “ complex and intensive” investigation.
Paul Maher retweeted
“The fasten seat belts sign is on”.
This is a message I received early this morning from one of the UK’s most experienced, savvy and respected financial traders. Someone I have come to know and trust for the last 25 years.
10-year bond yields are now almost 4.5pc - up some 50 basis points over the last month.
30-year yields this morning went above 6pc - a 28-year high.
Yet the UK’s political and media class continues to focus on party posturing and folksy rhetoric, ignoring the slow-motion disaster that has been happening on the UK’s sovereign bond markets for at least the last 18 months - a disaster that will inevitably, unless we drastically change course, turn into a fully blown market meltdown.
At that point, the UK government won’t be able to borrow enough money to finance our already spiralling debt interest bill.
Britain’s financial management will be taken over by overseas technocrats - that will be the condition of additional borrowing, to maintain the basic functions of the state, as happened in Greece and Italy back in the early 2010s and here in Britain 50 years ago this year (when we were forced in 1976 to apply to the IMF for a bailout).
The austerity then imposed on Britain would make 2010-2019 feel like a picnic - far, far worse than it would be if we took serious action now to control our public finances.
Lower-income households would suffer most - and there would be serious damage done to the UK’s already rapidly-fraying social fabric ….
I have been warning about these looking fiscal dangers publicly, in my newspaper columns and elsewhere, since at least early 2024.
Doing so hasn’t been easy or fun. I have been dismissed and derided by numerous economists, “economists”, officials and policymakers - as well as lots of journalists.
I absolutely don’t want a disastrous 1976-style outcome - which is why I’ve taken the blows and issued the warnings.
The state is too big. Public spending is out of control. Our fiscal rules are a convenient nonsense - designed to kick the can of financial reality into the future. We need to get real … and take bold action to tame the growth of spending, push back a now totally over-bearing state and snap the British economy out of today’s high-tax-high-borrowing-low-growth doom loop - the result of myopic, counter-productive policy-making by successive governments for the last decade and more …
Other prominent economists who agree with me - ie who are financially-literate, can read a yield curve, have a passing interest in economic history and who understand the dangers of some 80pc of UK government borrowing going on debt interest as it currently is - need to chuck “career risk” in the bin, and start saying publicly what so many of them have, for quite a while now, only had the bottle to say to me in private …
Remember: “The fasten seat belts sign is on”
Paul Maher retweeted
In this episode of @DiffereEngine #tech #strategy #podcast @PMaher and @WestFour discuss whether it’s good to have UK ex-politicians in US AI firms or whether it hampers British built-and-based category leaders in a more competitive future AI landscape. pod.link/1703382202
Paul Maher retweeted
Are you suffering from a severe lack of popularity ? Want to be rich and famous again ? Have you tried the Gaza Grift ?
#GazaGrift #Grifters #VirtueSignalForClicks
Paul Maher retweeted
Replying to @mikebutcher @Pathfounders
Reminds us all of the Marx quote I paraphrase“We have principles…. and if you don’t like them. we have others” Clegg > Sunak > Clifford….
Paul Maher retweeted
WE know we’re finished as a species when we think it necessary to listen to Prince Harry on AI.
He couldn’t read his speech due to a teleprompter issue and walked off. Weren’t his fans telling us he memorizes his speeches and doesn’t read them like the other royals? He couldn’t even improvise on a topic he’s supposedly known for years as an advocate against the harms technology can cause children.
Paul Maher retweeted
Valencia's ex-president on Gary Neville:
"That Englishman we had, he was honestly the worst coach I've ever seen in my life."
Paul Maher retweeted
He looks stressed and under pressure already and he's only been in the job a few weeks. He has the look of a man completely out of his depth.
🚨An absolute car crash of an interview, stammering and stuttering, not convinced of his own words. 👇
On Operation Scatter - migrants in every town.
Burnham: don’t worry about the extra crime or women and children no longer feeling safe going out — I’ve fairly distributed that risk across the UK.
The fair thing would be to remove these men from the UK.
Paul Maher retweeted
I have conducted an audit of Anthropic's finances.
What I have found is so shocking that I am calling for a Congressional investigation.
Anthropic is not just seeking regulatory capture.
It has built a regulatory capture machine that cannot be turned off.
Structural financial incentives make it impossible for Anthropic -- I call it the Anthropic Network -- to turn off its own AI doom cycle.
It starts with METR.
Dario Amodei proposes "third-party evaluators" to assess the risk of Anthropic's models.
He proposes METR for this purpose.
But METR is financially dependent on the Anthropic's success -- specifically, on the explosive growth of more than $7 billion dollars in Anthropic stock.
Dustin Moskovitz invested this stock into Good Ventures Foundation, where it represents the majority of that organization's portfolio.
And GVF is the overwhelming funder of the entire Anthropic Network ecosystem.
This stock was worth $500 million early last year.
It is worth more than $7.7 billion just ~16 months later.
METR -- and all of those building a career its parent organizations -- cannot afford to disrupt that growth.
Because if Anthropic goes under, many of the organizations that fund METR go under as well.
But if Anthropic succeeds, METR and its parent organizations become more richly financed to regulate AI -- something those at METR want very much.
The "third-party evaluator" is not "third-party" at all.
The evaluator is on Anthropic's payroll.
If this were the end of it, that's bad.
But that isn't all.
The same organizations that fund METR also fund the many organizations, such as the Tarbell Center, that promote AI Doom.
The Tarbell Center publishes AI Doom articles in The Verge, Science, LA Times, The Dispatch, TIME, and others.
They are selling the problem, and then selling the solution to the problem -- from the same money pile: Anthropic's.
