Happy to share slides for six lectures on "causal panel analysis" based on my recent short course at Waseda.
github.com/xuyiqing/panel-le…
Written for applied researchers.
Jonathan Edwards retweeted
Dear Readers in Causality Research,
I am delighted to let you know that the second edition of The Book of Why (BOW) is scheduled to appear on September 20, 2026.
This edition will include:
1. Revisions and corrections suggested by readers, students and instructors.
2. An account of recent breakthroughs in causal inference (e.g., missing data, personalized medicine, and more).
3. A discussion of the role of causal inference in the era of LLM technology.
4. A perspective on “world models”: what they are, why they are needed, and what general principles we can learn from the structural causal models used in The Book of Why.
The latter topic has become hot in the past few months, so I am posting a section from the Preface, titled "Worldviews, Mindsets, and Narratives: Hidden Nuggets of Causal Inference," ucla.in/4yGPuBk -- which highlights the general principles we can learn from the structural causal models used in The Book of Why.
A word about the dangers of AGI (Artificial General Intelligence, or "super-intelligent AI systems"), which have become the target of general public concerns in just the past two weeks. I remain convinced that AGI is achievable, that the road to AGI goes through causal inference, and that the dangers of AGI taking over and enslaving humanity are real. At the same time, I also believe that causal inference may hold the key to controlling AGI systems so as to secure the survival of the human species.
I hope therefore, half jokingly, that The Book of Why will not be banned by draconian legislation currently brewing in DC. (Hurry to get a copy just in case.)
With warmest regards,
Judea
@GaryMarcus @eliasbareinboim @soboleffspaces @tdietterich @erichorvitz @ylecun @geoffreyhinton
Jonathan Edwards retweeted
🎉My book Impact Evaluation in Firms and Organizations turns one!
mitpress.mit.edu/97802625529…
Impact evaluation/causal inference for business applications in a non-technical way. R/Python code & datasets freely available:
unifr.ch/appecon/en/research…
📚Lecture slides coming soon @mitpress
Jonathan Edwards retweeted
As a fully open LLM, Apertus allows researchers, professionals and experienced enthusiasts to build upon the model and adapt it to their specific needs, as well as to inspect any part of the training process.
Watch our video: youtube.com/watch?v=q8iEzU7A…
Jonathan Edwards retweeted
Thank you! The JTBD Pyramid is (still) Amazon's #1 New Release in Product Management, by @newproductdog open.substack.com/pub/scottb…
Jonathan Edwards retweeted
Il est minuit moins cinq avant l’apocalypse technologique de l’Europe. Et je pèse mes mots. L’obsession pour la régulation, le mépris des élites technocratiques envers les entrepreneurs et la peur de l’avenir nous font décrocher de la grande bataille de l’IA.
Pendant que l'humanité se rapproche de l’intelligence artificielle générale et que chaque nouvelle IA surpasse la précédente, l’Europe choisit de se suicider avec un « IA Act » qui bride l’innovation. Les choix politiques sont dictés par la peur et le mépris, au détriment de l’audace et de l’avenir.
Ce mélange de peur et de mépris est le même qui nous a fait perdre la course au spatial : il y a 10 ans, le président d’Arianespace se moquait ouvertement de SpaceX et d’Elon Musk. Résultat des courses : un seul lancement pour Ariane en 2024, contre plus de 130 pour SpaceX et un saut technologique historique avec des lanceurs réutilisables. C’est cette même arrogance qui nous fait décrocher de la grande bataille des voitures électriques et autonomes, ou encore de celle des biotechs. C’est elle aussi qui, il y a 30 ans, nous a fait passer à côté de la révolution de l’Internet. Et j’en passe.
Mais comment pourrait-il en être autrement dans un pays qui a inscrit dans sa Constitution un mortifère « principe de précaution », qui érige la peur du risque en vertu, aux dépens de l’audace et de l’innovation ?
