I see no need to get conspiratorial about Vučić backing down.
He choose to call early elections. He wouldn't do so if he knew he'd lose in a landslide.
They prepared to engineer a victory and then crack down on protests. They failed and had the good sense to cut their loses.
3BM15 retweeted
A group of hackers published classified data on Russian soldiers killed in the war, from Russia's statistics agency Rosstat. In late August, the total was 450,100 (around 100k per year). It is in line with other independent estimates. There is also a regional breakdown.
Recent strikes certainly look different, and worse for Russia.
In the recent time, Ukraine appeared to have shifted its tactics of strikes against Russian oil refineries from opportunistic hits on distillation towers toward systematic targeting of complex secondary units, repeated strikes on the same sites, and multi-wave saturation.
This is well evidenced in footage and photos from the attacks that took place in the last weeks, in which we can see not one or two isolated piles of smoke (as it was usually the case), but widespread fires across the whole refineries, with multiple points of impact.
After a brief pause in mid-to-late October 2026 (linked to US pressure ahead of the midterms), the Ukrainian strike campaign against Russian oil refineries has intensified again, with apparently new approach.
An unfortunate side effect of these elections is that the pro-EU position has been hijacked by a sad pack of trolls and bots.
These ideas will need to be retaken in the same way as patriotism was retaken from the late regime.
Serbia needs a reasonable, sane pro-EU option.
Who cares really? Trump Inc. was unable to bring anything tengible to table for 2 years, but thinks it will now when Trump just became lame duck president with no support in House and Senate? Jared, and half of admit will spend next two years subpoenaed and being impeached.
NEW!!! Kushner says the Trump admin is pursuing a new European security framework built around sovereignty and territorial integrity, with no country holding a veto over another’s security alliances.
The push comes ahead of next week’s U.S.-brokered trilateral peace talks with Ukraine and Russia in Abu Dhabi.
3BM15 retweeted
The Serbian media outlet Radar says it now "has proof that BIA (Serbia's Security Information Agency) was functioning as Aleksandar Vučić's political police, serving him by secretly monitoring all of his critics, including students, university officials, leaders of the opposition, trade union presidents and members of citizens' assemblies."
radar.nova.rs/drustvo/bia-vl…
3BM15 retweeted
EXCLUSIVE: President Trump told Axios in a phone interview today he's "in no rush" to decide whether to resume fighting in Iran.
axios.com/2026/11/02/trump-a…
Russian strikes on Kyiv.
POV 50.418698, 30.635993
@GeoConfirmed
The leftmost impact locaiton is likely the same as in the linked tweet.
nitter.gq/3_bm15/status/21165067…
Russian strikes in Kyiv.
It is most likely that the Fanplit industrial enterprise was struck again.
POV 50.433846, 30.619696
@GeoConfirmed
Russian strikes in Kyiv.
POV ~50.424593, 30.674017
@GeoConfirmed
Roughly the same location as the linked tweet.
Russian strike on Kyiv.
POV 50.424550, 30.674129
FIRMS shows a fire in the industrial zone corresponding to the strike on the right.
50.43113 30.67932
@GeoConfirmed
3BM15 retweeted
A little bird told me that Serbian ambassador to the EU Daniel Apostolovic is going around in Brussels and telling everyone that the students are Putin’s puppets #lobbying #Vucic #propaganda #disinformation

























