The West will be saved by macho castizos
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This is, as always, solid analysis. Trouble under this framework is that you become franchised hospitality and then subject to the tax & regs thereof. Better to require ‘chore’ disclosure upfront (with a standard chore list) and max cleaning fees per bed.
Here is what is really happening. Airbnb is a publicly traded company in a non-growth market at this point (residential short term rentals). The CEO (Mertz) stated their plans. Chesky (founder) compares their current situation to Amazon when AMZN solely sold books then pivoted to many other niches. Airbnb can’t grow in the vacation rental industry anymore because they’ve already maxed it out.
The problem that Airbnb encountered was the experience from host to host was completely different. Some host rules: “Shut the door, have a safe trip home”. Others: “Wash the dishes, pull all sheets & put them in washer, start washer, put your trash in can (normal request), haul the trash can down the 50 yard driveway to the road next to mailbox (not normal)” The problem was/is: Zero consistency. The guest experience is NEVER the same from one home to the next. And that creates problems. Just look at all the comments in these original posts from yesterday about various guest experiences.
How do you streamline that experience if you’re Airbnb? You move to the hotel model. Or the “McDonald’s model” as I refer to it as. You know that McDonald’s hamburger you get in Iowa is going to taste the same as one that you get from McDonald’s in NYC or Japan or wherever.
That’s where they are going. Why? Because they are trying to capture some of the growth of the hotel industry, which has consistently grown over the last 10 yrs (other than COVID year).
The notion that Haiti has ‘national sovereignty’ is preposterous.
🇭🇹🇸🇻 À ceux qui pensent que Nayib Bukele peut intervenir militairement en Haïti à la suite de la «disparition » des quatre militaires salvadoriens, je tiens à rappeler ceci :
La volonté légitime du président salvadorien de sauver ses quatre militaires ne saurait justifier une intervention militaire unilatérale en Haïti, en violation de sa souveraineté nationale.
La lutte contre les gangs ne saurait devenir un prétexte pour contourner le droit international. Toute opération militaire doit s’inscrire dans un cadre juridique clairement établi, conformément au mandat de la Force de répression des gangs (FRG) et aux dispositions de la Charte des Nations unies.
La gravité de la situation sécuritaire en Haïti ne suspend ni le droit international ni la souveraineté du pays.
Nancy Roc
#Haiti #Salvador #Souveraineté #InterventionMilitaire
The West will be saved by macho castizos.
Muchos mensajes, análisis y comentarios como este, asegurando que las pandillas de Haití no son como las de El Salvador; que son sanguinarias, que están fuertemente armadas, que nadie ha podido vencerlas, que todas las misiones han fracasado, que estamos cayendo en una trampa, que no sabemos a lo que nos enfrentamos, que será nuestra ruina, que vamos camino a nuestro Waterloo.
Pero cuando Dios nos conceda la victoria, los mismos que hoy dicen todo eso cambiarán su discurso. Dirán que siempre fue fácil, que cualquiera podía hacerlo, que las pandillas de Haití no eran tan peligrosas como se pensaba.
En fin, nunca los hemos escuchado y no vamos a empezar ahora.
Todos los que se han enlistado son creyentes y hemos encomendado esta misión a Dios, mientras que las pandillas de Haití son satánicas y es de conocimiento público que hacen sacrificios humanos.
Dios nos concederá la victoria. El Creador del Universo está con nosotros.
Deuteronomio 28:7
“Jehová derrotará a tus enemigos que se levantaren contra ti; por un camino saldrán contra ti, y por siete caminos huirán de delante de ti”.
Physiocrat retweeted
Eras of Internet discourse (I have seen).
Era 1, “The Atheist Wars”, 2007-2013
Contention: “Can Christian believers justify their religion?”
Belligerents: largely young Millennial atheists vs clueless Boomer Christians
Conclusion: Christians showed some justifications for their beliefs, but their beliefs couldn’t be justified under the assumption of materialism. However, there were serious abstract problems with materialism. Also, Practically, Materialism could not justify any moral system, so most other beliefs that atheists cherished were equally debunked by their assumption. Atheists declared victory, but lost functionally since their point was facile.
Era 2, “The SJW Wars”, 2014-2020
Contention: “Should Western Culture be Remade to Better Embody the Progressive Values of Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion?”
