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When markets are volatile, investors tend to sell riskier assets and rush to safe havens like the USD, JPY, CHF, and gold. These can strengthen with no news of their own, purely because the world feels uncertain.
Australia's Inflation Problem Runs Deeper Than Energy Prices youtu.be/Y-GJgNyd4mE?si=RM2m… via @YouTube
FOREX.com retweeted
Nice curve-ball there from RBNZ - holding rates at 2.75% at a meeting where a 25bp was fully priced in.
Kiwi dollar lower across the board, rates repricing pushes next hike back to May.
FOREX.com retweeted
EUR/USD Outlook: AI sentiment returns as French debt fears fades
forex.com/en-us/news-and-ana…
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Forex Forecast: Why NZD Could Outperform AUD and CAD youtu.be/7lA0MipfMfA?si=lfzg…
FOREX.com retweeted
While the RBA don't meet until next week. CPI figures in the next 2hrs effectively a confirmation of a hike if the data lands hot enough. Which it probably will.
RBNZ, BOC and Fed all up next.
AUD, NZD, CAD: Commodity FX Faces a 24-Hour Central Bank Storm forex.com/en-us/news-and-ana…
FOREX.com retweeted
$USD into FOMC
with no updated projections I think Warsh has some room to tilt a bit more dovish, similar to July
given mid-terms next week and recent pressure in stocks, I think the motivation will be in that direction
but, strategy demands balance
forex.com/en-us/news-and-ana…
pre-FOMC $USD price action setups starts now
one of those non quarterly meetings, at the last one of these $DXY sold off heavily and stocks caught a bid for fresh ATHs in ES and NQ
mid-terms next week and then inflation data, so a busy backdrop ahead
youtube.com/live/Zi7SDMcDbHk…
FOREX.com retweeted
FOMC Meeting Preview: Three Questions for Chairman Warsh - forex.com/en-us/news-and-ana…
FOREX.com retweeted
pre-FOMC $USD price action setups starts now
one of those non quarterly meetings, at the last one of these $DXY sold off heavily and stocks caught a bid for fresh ATHs in ES and NQ
mid-terms next week and then inflation data, so a busy backdrop ahead
youtube.com/live/Zi7SDMcDbHk…
FOREX.com retweeted
📈📉DAILY MARKET VIDEO📈📉
🇮🇷 FOMC seen as 90% to hold tomorrow - watch for dissents and Warsh's presser
🇨🇦 $EURUSD threatening a breakdown to 17mo lows - see the next levels to watch! 👇
When a trade goes against us, it can be incredibly difficult to admit we're wrong. That's exactly when the temptation kicks in to force another trade or double down. But approaching the market with emotion is never a good strategy.
FOREX.com retweeted
Australia's Q3 CPI lands tomorrow, and it could make or break expectations for another RBA hike in November.
CBA, NAB and ANZ forecast trimmed mean inflation of 1% q/q, with Westpac slightly lower at 0.9%.
Both exceed the RBA's estimated August baseline of 0.8%, reinforcing concerns that inflation is proving more persistent than anticipated.
With markets pricing around a 62% chance of a November hike, there's plenty of scope for repricing in either direction.
Australian Dollar Outlook: AUD/USD Screams Sentiment Extreme Into Fed, CPI forex.com/en-us/news-and-ana…
Australian Dollar Outlook: AUD/USD Screams Sentiment Extreme Into Fed, CPI forex.com/en-us/news-and-ana…
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AUD/USD, NZD/USD face explosive CPI, RBNZ doubleheader
forex.com/en-us/news-and-ana…
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ECB Meeting Preview: EUR/USD Bears Face a Sentiment Test forex.com/en-us/news-and-ana…
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USD/JPY bulls back in business as AI trade roars back
forex.com/en-us/news-and-ana…
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Going Live in Five!!
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The same chart can tell two different stories, it depends on the timeframe. A sharp downtrend on the 5-minute can simply be a tiny pullback on the daily.
Zooming out before you trade matters. The higher timeframe sets the main context; the lower one fills in the detail.
FOREX.com retweeted
I still like NZD/CAD for its longer-term, bullish inflection point potential.
RBNZ and BOC meetings this week. I still think RBNZ may have the hawkish edge - and if oil prices do pull back, it's another bullish clue for the cross.
NZD/CAD is not my go-to. But given it can move 300-400 pips and is sitting at range lows ahead of RBNZ and BOC meetings next week - it has caught my attention.
NZD/CAD Ponders Swing Low Ahead of BoC, RBNZ as Hike Bets Firm forex.com/en-us/news-and-ana…
