
just around and investing into generational companies, and building @tryprismxyz nothing that I post is financial advice.
Joined July 2022
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Initially the team thought I was not being serious…..
But, it just had to be a gold.
$RKLB: What a day.
This is a direct result of a phenomenal earnings.
Once Neutron comes online next year, and we close Iridium - this business will run like wildfire. 🚀
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Clear Street raises their $RKLB price target to $110 from $105 and maintains ‘Buy’ rating.
“Estimates rise mainly because Space Systems is running at a higher base, and secondarily because customers are paying more for Neutron. Revenue moves up about 9% in FY27E to $1.30B and about 10% in FY30E to $3.11B.”
$3+ billion in revenue by 2030… 👀
$RKLB - Clear Street raises Rocket Lab price target to $110 from $105 and maintains buy rating
Key Points:
Neutron demand is accelerating at better prices. Eight Neutron missions signed in 3Q (~$515M) take the manifest to 16, some at a $70M base price vs. our prior $51M-$59M ASP (now $65M). Management said it could have booked more but chose higher prices over volume, and customers are paying up ahead of a debut.
3Q26: record revenue and backlog. Revenue of $267.8M (+73% y/y) beat our $257.5M by ~4%, and backlog hit a record $3.57B (+52% q/q). Adj. EBITDA of $(18.0)M was ahead of our estimate on better gross margin, partly offset by higher Neutron R&D.
Outlook: higher on a stronger base and better Neutron pricing. The quarter gave us reason to move estimates up, though our changes are modest and the Neutron schedule is unchanged. Estimates rise mainly because Space Systems is running at a higher base, and secondarily because customers are paying more for Neutron. Revenue moves up about 9% in FY27E to $1.30B and about 10% in FY30E to $3.11B.
Balance sheet: ~$4.7B net cash. Cash burn stays heavy as Neutron spending comes ahead of revenue, so we model year-end 2026 cash of ~$4.3B. The ATM and Iridium’s credit facility fully fund the deal, leaving regulatory approvals as the remaining step.
Raising PT to $110, Reiterate Buy
We raise our price target to $110 from $105 following 3Q26 results, and the target rests on three pieces: the multiple, revenue and net cash.
• The multiple (largest piece). We apply ~23x 2030E EV/Sales, which works out to ~0.6x per point of growth on a ~39% 2025-30 revenue CAGR.
• Revenue. Our 2030E estimate rises to $3.11B (from $2.83B) and reflects 15 Neutron launches, implying about $71.5B of 2030E enterprise value before discounting to present value.
• Net cash (smallest piece). Neutron capex arrives ahead of revenue, so FY26-27 cash burn stays heavy, and we model 2030E net cash of about $6.0B.
Management has not dated the 2027 first flight, and we maintain 3Q27E
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$AREC: Right now, a trader can buy 1 ton of legit tantalum, buy 4 more tons from smugglers, and photocopy the same certificate 4 times.
That's how minerals are tracked today. A PDF.
@SagintInc is fixing that. A token can only move with the actual lot, so the photocopy trick stops working.
I recently had the wonderful opportunity to sit down with Amb. Troy Fitrell (@tdf_dc), former top US diplomat for Africa and now CEO of SAGINT International, and Non-Executive Director of Ivanhoe Atlantic (@IvanhoeAtlantic). We covered tokenization, the ADI Foundation partnership, a pan-African minerals exchange, and the Jan 1 traceability rules.
This interview is a wonderful one, and I highly recommend you check it out. Enjoy - and thanks again to Troy for the discussion!
app.tryprism.xyz/p/probzunkn…
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A blowout quarter 🚀🛰️Today we reported $RKLB Q3 2026 financial results and the numbers speak for themselves.