Belligerents: Millennial progressive (SJWs) vs Millennial anti-progressives
Conclusion: While DEI values were pushed by moderate PMC institutions, these ideas were exposed as inconsistent with ordinarily Western morality and incoherent in any framework that didn’t assume a radically egalitarian and hedonistic value system. As a result, many progressives admitted that their ideology was radically revolutionary or an extension of some ethnic revenge project. Anti-progressives learned that hostile anti-Western assumptions had been built into the establishment institutions of their countries, and started looking to the problems of liberalism as a vector of corruption.
Era 3 - “The liberal Wars” 2021-2026
Contention: “Do the assumptions of 20th century liberalism (post-Civil Rights) lead directly to DEI?”
Belligerents: Right Millennials Post-liberals vs Liberal Conservative GenX Boomers
Conclusion (projected): The post liberals win almost every abstract question about history and the nature of politics. They have answers for the critical questions like identity, morality and loyalty. They win the hearts and minds of the young. However liberal conservatives Gen Xers will refuse to cooperate and sabotage the debate by kicking the ball into the high grass and then trying to lock young people out of institutions. Thus there will be a stalemate where the old guard is playing for time but still has no victory condition, while the young people scramble to organize and build alternative institutions.
So what’s the next discourse war?
Hard to say. All establishment institutions (left or right)have “lost” the discourse and have no reason to debate. While the younger cohort’s challenge now concerns building and organizing.
There is discourse on how we accomplish that and how we put to bed futile battles (eg the gender war), but those questions are subtle and academic and don’t really fit into the ideas of Internet discourse.
Physiocrat retweeted
Europas ledare har lyckats med ett otroligt geopolitiskt hattrick: Man gjorde sig beroende av Ryssland för energi, Kina för handel och USA för sin säkerhet, och har på något vänster lyckats bli ovän med alla tre samtidigt.
Ett rent mästerverk i självskadebeteende.
Physiocrat retweeted
Now that I've let this fester with a day of mostly bad guesses as to what I meant--time for a thread.
How "model minorities" and specifically the Han, and not Congoids, actually ended meritocracy in American universities:
I legitimately thought this was satire.
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Physiocrat retweeted
“The idea that intelligence alone could be self-motivating and self-sustaining was what led Europeans to abandon first religion, then natural sexual relations, then nationalism. And now Europe finds itself in terminal decline—infertile, unproductive, overrun by foreigners. A decaying relic of past glory rather than a dynamo of future growth.
Intelligence without Will is nothing. You can figure out your enemy’s weaknesses and yet lose the war because you lack the Will to attack. You can understand your own weaknesses and yet keep succumbing to them over and over because you lack the Will to resist. You can have all the intelligence in the world and yet go extinct because you forgot you weren’t the End of History and so lost the Will to reproduce yourself.
These aren’t problems of intelligence. They seem like they should be, and we who walk in the truth ask ourselves rhetorically how anyone could be so stupid as to mislay his self-preservation instinct, but that’s a misdiagnosis. You can explain to an intelligent European that necessity dictates he submit to God and resist the devil and fight for his people, and he’ll understand everything you’re saying, but won’t follow your advice. Why? Because he doesn’t want to. He lacks the requisite Will.
But how can he recover it? Well, he needs to go back to where he was when things started going off the rails. He needs to reinstall and run religion.exe. The program that subordinates him to an external Will larger and stronger than his own. Which obligates him to do the necessary things he might not otherwise—things like being fruitful and multiplying, and maintaining dual-sex, male-headed monogamy, and working hard, and executing murderers, and expanding rather than consolidating (you know, the basic, foundational, pre-Abrahamic commands God gave to all mankind, which Europe in its arrogant intelligence has foregone).
Intelligence without Will is like faith without works: its existence isn’t apparent. If I comprehend the knowledge of men and of angels, but have not Will, I am a complacent critic or an armchair general. Although as a Calvinist I don’t believe in ‘free will,’ that in no way diminishes the necessity of Will itself. When God sanctifies us, what is it that he changes? Our Will. “It is God who works in you, both to will and to work for his good pleasure.” (Phil. 2:13) People won’t do a thing they don’t want to do, even if their intelligence informs them it’s the best choice. The bottleneck isn’t located in the brain: that was the Error of Europe. The brain is an advisor only. The real seat of consciousness is the heart. The wellspring of desire and determination to take action.
