Against All Odds Research retweeted
Money will be made. Theses will be murdered. Feelings will be hurt.
In 6 hours, I'm letting you steal the best ideas of 20 Wall Street technicians (legally).
Grab your seats below before it's too late:
noble-capevents.com
Replays will be available.
The era of easy money is over, and the market made that very clear today.
Our long/short spread widened to 67.4% today, with our longs up 25.9% on average and our shorts down 41.6%.
We made money on both sides of the book, which is exactly what a hedge fund is supposed to do.
But the people chasing momentum and narratives are having a very different day.
When the tide of easy liquidity goes out, the momentum and narrative bros find out what they really own, and anyone who's been doing the work on valuation and fundamentals finds this market pretty easy to read.
We doubled down on a lot of our shorts last week, and CoreWeave alone is down almost 25% since we added to it on October 8.
If you only started investing after the financial crisis, all you've ever known is more liquidity, and that game is OVER. I'm not calling a crash, because we're long and short, but the downside from here looks much bigger than the upside, and I have far more conviction in my shorts than my longs.
If you want 60 more ideas for what comes next, our technicians conference runs October 27 and 28, with 20 of the best chartists on the street bringing 3 ideas each. Tickets are $99 until midnight tonight, and then the price goes to $199:
noble-capevents.com
BRACE FOR IMPACT
Against All Odds Research retweeted
Brazil reelected Lula yesterday and today PBR is down 15%.
As always, I let data not my politics guide my viewpoints. Political narratives are often never reality.
What’s next for $PBR ⬇️
substack.com/@fidescapital/n…
Pumped for this one! See you tomorrow.
STARTING IN 90 MINUTES AT 10AM EST
A MURDERERS ROW OF CHARTISTS
CAN YOU AFFORD TO MISS IT?
PLEASE RETWEET
@jkrinskypga @davevermilion @alphatrends @DKellerCMT @MarkNewtonCMT @RyanDetrick @FrankCappelleri @daChartLife @John_Kolovos @InTheKnowTrader @JasonP138
!!!
Today is the LAST DAY to grab your ticket for The Best Technical Ideas Online Summit!
noble-capevents.com
Even when I talk about fully believing in a system I have to use the word faith. Because that is emotional. Great piece from @haumicharts
A bunch of 40-60 year olds playing basketball…
“My hamstring I need a break. I can’t stand.”
“My whole leg is cramped and won’t let go.”
“My face is bleeding”
“I just had eye surgery last month and I can’t see anything. I can’t play.”
Want to play one more?
Collectively “YES”
Against All Odds Research retweeted
Sold 11 positions this morning, a lot of them for small losses. When I’m fully allocated and new signals are coming in, losers that aren’t working right away have to go.
Against All Odds Research retweeted
Every decision ever made by a human was driven by emotion. Believing you’re the exception is the most emotional belief you can hold.
See you guys there!
Today is the LAST DAY to grab your ticket for The Best Technical Ideas Online Summit!
noble-capevents.com
Against All Odds Research retweeted
The entire market cap of bitcoin is greater than Brazils market cap.
It’s just not a serious contender in global markets.
I’m more concerned with how this impacts the commodity super cycle! @JasonP138 from volatility comes opportunity 🙂
It is worth noting that Brazil, one of the world’s ten largest economies, can see its stock market plunge nearly 17%, its small-cap stocks collapse 30%, and its currency lose 12% before noon on a Monday, with virtually no corresponding reaction across global stock markets, cryptocurrencies, precious metals, or traditional safe havens.
No comparable panic. No meaningful global contagion. No systemic repricing. No impact. No effect.
Remarkable.
Against All Odds Research retweeted
We've seen a nice countertrend rally in bonds over the last couple of weeks, but the long end of the treasury curve remains below its lows from Q4 2023 (price). We need to recover those levels to see a sustainable year end rally in equities.
Against All Odds Research retweeted
You ever just sit in a dark room and feel like the darkness is the only thing that truly understands you. No fake smiles, no false hope. Just raw bitter silence…
I’ve been talking about the bond market for a long time.
And for good reason.
Bonds have been getting absolutely destroyed for years, and we’ve been positioned on the right side of that trend.
But something interesting is happening right now.
aaoresearch.substack.com/p/t…






















