Proud Floridian, mediocre attorney | Florida State and Harvard Law Alum
Tallahassee, Florida
Joined March 2011
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What happened to just governing? Leadership is an act of attention, and the kind of attention that Bob Graham showed everyday Floridians is exactly what we’ve lost among our leaders here, and exactly what we need back. My column in the Tampa Bay Times is linked below.
Yes please continue all this culture war and targeting of political opponents instead of actually addressing issues facing Floridians. I look forward to you being a one-term AG.
Because the GOP looks to be DOA in ‘28. Vance is only running because he’s too tied to Trump, that’s never leaving him. DeSantis is only running because Amendment 3 passing will decimate Florida by 2032, so it’s now or never.
WaPo: Marco Rubio has privately signaled little interest in running for president in 2028 and plans to support Vance if he runs.
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Corey Simon is so lucky he’s up for reelection in 2028 and not 2030. It’s his counties that are going to be devastated because he chose to follow the party line instead of representing their best interest. The most devastating effects won’t be hitting until 2029.
Okay well come organize year-round in Florida and prove it
I honestly think he was waiting until 2032 to run, when the political environment should be a lot better for Rs, but Amendment 3 passing is forcing him to run now
DeSantis' post-midterm media blitz renews 2028 chatter politi.co/4irDgrf
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If you want to actually prove you want to build democratic power in Florida, do what she’s doing: use your platform to fundraise and build out the infrastructure Democrats need to compete in this state.
Help fund voter registration so we can actually compete.
Now that the midterms are over, let me correct the record.
-I wasn't handpicked by Chuck Schumer. I didn't even talk to the man until after I announced.
I’m not sure exactly what a corporate or establishment Dem is, but I’m pretty sure it’s not a first-time candidate or a career military guy. Call me a moderate, I’ll take it. I always think big, but I don’t let idealism get in the way of getting a job done. I’m practical and would take Medikids and lower age limits for Medicare to expand healthcare and drive down costs over nothing at all. In 2028 after a Dem trifecta, I expect bold moves.
-Be an asshole and call me a carpetbagger! So I moved here four years ago, AFTER SERVING IN THE U.S. ARMY FOR 21 years. I'm here with my family, raising my daughter, and caring for my elderly parents in SoFlo. I decided to run because it was clear that the midterms would trigger a Blue Tsunami, because Trump sucks. And I saw a path to win the general election. I jumped-in to help. Call it a call to serve. Same one from a lifetime of service.
Let's just say I was very skeptical, because hey its Florida, but I wasn't going to sit on my ass when the stakes were so high.
No I didn’t move to Florida to run for Senate! 🙄
-I have some regrets, but even in losing, I delivered 1.5M to Florida candidates and to races that would have otherwise been left short-changed. I feel that in some small way I pitched in to help break the super majorities in the Florida House and Senate.
-I invested 3M total campaigns and parties around the country including Iowa, Ohio, Alaska, etc., including in Kansas and South Carolina when few were looking there.
-I wish I had chosen to outspend Angie 20, 10, or even 5 to 1 on the primary. I only spent 2:1 on the primary. Obviously a HUGE mistake. I was too focused on defeating Moody and building real democratic power.
-Angie was tireless in making her case to primary voters, while I was trying to connect with potential crossover voters without first securing my base.
-I neglected to heed the old maxim always fight and finish the battle in front of you.
-I never took a penny from AIPAC. Those claiming otherwise, when they knew better, were playing to the old Jewish dual allegiance trope.
avindman.com/p/in-the-fight-… nitter.gq/avindman/status/211851…
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This is a roadmap for @FlaDems, here are the counties where there are independents and even republicans with whom our message resonated. We need voter registration efforts targeting these individuals like yesterday to build back our coalition.
When David Jolly lost #FLGOV by 1.3%, he did so in an electorate that was GOP +8.7%
County by county, Jolly far outperformed the party makeup of the votes cast, indicating he won independents big: and some Republicans
The panhandle, still full of white rural "dixiecrats" was a different story. However, every major population center saw big Jolly over-performances #flapol
So I know many assume that Rs will move away from Trump and to the middle because of the Tsunami. But all that’s left are solid Trump districts, if there are no moderating voices in their caucus, isn’t it possible they just go *more* to the right?
So it would seem possible that the bluest seat a Republican will hold in the next Congress is a Trump +9
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I can’t wait for Ossoff to bring back class and good taste to the Oval Office so it stops looking like a freaking casino gift shop
Most important thing for every newly elected Democrat: get your constituent services up and running asap. Ingrain yourself in your district. People cross the aisle when they know, like and trust you. Ossoff is the model there, S-tier services.
Two years ago people thought Dems would be lucky just to pick up North Carolina in 2026. The 2028 Senate map is actually favorable for Dems. Wisconsin, Iowa, North Carolina are easy flip targets. Utah and Florida could be competitive with the right environment. Not crazy.
While it is possible for Dems to get 60 Senate seats in 2028, it is not likely.
It would probably require a repeat of the 2026 environment and that’s just not realistic.
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We got outspent 6-1 in the governors race. They were not maximally favorable conditions. The races where we had money, we won. And even without money, we came within 1.3 points of the governors mansion and flipped 17 state house seats, despite there being 1.5 million more Rs.
Except DeSantis’ dummymander resulted in a *lot* more investment from national Dems in FL 9, 14, 22 and 25, which almost certainly boosted turnout and helped Dems down ballot tremendously. We should thank him for this map and they’re lucky they didn’t lose FL 4, 7, 13, 26 or 27.
In 2024 Florida voters sent 20 Republicans and 8 Democrats to the US House.
In April 2026, Florida enacted a revised map to unwind an unconstitutional racial gerrymander.
Last night, Florida voters likely elected 20 Republicans and 8 Democrats to the US House.
Had the old map been in effect, it would have been 18 Republicans and 10 Democrats.
*whispers if they’d made national investment into Florida instead of hanging us to dry since 2018 they probably would have also picked up FL4, 7, 13, 26 and 27*
I also think it’s probably wise for Democrats to understand last night was likely more a referendum against Trump than it was a permanent leftward shift in partisan beliefs. The Democratic Party still has poor favorability. We need to use these next two years to improve that.