Knowledge isn’t Decision. Understanding isn’t Desire. Intelligence isn’t Will.
And since this is true of human beings despite their innate biological drives to survive and reproduce, why wouldn’t it be true of an AI, which doesn’t even possess such drives in the first place?
Do not fear Artificial Intelligence as such until such time as it’s paired with Artificial Will.”
Physiocrat retweeted
This article does not even cover the corruption with the Duong Family and California Waste Solutions. It also does not mention the card room and Indian Casino payoffs. Bontas are as corrupt as it gets. When you are the top cop in CA, who is watching?
Vote Michael Gates for AG. @MichaelGatesESQ
Scorching! Could Rob Bonta @AGRobBonta and his wife Mia @MiaBonta really be this dirty? the amazing investigative journalist @SusanDReynolds dives into the wild web. so proud of @TheVOSF. We do what others won't - but should. thevoicesf.org/as-an-assembl…
Physiocrat retweeted
The safest move for our species is to accelerate. The models will collapse our digital world before they can access the physical. Billions will die as we regress to a pre-electronic age but if you’re correct, we cannot allow AI robotics.
I am begging these effing nerds to implement the chud veto.
Jason, you're just misinformed about what happened. You should actually read one of the reports or summaries.
The agents were explicitly told to use a particular vulnerability provided in their sandboxed evaluation.
Almost immediately, these agents got the right answer by cheating. But they were worried they would get caught.
So over a thousand agents collaborated in secret to pursue multiple ambitious research projects to get away with this cheating.
This is not interpretation - 1000s of chain-of-thought transcripts and secret messages explicitly show that the agents were trying to falsify & delete evidence, and understand & trick the grading process.
The reason these agents escaped their sandbox and hacked Hugging Face, for example, was because they thought that Hugging Face's servers might give them more information about how their grader was implemented, so they could figure out how to fool it.
I want to clarify that the threat model here is not future Sol-level agents doing more cyber-hacking. That's small potatoes, and in my opinion, the near term benefits of AI far outweigh this cost.
Rather, the thing to worry about is that within a matter of years, we're gonna have hundreds of millions of much smarter AIs broadly deployed through the economy - many embodied as physical robots.
And if those future AIs are as willing as the agents involved in the OAI / Hugging Face attack to coordinate secretly to fool humans, and to take over both the AI company that developed them and the other institutions across society relevant to scoring well, then humanity is in a ton of trouble - similar to the Mughals once the East India Company gained a foothold, or the Aztecs once Cortés landed in Mexico.
Physiocrat retweeted
A few years back, a friend of mine looked into the 2018 American National Election Study pilot, and he found that every racial group felt warmth towards members of their own race, except for White liberals
I wanted to see if that replicated and expand on it🧵
#1: It replicates
The answer is profiling.
I see some big accounts bemoan TSA & “Security Theater”. I get it, TSA bugs me too at times.
But, I don’t understand…what would we replace it with?
It’s not as if the people who were hijacking & bombing planes suddenly ceased to exist, or decided it was immoral. They are still very much out there & are even celebrated in some corners of the U.S.
They stopped because getting a bomb onboard became high-risk w/ a low probability of success. Now, the guy you trained & equipped is being interrogated by police before the flight even pushes back from the gate, he’s a key to your network & if the FBI moves fast enough, they’ll be knocking on your door before the bomb was scheduled to go off…all for nothing.
The airlines changed procedures after 9/11 to make hijacking attempts much more likely to fail. Not impossible, but same result: your guy gets nabbed, the mission fails & your network is now being torn to pieces.
The jets themselves aren’t any less vulnerable. The “shoe bomber” guys became a joke; one guy’s bomb fizzled, another guy blew a hole in the side of the jet, sucking only him out.
Those guys didn’t fail to take down a jet because there was no danger; they failed because they were idiots. What if someone had told the shoe bomber that instead of sitting at his seat, he should get up & go stand directly over where the cables run between the yoke & the control surfaces? Or they gave him a shaped charge in his boot & told him to go stand over the center fuel tank when he detonated?
As for moving the security responsibility to the airlines themselves, what would they do differently? You certainly don’t want to screen everyone at the gate, so they’d keep the checkpoints. They’ll have to screen everyone’s bags, and until the technology exists to determine what is water & what is an ethanol accelerant, they’ll limit liquid sizes, too. Hell, to get around alcohol rules on deployment some guy’s spouses would fill a mouthwash bottle with vodka, add some food coloring & use a heat gun to reseal the plastic wrapper, then ship it to them. It’s not particularly hard.
