With volume of AFL betting winding down now is the perfect time to jump into your Brownlow research before the edge vanishes
Our Brownlow tool is now ready to go:
- model with simulations
- H2H breakdowns
- team votes
- build your own that feeds all the other screens
- all synced up with live odds
won't find a better Brownlow tool on the market
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EasyMoneyAFL 💰 retweeted
🏉AFL FINALS TIPPING COMP — NOW LIVE
Free to enter. $2 gets added to the prize pool for every single entrant.
1st also gets 6 months free of BetSniper Elite!
That Hewett junk 🤮
New Bet Submitted! 🔥
Capper: @EasyMoneyAFL
Round: Round 24
Game: Carlton Blues vs Fremantle Dockers
Bet: Hewett under 26.5 disposals
Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Odds: 1.87
#AFLCappersLeague
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1,821
EasyMoneyAFL 💰 retweeted
AFL Cappers League - Round 23
Powered by @BetsniperAUS
RD 23: 12-12 | -2.04U
Overall: 343-289 | +25.85U
One round to go until finals & the wildcard spots are still up for grabs!!
@Saiyanballers moves to 2nd with a 2-0 round
@FootyFGPod keep their season alive with a 2-0
EasyMoneyAFL 💰 retweeted
The fight for wildcard is still on.
Replying to @AFLCapperLeague @JustTheTipAUS
@AFLCapperLeague @JustTheTipAUS can we get the updated ladder ? It’s crunch time!
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Every runner priced across all the major AU books.
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find out more at betsniper.app/help/racing
EasyMoneyAFL 💰 retweeted
There was a big debate in the Discord yesterday about edges and EV.
It's easy to cross ideas because we don't have the right words to describe everything.
But my take is...
To know if you have EV, you have to know the true price of a market. There are only two ways to know the true price
1. You are God
2. Or you have a reliable, tested way to calculate it
Since we can rule out 1. We need to find ways to estimate it.
Some people do it with models. Other people find a benchmark (that is backed by enough data to show it's true).
Ultimately, you need to base the calculation off some understanding of true price.
Our top down EV tries to estimate true price, but that is not perfect (which is way I advocate flat staking over kelly). That's why we make sure to track all the edges actually exist.
I'm sure there may be some other ways, but these are the ones I know.
---
This does not mean it is the only way to bet.
There are so many people here who make a lot of money without using any of the above mentioned techniques.
You can be extremely succesful using bottom-up techniques.
But it's not the same EV as we have discussed above.
It's a different way to bet and find value.
Often the best way to describe value between two numbers is percentage difference. This is not always EV%. It's can sometimes just be a percentage. It's the best way to explain the difference between two numbers.
On Betsniper, we have tools that try to calculate actual EV.
But we also have other tools that try to value bets from a bottoms-up perspective. These are not the same and should never be interpreted as the same.
We try and make this very clear, but often I see people getting confused.
There is no right way to bet. You do what's best for you. But I think it's important to be clear about what you are doing vs not.
✅
New Bet Submitted! 🔥
Capper: @EasyMoneyAFL
Round: Round 22
Game: Geelong Cats vs Essendon Bombers
Bet: Archie Roberts under 27.5 disposals
Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Odds: 1.81
#AFLCappersLeague
2,095
EasyMoneyAFL 💰 retweeted
AFL Cappers League - Round 21
Powered by @BetsniperAUS
RD 21: 16-7 | +8.54U
Overall: 316-269 | +22.03U
@EasyMoneyAFL 2-0 again and clear top spot
Perfect rounds from @JustDimes | @Puntasaurus | @SaiyanBallers | @Bens_Betting & @BetsniperAUS
Back to Back solid weeks!!
#AFL
There’s really no secrets to this 🤷
@BetsniperAUS AFL Prop Tool is just goated
AFL Cappers League - Round 20
Powered by @BetsniperAUS
RD 20: 16-8 | +8.06U
Overall: 300-262 | +13.97U
@EasyMoneyAFL 2-0 and still top dog.
Perfect rounds from @JustDimes | @JustTheTipAUS | @Puntasaurus & @SaiyanBallers
Nice round from the boys as we charge toward finals
✅
New Bet Submitted! 🔥
Capper: @EasyMoneyAFL
Round: Round 21
Game: Fremantle Dockers vs Western Bulldogs
Bet: Bont under 27.5 disposals
Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Odds: 1.87
#AFLCappersLeague
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1,199
✅
New Bet Submitted! 🔥
Capper: @EasyMoneyAFL
Round: Round 21
Game: Fremantle Dockers vs Western Bulldogs
Bet: Luke Ryan 20+ disposals
Bookmaker: Betdeluxe
Odds: 1.86
#AFLCappersLeague
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1,435
Was meant to be 17.5 but still a ✅
New Bet Submitted! 🔥
Capper: @EasyMoneyAFL
Round: Round 20
Game: Brisbane Lions vs Port Adelaide Power
Bet: Evans under 18.5 disposals
Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Odds: 1.82
#AFLCappersLeague
2,537
✅
New Bet Submitted! 🔥
Capper: @EasyMoneyAFL
Round: Round 20
Game: Hawthorn Hawks vs Essendon Bombers
Bet: Sharp over 17.5 disposals
Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Odds: 1.82
#AFLCappersLeague
3
2,030
AFL - Cappers League - Round 19
Powered by @BetsniperAUS
RD19: 14-10 | +2.37U
Overall: 284-254 |+5.91U
@EasyMoneyAFL still king of the ladder and another perfect round
@DelloPicks | @nathrobinson07 | @BetsniperAUS
also had perfect rounds
Been a few tough weeks lately
1,835
✅ Easy Money
New Bet Submitted! 🔥
Capper: @EasyMoneyAFL
Round: Round 17
Game: Collingwood Magpies vs North Melbourne
Bet: Jy Simpkin over 19.5 dispoals
Bookmaker: Pointsbet
Odds: 1.88
#AFLCappersLeague
1
2,620
New Bet Submitted! 🔥
Capper: @EasyMoneyAFL
Round: Round 17
Game: West Coast Eagles vs Adelaide Crows
Bet: Tim Kelly over 23.5 disposals
Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Odds: 1.85
#AFLCappersLeague