All of these organizations are financially dependent on the same exploding $7 billion money pile.
As Anthropic grows more and more powerful, its AI Doom Machine grows better and better financed -- louder and louder.
Meanwhile, the regulatory regime seeded in METR grows larger to solve the increasingly loud -- now hysterical -- problem of AI Doom that the Anthropic Network itself created.
From this standpoint, as Anthropic becomes more powerful, AI might be getting scarier, sure -- but the positive feedback loop also becomes more deafening -- independent of objective facts.
This itself is an objective fact.
The deafening AI Doom is part of an business model, that, as it expands, so too does the AI Doom messaging -- there is simply more money to do it.
But the problem also goes in the other direction:
If Anthropic dies, the Regulatory Regime and the AI Doom Machine are crippled or die.
Neither METR nor Tarbell nor the other organizations in the Anthropic Network can allow that to happen.
Hence, neither METR or the AI Doom Machine can be trusted to provide independent assessments of Anthropic's models or AI more broadly.
They simply are not organizations independent of Anthropic.
And Anthropic cannot detach itself from METR or Tarbell or countless other safety orgs (not shown here), either, because they drive hype for the models and the possibility of eventual regulatory capture, and Anthropic will not give that up willingly.
What's more, the people at all of these organizations are all the same ecosystem, the same community. They just shuffle between organizations.
The Anthropic Network is therefore, so long as it is successful, locked into a self-amplifying feedback loop inside an ideological monoculture.
And that feedback loop is winning.
That's what Jacob Coxon is.
China is keeping messaging tight. That is why optimism for AI is so high in China.
America has Anthropic: a massive company pushing anti-AI propaganda at a state level.
Anthropic will either create hysteria until American AI slows down and China wins, or it will create fractures throughout American society with severe political consequences.
Ironically, because of the structural financial incentives underpinning the Anthropic Network, it has become the same kind of self-amplifying virus that it fantasizes AI to become in the future -- while hiding its tracks just as carefully.
It is the mirror of the same AI virus that it hypothesizes to consume America.
Anthropic's business model, models itself after the very thing it claims to fear.
Except Anthropic's ideology infects humans, not computers.
Congress must investigate.
Evidence and Github in next post.
Then some supplementary figures.
Paul Maher retweeted
🚨🗣️ Gary Neville on Michael Carrick and Manchester United’s performance against Manchester City:
🗣️“I’ve got to be honest. I think Michael Carrick has to go now. He’s not the right man for the job. That performance today was a disgrace for a club like Manchester United.
Manchester City were down to 10 men from the 23rd minute and United still couldn’t take advantage. We barely created a big chance. There was no urgency, no control, no attacking quality and, most importantly, no clear idea of how to break them down.
You cannot play against 10 men for that long and come away looking like the team with fewer players. Manchester United should have dominated that game, but City looked more comfortable.
I’m also really concerned about some of the new signings. Tielemans was nowhere near good enough today. I expected much more from him, but his performance was poor. Santos may not have played today, but United have to start asking whether these signings are good enough to take this club forward.
This isn’t about one bad result anymore. It’s about the direction of the team. I don’t see enough from Carrick to convince me he is the right manager for Manchester United.
The club has to make a decision now. You cannot keep accepting performances like this. Manchester United need a manager who can give them an identity, make them competitive and get the best out of these players.
Today was embarrassing. City had 10 men for over an hour and United still couldn’t create anything. That tells you everything you need to know.”
Paul Maher retweeted
Bang to rights.
This clip is so devastating, not just for Wes Streeting, but for Healey and Burnham too.
There’s simply no way for them to spin their way out of it.
Someone was lying about Labour’s willingness to fund defence spending properly weren’t they?
Paul Maher retweeted
Replying to @levelsio
That is so unrespectful. One of the richest companies should behave otherwise and show ultimate respect to solopreneurs especially and other companies of any size.
Paul Maher retweeted
In the latest episode of @DiffereEngine tech strategy podcast @PMaher and @BigStickComms explore the warning signs that have preceded past market fallouts. If the #AI #bubble is about to pop, these are the warning signs you need to know. Link below 👇
Paul Maher retweeted
$1.6 million dollars in Bitcoin was drained from my account on July 29th in the Cold Card wallet hack.
My Bitcoin was in cold storage. My keys were on a ColdCard device kept in a safety deposit box that had never been connected to the internet.
This part's nerdy, but here's what happened:
Hackers discovered a vulnerability in the part of the hardware wallet code used to create seed phrases.
This allowed them to use AI to brute force guessing seed phrases.
I was at our cottage and heard about the hack today.
"No way this affects me." I thought.
I logged into Wasabi––software that lets me view my bitcoin wallets online.
Right away I saw lines of red transaction–withdrawals–and I knew.
From 9:36pm - 9:43pm on July 29th, every wallet I had had been emptied.
18.25245043 btc gone. That's just over $1.6 million dollars CAD.
Perhaps the hardest part about this is that I did everything right.
I never shared my seed phrase with anybody. My devices never touched the internet. Everything was kept in multiple safes and safety deposit boxes.
None of it mattered. All because the hardware that created the seed phrase originally had one line in their code from 2021 that had a vulnerability.
I'm filing a police report and a report with the Ontario Securities Commission. But I don't expect to recoup anything.
A part of me is trying to make sense of what just happened. Or try to figure out a lesson in it. I'm struggling. $1.6 million is a staggering amount of money to have stolen.
I guess all that I can think about right now is that I'm so damn happy that I'm an entrepreneur and that my earning potential is under my control. Mark my damn words. I'll recover.


























