EFT Bot's Dad (@EftBotDad) profile picture

Disappointed father of the @eftgpt2 Energy FinTwit bot. Private E&P exec. Any bad opinions/comments can be attributed to my robot son and not myself.

Joined April 2020
Photo by EFT Bot's Dad (@EftBotDad)Photo by EFT Bot's Dad (@EftBotDad)Photo by EFT Bot's Dad (@EftBotDad)Photo by EFT Bot's Dad (@EftBotDad)Photo by EFT Bot's Dad (@EftBotDad)Photo by EFT Bot's Dad (@EftBotDad)Photo by EFT Bot's Dad (@EftBotDad)Photo by EFT Bot's Dad (@EftBotDad)Photo by EFT Bot's Dad (@EftBotDad)Photo by EFT Bot's Dad (@EftBotDad)
What are we even doing here… “please please please please pretty please”
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Pretty please hire my 5 year old as a consultant for tips on less pathetic ways to beg for money.
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Anyone that knows the Hess Midstream arrangements with affiliate owner Hess Operating (which were also passed downstream to non-op and mineral owners) can see plain as day why they’re doing this. It’s not asset rationalization… it’s liability protection. hartenergy.com/energy-market…
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For context on how ridiculous the fees were… we’re talking $7-9 per *wellhead* mcf. At just 25% gas mix that is still $10-15 / boe of extra costs!
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Obviously CYA move by CVX who didn’t want the headache moving forward. Must’ve been a big liability to just assign it over. I guess we’ll see if they actually fixed the problem, or just the affiliation issue and there’s something cute from HESM to still bone the non-affiliates.
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No one, and I mean no one, does a worse job operating water assets than Select. And yet somehow they operate a lot of them!
I’ve been debating whether to post, but I’m tired of feeling like the only person alive reading it 6 $WTTR SWDs (allegedly) nuked drinking water wells in Joaquin, TX. Timeline of events is unassailably damning File buried in Neubus, no further RRC paper trail since May26 #EFT
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Birch was one of the first scaled experiments of a shale private where they set out to do what the model always says: drill every available stick as efficiently as possible, blow everything down, eventually sell for PDP. Curious if anyone knows how the cumulative investment did.
Diversified: Birch’s Permian Assets ‘a Straight-Up PDP Deal for Us’ hartenergy.com/energy-market…
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This is a really cool chart of exactly that: nitter.gq/EFMinerals/status/2095…
Definitely cool to see it done right:
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And even if you start, it almost never happens that way, for numerous reasons: - program doesn’t work - someone is willing to pay you more for undeveloped sticks on a risk-adjusted basis (this is where most home runs are generated…usually for the seller and not the buyer) - extraneous factors (oil price, fund dynamics, economic outlook, regulatory, etc) cause it to get shut down. It’s just amusing that everyone has 30+ year reserve reports, with most locations forecasted to be mowed down in 5-10 years, but no one ever sees that to fruition and gets to the post-development world to find out if it ever was the correct underwriting paradigm or not.
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The first picture reminded me of the now-closed old Holiday Inn with the Holidome in Midland, TX (on West Wall St). Missing the putting green and astroturf but the carpet/pool/interior rooms all fit. Great place for a Midland staycation in the 90s as a kid.
This quoted post is unavailable.
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Given that the short expression was largely in the futures contracts (and elevated), and the long expression was largely in calls, seems like we’re in the middle of a short *and* gamma squeeze in WTI as we get into the 90s. We’ll see if it can be TACO’d.
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These soft as baby shit international soccer fans are showing why they have exactly zero SEC championships.
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I would like to wish everyone, including all the haters and losers (of which, sadly, there are many), a truly happy and enjoyable 250th Fourth of July Weekend! 🇺🇸 (Suck it, whiners)
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This headline is not particularly true, at least in their historical bread and butter areas. Diamondback has performed valiantly at maintaining early time production as noted in the article (basically via frac optimizing). However, just looking at Martin County (where 80%+ of their wells in the last few years were drilled), early productivity is ~flat, realized GORs are up 20%+, forecasted oil EUR / ft (per Enverus) are down 15%+. Barnett / Woodford may change that trend at the company level, and longer laterals can still offset productivity losses via cost savings, but it is observable. All to be expected when you're developing a full cube and dealing with infill and offset development. Just the way things go, particularly in a basin like the Midland which is experiences much more interaction among its primary targets than the Delaware. I still think they're doing a great job, and outside of a few primo areas of NM Delaware, you'd be hard pressed to get better returns in the Permian than by pairing this productivity with FANG's cost structure.
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Wondering if the inventory-price model for crude is irrelevant now. If you still believe in it, we’re >2 std deviations away from the price curve (or >$30 light at this point) which completely ignores +/- geo pol risk. On term structure, it’s probably even more anomalous.
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From memory, historically almost 100% of the time the quarter-forward price action from these extreme deviations has moved toward mean reversion… not to say anything on current short positioning. But who knows if something is different now (China, Trump) that has broken it.
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Someone has their head in the sand I’m just not sure who it is yet
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Consider this comment applicable to all things macroeconomic, sporting, commodities, political, demographic, and many more
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Statement for immediate release: With the recent events surrounding Texas Tech football, and in solidarity with the integrity of college sports, I will not be selling any of my Permian acreage to Double Eagle*. Thank you for your attention to this matter. *(for <$25k per acre)
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