Loves sports, especially college. Shares random thoughts that come to mind. Treat everyone as if they're discussing in good faith unless they prove otherwise.

Joined April 2011
Okay. Scratch my last comment. Turnout pace in Israel usually slows later in the day. That is not happening yet. The 4-6 PM block saw *more* votes than 2-4 PM. We might be heading to 80% turnout nationwide. And before anyone starts prognosticating, there are no comps.
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You can't compare unprecedented turnout to prior elections, because you have zero idea what the new voter pools are doing.
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Biggs signs a pledge to accept the election results. Hobbs has yet to sign.
Business leaders in Arizona value stability in our elections and asked candidates to sign a pledge to uphold election law and accept the results of the election (see the pledge here: leadershipnowproject.org/202… Only one candidate for Governor signed the pledge.
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Rahat (Ra'am Party's home base) is at 80% turnout as of 4 PM.
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Turnout in Israel is insane right now. Should easily clear 75%. Probably won't get to 80. Next-highest this century was 72%
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Fun fact: This is actually a better partisan composition for Rs than the voter registration of the city is.
Through the first two days of Early Voting in New York City, the electorate is: 🔵 76.3% Democratic 🔴 11.2% Republican ⚪️ 10.4% Unaffiliated 🟣 12.5% Age 18-34 🟢 17.4% Age 35-49 🟠 29.3% Age 50-64 🟡 40.9% Age 65+ Significantly bluer than 2024!
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This is low-key a really good ad. I think it will be pretty effective.
Replying to @MediumBuying
MORE: Ohioans for Lower Costs is up on TV with this spot -- Male voiceover: "This is a Jeep Wrangler made in Toledo. This is Bombardier 5000. Amy Acton is campaigning in this (Wrangler). Vivek Ramaswamy in this (jet). That pretty much tells you what you need to know about these two"
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Yesh Ginsburg retweeted
I don't think there's another election anywhere in the world like election day in Israel.
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Yesh Ginsburg retweeted
This is nuts of course, but there is nothing Americans are worse at in polling than estimating population shares of any minority group. See: yougov.com/en-us/articles/41…
In a new poll, 15% of Americans said they believe between 1 and 5% of NCAA athletes are transgender. 14% think between it's between 6 and 25%. Meanwhile, an NCAA spokesperson confirmed that the current number is "effectively" zero thebulwark.com/p/new-poll-bu…
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If I'm mathing this currently, more people voted in Israel at the 2 PM update this year than voted at the 4 PM update last election.
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Yesh Ginsburg retweeted
I'm not saying there were warning signs. I'm saying there were a LOT of warning signs. Everywhere. For years.
If every beautiful thing you see reminds you how much you hate immigrants, you might be @theblaze's Digital Strategist
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He refused to condemn an antisemitic ad that backed him. I don’t think the issue is his faith. I think the issue is the antisemitism.
It’s clear that the number one issue being used against El-Sayed is his faith. Less a referendum on ideology and more a referendum on American tolerance.
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Yesh Ginsburg retweeted
The ad isn’t just so clearly antisemitic that rent Michigan Ds are running from it, it was also so economically illiterate that anyone not overcome with animus could see the fallacy. AES needs this! It’s a perfect chance to Sister Souljah his bigoted hangers-on…
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Yesh Ginsburg retweeted
This ad is his campaign message. That’s also why people like Mehdi Hasan have spent the day both defending the ad and emphasizing it wasn’t from his campaign. They like the bigoted message but don’t want him to have to justify the obviously indefensible substance of it.
The ad isn’t just so clearly antisemitic that rent Michigan Ds are running from it, it was also so economically illiterate that anyone not overcome with animus could see the fallacy. AES needs this! It’s a perfect chance to Sister Souljah his bigoted hangers-on…
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Watch @cenkuygur become exactly what he accused former KKK Grand Wizard David Duke of being 10 years ago: “I think you might worship Israel and the Jewish folks because you put them up to be demigods in control of the whole world.”
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Low Arab turnout is not necessarily good for Bibi's bloc, btw
Turnout Figures, by Group 🟨Haredi: 29.8% 🟩Bedouin: 29.5% 🟩Arab (Total): 24.6% ⚠️These are based off of local figures, that lag behind the national ones.
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Yesh Ginsburg retweeted
Just a reminder, had the GOP nominated anyone aside from Kari Lake in 2024, they would have won the Senate seat and made it much for difficult for Democrats to win the majority this year
Brazil elections remind me of Arizona elections.
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My Uber driver grew up in Pakistan then moved to Dubai as a teenager when his father died, and I’m more than a little bit terrified to find out why he went.
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I simultaneously want to congratulate him for getting out but also don’t want him to know that I realize what this most likely means.
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