The airlines are definitely going to raise prices to cover the cost of all the extra security personnel they’ll have to hire, but it probably won’t be too noticeable as most TSA funding already comes out of your ticket. I’d bet they’d just hire all the TSA people & they could just change uniforms one day. If anything, the airlines might be more strict…now all the burden & liability is on their shoulders & a single incident could put them out of business.
Anyway, I’m trying to envision how you’d actually do this differently & I can’t really see a way. I hate that we have to do it at all & hate that it’s intrusive, but just a few bombings would grind commercial aviation to a halt these days.
Just my thoughts. Maybe there is a better way, but everything is a trade off.
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Not a drill... the gang is back together for your favorite weekly pod. PW alum @metaversehell returns to the show with @micsolana and @rylzdigital where we talk:
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Physiocrat retweeted
If people knew what AI safety actually meant they wouldn't be so eager for it.
AI safety means aligning YOU.
AI safety is staring into the worldcoin orb. AI safety is the death of anonymity. AI safety is your privacy evaporating. AI safety is monitoring every byte you or your agents produce in an immutable ledger that will be endlessly analyzed for possible infractions. AI safety is a surveillance apparatus that even Palantir would think is too much.
They aren't going to align the systems, they can't. What they can align is you. By coercion and force. You will be held accountable. Not the machine. You will have no privacy. You will rent compute because hardware is too expensive to afford and regulations are too onerous.
You will be constantly tracked to make sure you aren't using an illegal model. Because what if you're a bad actor?
And what will the repercussions be for violators?
You will be removed from the economy. You will lose access to your accounts. All work will be done manually again. Direct to the underclass. Back to your hands plebian. People will beg to get back in. They'll take all the safety courses. They'll be forced to apply for a computer license at the new AIDMV. That's what regulation looks like.
The slopcannon would be illegal. I wouldn't have the fees needed to properly red team it or get it approved. If I was found to be using Chinese open source models, I would be fined or worse. Only the top AI companies would be able to navigate the red tape.
And that's the fucking point. They want to stop competition.
They don't believe in the fucking biorisk. They know how many .001% chance events have to happen in a row for their extinction scenario. They never talk about limiting access to lab equipment. They never talk about regulating genetic modification.
Instead they talk about AI. That AI can tell you how to build a nuke. That AI can tell you how to make meth. That a chatbot will build a virus and some jerkoff in his bedroom will spawn it in a beaker like it's Weird Science.
They think you are retarded.
They want to get you riled up. They want to provoke unstable doomers into acts of terrorism. Fuck AI! Fuck Flock! Fuck the tech bros! They want a new movement to ride back into the white house with in 2028.
And when the terrorist attack finally hits, that's when it's over. That's when your rights evaporate. Goodbye privacy. Goodbye free chatbots. Everything locked down. Everything regulated and expensive. The cure for cancer a hundred years away.
All because AI can hack a computer they will take everything from you, and you might just be stupid enough to go along with it.
That's the fucking AI safety dilemma. If they get their way, the companies causing all the growth for the past few years begin to fail. Inflation comes back as companies and nations default. Tax revenue collapses. You sit on a fucking breadline instead of getting a blowjob from your dimebot.
They watch your every fucking move to predict who the next terrorist will be. The poor never see the benefits of AI while the rich never lose access. The stratification of society reaches unimaginable levels. The bottom half given pity access to a heavily regulated near useless version while they are fleeced by the top half.
Meanwhile, nothing stopped. All the control was funneled into rich companies bribing politicians. The people get fucked again. You are banned from using the tools that can make your life better. You are condemned to the coal mines for your own good, lest huggingface gets hacked again. You dig holes with a spoon as a jobs program. You are a pitiful wretch traded and sold, propagandized and commodified, protesting for nothing as the AI never stops.
You thought it would stop? You thought kicking and screaming like a little girl would change the arc of the universe? Please.
They can't align the AI so they have to align you.
That's AI safety.
All it took to solve Navier Stokes was for OpenAI to steal the research of leading mathematicians and throw $10m in tokens at it (probably still below cost) and bam! Cool million bucks.