DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ (@DutchChrInd) header
DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ (@DutchChrInd) profile picture

Christian Democratic Moderate πŸ‡³πŸ‡± guy | MA International Relations | works in politics | international and US/UK/EU politics | pro-EU

Suburban Netherlands
Joined March 2021
Photo by DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ (@DutchChrInd)Photo by DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ (@DutchChrInd)Photo by DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ (@DutchChrInd)Photo by DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ (@DutchChrInd)Photo by DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ (@DutchChrInd)Photo by DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ (@DutchChrInd)Photo by DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ (@DutchChrInd)Photo by DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ (@DutchChrInd)Photo by DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ (@DutchChrInd)Photo by DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ (@DutchChrInd)
DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
One thing about all these House upsets is we’re going to get a lot more β€œnormal people” in Congress next term who may be more transparent about the behind-the-scenes stuff that happens in DC. Like NJ-02 winner Zach Mullock, who’s posting selfies on Instagram from orientation.
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DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
Rep. Tim Burchett (R-TN) tells Fox News that he’s running for US Senate in Tennessee in 2028 regardless of Blackburn appoints him.
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DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
Jon Ossoff would still have won Georgia’s Senate race even without Fulton, DeKalb, Clayton, and Gwinnett counties.
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DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
Good explainer on how many votes might still be outstanding in #MSsen (and why it’s so hard to figure out): apnews.com/article/mississip…
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DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
Nate, as usual, has a good read on NV. But I will say this now about the 2028 NV Senate race: Even in an R+3 environment, it might Lean D because the bluebath destroyed the GOP bench here. They will have to get a state lawmaker w/no base, a former elected or some wealthy person.
Should probably have held this for next week, but what the hell. I found myself sketching out some Senate scenarios on my train down to DC, so I figured I’d share some *very* early views about what the *2028* Senate map might look like under 3 scenarios:
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DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
With Dems all but certain to prevail in Mississippi and Alaska, we're most likely looking at a 56D-44R Senate and a ~260D-175R House, which would be Dems' largest House majority since 1992.
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DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
Gerrymander of #nc1 was incredibly effective in cutting into the Democratic vote share. It only β€œfailed” bc of the 100 year flood electoral environment. 2028 likely won’t look like this . #ncpol
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DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
Downballot: Jamie Davis (D) is considering bid for Louisiana Governor in 2027 After coming shockingly close to winning Tuesday’s U.S. Senate race, the Louisiana Democrat is now talking about challenging the state’s Republican governor next year Davis, at his election night party: β€œJeff Landry, you’re on notice, buddy.” Link to article: the-downballot.com/p/morning…
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DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
Though he’s on track to very narrowly lose it, Doug Jones is doing better in AL-5 this year that he did against Roy Moore in 2017!
This result is just bonkers. Strong is a *very* good incumbent.
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DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
2026 Senate results if Democrats had received no Election Day votes: πŸ”΅ North Carolina: D+9 πŸ”΅ Georgia: D+3 πŸ”΅ Texas: D+2
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DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
It’s underrated how well Dems are doing in Utah, House Dem candidate there is currently winning a Trump +23 county (that’s almost certainly redder downballot).
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DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
A lot of β€œunknown” Dems just got elected, and many are already predicting their demise. Worth noting, tho, that a former β€œunknown” Dem is now the next senator for Alaska. Some will undoubtedly lose. But this is a FANTASTIC opportunity to find/create some diamonds in the rough.
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DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
Former Indiana Governor Evan Bayh reacts to his son, Beau, declaring victory in the Secretary of State race β€œAs a father I’m proud of him for dedicating his life to something other than himself”
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DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
This is insane! Here is a map of yesterday’s Indiana House results if they were drawn under the attempted Republican gerrymander map from last Fall. Thank you to @Vulst3 for breaking down the data to make this map. The gerrymander could’ve netted us a 9-0 or 8-1 map potentially!
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DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
Now that these rigged maps have spectacularly backfired, can we all get on board with banning partisan gerrymandering now?
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DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
Deep South - US Senate popular vote 2008:πŸ”΄R+9.2 2014: πŸ”΄R+23.9 2020:πŸ”΄R+11.3 2026:πŸ”΅D+6.4
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DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
IMO the most impressive flip for Scott Colom in Mississippi is DeSoto County. It's just outside Memphis: Trump+24 in 2024, Colom+6 In a Senate race, DeSoto last voted blue for segregationist John Stennis in 1982.
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DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
Bad policy, bad character make bad politics: erratic tariffs, impulsive Iran war, blanket pardons, apparent corruption, weaponized justice, ICE brutality, mountainous deficits, hiding Epstein, abandoning allies and coddling enemies. Hoping for a course correction, for the country and for my party.
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DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
So, we’re ABSOLUTELY competing for Louisiana and Mississippi Governor next year. Need a clean LA/MS/KY sweep.
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DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
A lot of Democrats waking up right now saying "I won the WHAT?!" In North Carolina, Democrats who functionally raised almost *no* money somehow unseated entrenched Republicans in gerrymandered seats. Ironically, this helped them β€” no spending = no attention = huge swings!
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