Je suis convaincu que notre salut réside dans l’abandon de ce funeste principe de précaution au profit d’un principe d’audace et de liberté. Cela exige, je vous l’accorde, un véritable choc des consciences. Pourtant, nous n’avons pas à chercher bien loin des exemples de ce dont nous sommes capables : la reconstruction de Notre-Dame et l’organisation des JO ont démontré que, dès lors qu’elle parvient à s’affranchir du monstre technocratique avec des lois d’exception, la France est capable d’accomplir des prouesses qui marquent l’Histoire.
Oui, il est minuit moins cinq avant l’apocalypse technologique de l 'Europe. Mais le pire n’étant jamais certain, je continue de croire en la possibilité d’un sursaut. Alors réveillons-nous !
Merci à David Pujadas et à LCI de m’avoir donné hier soir carte blanche pour exprimer ce point de vue, que nous sommes, je crois, nombreux à partager.
@24hPujadas
Jonathan Edwards retweeted
Get jobs-to-be-done from Urko Wood, who specializes in working with executives... on the latest Product Quest Podcast
@WermuthYann @jonathanedwards
productquestpodcast.com/e/ep…
Jonathan Edwards retweeted
Less than a week since OpenAI started rolling out ChatGPT vision.
And people have been busy executing god-like tasks.
35 truly mind-boggling examples:
(29th is my favorite)
Jonathan Edwards retweeted
I gave ChatGPT a screenshot of a SaaS dashboard and it wrote the code for it.
This is the future.
Jonathan Edwards retweeted
Interesting tidbit from @sama on the role of Why Greatness Cannot Be Planned in the history of OpenAI. (thanks to @actualMahmoud for highlighting)
Jonathan Edwards retweeted
How should product managers spend their time? Listen to @onejasonknight on the latest Product Quest Podcast. Jason is a true #productmanagement expert & he provided a funny, entertaining and educational chat with @WermuthYann @JonNichEdwards & I.
linkedin.com/posts/scottburl…
Jonathan Edwards retweeted
Short course in #jobstobedone, courtesy of @JonNichEdwards @WermuthYann and the Product Quest Podcast
linkedin.com/posts/scottburl…
Jonathan Edwards retweeted
Jobs-to-be-done peeps out there, join the #productquestpodcast team, @WermuthYann , @JonNichEdwards and special guest @ajdimeo - and learn about what happens when we cross Einstein with JTBD
linkedin.com/posts/newproduc…
Jonathan Edwards retweeted
I was invited to the Product Quest Podcast and had a very interesting conversation with @WermuthYann, @newproductdog and @JonNichEdwards about how #JobsToBeDone and #UX are related, how to create value and how to improve collaboration. Enjoyed it a lot! 👍 productquestpodcast.com/e/ep…
Jonathan Edwards retweeted
Enjoyed listening to this, nice and easy introduction to causal data science.
Jonathan Edwards retweeted
Replying to @WermuthYann
@WermuthYann @JonNichEdwards
and I just have published our last Product Quest Podcast of 2022
It's a retrospective of all that we learned & enjoyed. A big THANK YOU to all our guests!
Search for "Product Quest Podcast" in your podcast app of choice
We'll see you there!!!
Jonathan Edwards retweeted
"I hope he gets at least 176 years in jail for what he did."
Ambassador John Bolton discusses Julian Assange's imprisonment with the WikiLeaks founder's wife Stella.
@AmbJohnBolton | @StellaMoris1 | @piersmorgan | @TalkTV | #PMU
Jonathan Edwards retweeted
In the last week alone, the effective altruist movement has been on the cover of The New Yorker, The NYT, and Time Magazine. It has billions in funding, and wants to make the world a better place.
The problem is that it's poisonous. 🧵 erikhoel.substack.com/p/why-…
Jonathan Edwards retweeted
Interested in #designthinking ?
Check out the latest Product Quest Podcast episode with @Jan_Schmiedgen from the @codifygroup
Come for the Design Thinking, stay for the fun and enthusiasm from Jan!
@WermuthYann @JonNichEdwards
#productmanagement


