Full results: investors.rocketlabcorp.com/…
$RKLB, $AREC: When asked about the stability of the space supply chain, Sir Peter Beck highlighted the continued challenges in securing critical minerals:
Yeah, I mean, not so much for us because we are so vertically integrated. We control so much of our own supply chain. For us, probably the things that we worry about are different things than other people who are building satellites and procuring components from us and others worry about. For us, because we are transforming raw materials into finished items, it is more raw materials. There are some critical minerals and whatnot that continue to be a challenge for a number of industries. But I think, as we look across our supply chain, it really devolves all the way down to just raw materials rather than any particular items.
Come Jan 1, that problem will become a lot harder! Long $AREC and ReElement.
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Failed to record my interview today, so I made it a point to get my Onsite in person interview uploaded ASAP.
This is my first YouTube video, so go easy on me. Massive thanks to the @UnusualMachines media team for their help and expertise, along with @evansall and Drew Camden (don't think he's on X) for their time.
Facilities videos coming, along with coverage across the Hard Tech landscape. Any sharing and subscriptions very appreciated, thank you all on X for following and tuning in.
youtu.be/j1Gub_TIwEI?si=vdEm…
$RKLB: The Department of War's Office of Strategic Capital Signs $150 Million Conditional Loan Commitment With Rocket Lab
The Office of Strategic Capital (OSC) announced today a $150 million conditional loan commitment with Rocket Lab USA, Inc., the principal operating subsidiary of Rocket Lab Corporation (NASDAQ: RKLB) and a global leader in launch services and space systems. The loan would support Rocket Lab's efforts to increase the flight rate of its reusable Neutron rocket beyond first launch to meet growing commercial and national security demand for access to space.
OSC's conditional loan commitment to Rocket Lab is intended to support a critical national security priority: scaling America's space launch capabilities and supporting economic resiliency. The proposed loan would support faster vehicle delivery and processing and allow Rocket Lab to expand its fleet of maritime vessels with additional equipment for Neutron recovery and transport. It would also enable manufacturing upgrades to increase the production of composite structures and engines, and support infrastructure that would reduce turnaround time between launches once the reusable rocket makes its operational debut.
war.gov/News/Releases/Releas…
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$RKLB: Rocket Lab Lands Over $515M in Neutron Launch Deals from Constellation Operators in Q3
Rocket Lab Corporation (Nasdaq: RKLB), a global leader in launch and space systems, today announced a record quarter of Neutron launch contracts: eight missions across five constellation operators totaling more than $515 million, including several missions sold at an elevated base price of $70 million per launch.
European synthetic aperture radar constellation manufacturer and operator ICEYE has signed a contract for three dedicated Neutron launches beginning from late 2028.
U.S.-based satellite manufacturer and constellation operator Muon Space has signed a contract for two dedicated Neutron launches, one in 2029 and one in 2030.
U.S.-based company Starcloud, which plans to design, build, and deploy data centers in space, has also booked a dedicated Neutron launch in 2029.
These contracts follow on from a single dedicated Neutron launch booked by Canadian satellite communications provider Kepler Communications, which was signed in Q3 and recently announced, and a single dedicated Neutron launch for the United States Space Force under the Space-Based Airborne Moving Target Indicator (SB-AMTI) program signed in Q3.
LFG!
investors.rocketlabcorp.com/…
$RKLB: So excited for these earnings.
This is a generational company at an inflection point.
Let's go @Peter_J_Beck 🚀
Tune in to our Q3 2026 financial results at 5:00 pm ET today.
📺 edge.media-server.com/mmc/p/…
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Unknown retweeted
Tune in to our Q3 2026 financial results at 5:00 pm ET today.
📺 edge.media-server.com/mmc/p/…
$AREC: Watch out for @SagintInc 👀‼️
Gen. (Ret.) Bryan P. Fenton, former Commander of USSOCOM, has joined the @SagintInc Board of Advisors.
He will advise on critical minerals supply chain security and defense industrial base resilience.
Welcome to the team!
@ADIChain_ @ReElementTech
prnewswire.com/news-releases…
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$RKLB: WE will be there. Let’s go ‼️
We will cover rocket lab’s earnings after the bell.
Be there or be square. $rklb
youtube.com/live/rvedeLEukJc…
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