Founder. CISO. Shipped AI to 100K+ users and identity for $400M+ in fintech. Writing on AI agents, Elixir, and Omarchy → https://xitter.cf/t.co/uzSTLotAm3
California
Joined January 2013
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Jared Smith retweeted
Is SaaS dead?
I analyzed 758 startups with over $1,000 MRR on TrustMRR.com.
1. Their revenue over the last 4 months is slightly declining.
That compounded decline would be about 11% per year. At a steady pace, that's 45% degrowth in 5 years.
2. B2B revenue is holding up better than B2C.
Median revenue growth was 0% for B2B (255 businesses), versus −6.2% for B2C (257).
3. Existing momentum tends to persist.
Among businesses whose revenue grew at least 5% from June to July, 54% subsequently grew MRR. Among those whose revenue previously fell by at least 5%, only 35% grew MRR.
n=758 startups and $41.63M in revenue in the last 4 months.
Jared Smith retweeted
By next year, Omarchy could become the number 1 Linux distro. It's growing like crazy currently!
Feels like the early Ubuntu days back then (yes, I was there!)
Anyone else feeling like your agent being lazy completing a turn, is the AI equivalent of “are you still watching Netflix?”
Real businesses are created when the work get boring and the grind gets long.
That’s when most people quit.
Fuck it. Who cares if someone else is doing it already?
create something you love and want to see.
Maybe you’ll do it better maybe you won’t, either way you learn something.
Jared Smith retweeted
You just solved something that confused you yesterday. Explain it while you still remember where you got stuck. You can help another beginner without pretending to be an expert.
Jared Smith retweeted
Update your Omarchy Uber TV guys. 0.4.1 update introduces tablet mode. If you havent tried out Omarchy Uber TV yet, you can find the link below
github.com/marcho78/uber-tv
Jared Smith retweeted
Dude, can we please stop publishing vulns before they are disclosed to the vendor!?!?!?!??!
Jared Smith retweeted
Amazing endorsement of X. This really is where you'll find the most optimistic, forward-looking people in tech.
The poll so far between Twitter, Bluesky and Mastodon. I think it looks less absurd than last time, but still pretty clear that the base is divided. xitter.cf/mitsuhiko/status/21143…
Jared Smith retweeted
WE GOT OMARCHY ON IPAD BEFORE GTA6!!
A single command to install @omarchy on your iPad
Coming soon
Video is sped up, total install took 3.8 minutes
@OmarchyMac @OmarchyUpdates @dhh @OmarchyLinux @tcballard
It’s not exactly 29 and never pay again. It’s 29 and then you get to host it and maintain it which all have a cost. So is the amount of management you have to do worth 40/mo to you.
If they ever turn off llm subscriptions then it becomes exponentially more expensive.
databull is the perfect example of what i keep seeing: indie hackers don't buy software. they rebuild it.
someone was paying $39/mo for an analytics tool. instead of paying, they cloned it and sold it for $29 lifetime. to the same crowd. who will also never pay monthly.
i pulled 7,800+ startups with verified revenue and split them by who they sell to:
- tools sold to indie hackers and founders: 74.5% make $0 a month.
- tools sold to small businesses and b2b teams: 60.5% make $0.
- only 4.5% of indie hacker tools ever reach $1k mrr. b2b tools reach it 2.5x as often.
- average mrr: about $530 selling to indie hackers vs about $1,870 selling to businesses. that's 3.5x.
why it keeps happening:
- they can build it themselves. every tool you sell them is a weekend project they're sure they could ship.
- they wait for the lifetime deal. monthly pricing is something they complain about, not something they pay.
- they're broke on purpose. most are pre-revenue and cutting costs, not buying tools.
- they're your competitors. your best customer today launches your clone next month.
when you zoom out, selling to indie hackers fails in one of three ways. they rebuild you, they wait you out for a lifetime deal, or they never had the budget in the first place!
Meh always someone who will pay for what they could have got for free.
There have been free alternatives to massively used softwares for decades. People will pay for trust, and for niche uses, or just so they don’t have to think about it or deal with managing it themselves.
Jared Smith retweeted
Hi everyone. I wanted to introduce you all to the ODK ("Omarchy Development Kit"). This is a project that provides the foundational work for building high quality, consistent and beautiful applications for Omarchy. It is based on Rust and GPUI, moving away from Quickshell, and besides just having apps built in Rust, the ODK also introduces a runtime service that can understand app archives similar to the MacOS `.app` - but in our case of course, `.oma` - this means that a directory becomes "executable" and automatically sandboxed under a least privilege permissions model. Please check out the video. I recorded this super quick, so the production value is low. I am not a content guy!
