Florida first, America only. 9th amendment activist.
Florida, USA
Joined January 2021
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Nick retweeted
Don’t understand the concept of an “election night watch party” at all. Election night is not for socializing. It’s for looking at your phone and throwing up
Nick retweeted
“That guy’s the best general. Put him in charge of the troops.”
“But he’s the enemy’s general, sir.”
“Oh, didn’t realize you hate meritocracy.”
Nick retweeted
The only thing that would sway my vote this election is six text messages from an unidentified number during my work day.
Imagine neither Democrats nor Republicans live up to the polling tomorrow and a bunch of random NPA/3rd party candidates somehow won and basically all of them end up being interviewed stocking boxes or something at their 3rd job lmao.
Nick retweeted
Final Senate Predictions by Margin:
🟥 FL - Moody+5.0
🟥 MS - Hyde-Smith+4.8
🟥 SC - Graham+4.3
🟥 NE - Ricketts+3.4
🟥 IA - Hinson+2.5
🟥 KS - Marshall+1.8
——————————
🟦 TX - Talarico+0.8 (Flip)
🟦 OH - Brown+1.1 (Flip)
🟦 AK - Peltola+1.5 (Flip)
🟦 ME - Jackson+2 (Flip)
🟦 MI - Abdul+2.3
🟦 NH - Pappas+8.2
🟦 GA - Ossoff+9.4
🟦 NC - Cooper+10 (Flip)
🟦52/48🟥 (Dems flip the senate)
Even the most generous models I have for Republicans right now have David Jolly winning if the election was over today, based on current turnout.
Republicans are going to need either extremely high election day turnout, or NPAs to not hate the GOP.
All you had to do was debate.
I wanna delete this so bad because idiots from both sides are thinking this is a normative statement.
But it will remain.
nitter.gq/NHarding97/status/2117…
First model is based on the votes cast as of this morning (November 1), which shows David Jolly winning.
Second one is modeled inclusive of likely election day voters, which shows Byron Donalds winning. This model is well within the margin of error.
Vote breakdowns are based on party break rates from selected August primary races.
Statistically insignificant numbers with likely no bearing on the final outcome, but Democrats and NPAs are leading Republicans in inactive voter reactivations.
Inactive voters are not counted in official voter totals, but are eligible to vote. They become active after voting.
Nick retweeted
Seeing people talk about this plane crash has convinced me how 930 people could be persuaded to drink cyanide laced Flavor Aid.
Nick retweeted
DEBATE SETTLED: This is an F4 Phantom from at least 4 separate angles hitting a concrete wall.
It vaporizes and disperses immediately. This is not new. Everything is not a conspiracy.
Nick retweeted
The plane crash brain dead morons who need everything to be a conspiracy to push some weird agenda expect
Nick retweeted
"I'd like the $39 oil change you have posted on the sign out front and I have a coupon here for $10 off."
"Sure thing. That'll be $85.99."
First model is based on the votes cast as of this morning (November 1), which shows David Jolly winning.
Second one is modeled inclusive of likely election day voters, which shows Byron Donalds winning. This model is well within the margin of error.
Vote breakdowns are based on party break rates from selected August primary races.
Nick retweeted
The amount of non trick or treat houses this year is abysmal. Buy the damn candy, turn the light on, and quit doing the trunk or treat.
Get your ass out here and keep the dream alive for the kids. Bunch of lazy bastards