Universal High Income The most likely outcome

I'm absolutely thrilled to have written this article for Long Now. It's about AI and time: how we got here, and what we can do now, when all of the pace layers are disrupted at once by an influx of new minds. I wrote this over the summer. At the time, it seemed maybe too weird, like people wouldn't believe or understand what I was saying. And of course, everything changes so fast that it's hard to imagine writing something about AI that far in advance and have it still make sense. But I think the events of the last few months have only made it more relevant. The Long Now Foundation has been an inspiration to me for a decade now, and has changed my life in countless ways. I'm incredibly grateful and honored to be among so many of my heroes and friends and colleagues represented in this issue of Pace Layers and Long Now Ideas. I wouldn't be here in San Francisco, here on Twitter, or here in the field of artificial intelligence if not for this community. The conversation about AI has been fractious. It's very hard to think about how to fit this sudden, disruptive, technological change into the 10,000-year view. I hope I provide some insights, or at least some new angles for the conversation. It's scary to go on the record, especially about something that will affect everyone, and affect the rest of history. If I'm wrong, I'm wrong forever! Please read and enjoy, and post quotes and screenshots, and buy Pace Layers Issue 3 so you can have a permanent hard copy. I have always wanted to be a part of the 10,000-year library, so I have to be serious for once and try to stand for something. Let me know what you think.

the concept of vibes is very attractive to people because it bails you out of being precise about what's going on

There are moments where our planet shows us how small we are. This is one of those moments. Extremely high-resolution view of mesovortices inside the 895 MBAR Stadium Effect of Super Typhoon Champi right now, as the air rushing into this 35 mile-wide vacuum accelerates the serrated, 50,000 ft high thunderstorms in the eyewall to sustained wind speeds of 185 MPH with gusts up to 225 MPH.

Out on the town having the time of my life with a bunch of friends. They're all just out of frame, laughing too.