Pollitik retweeted
New research by @PollitikLab! If you haven't followed the new account, please do. H/t to @IzuO812 for the great visualization!
Did Sheinbaum inherit AMLO’s popularity, or surpass it? 🇲🇽
Enkoll’s first-year snapshots put Sheinbaum at 78%, six percentage points above AMLO’s 72% at a similar point.
#Enkoll #ApprovalRatings #Mexico #AMLO #ClaudiaSheinbaum
ALT Line chart compares Enkoll approval snapshots during the first year in office for Andrés Manuel López Obrador and Claudia Sheinbaum. Sheinbaum ends at 78% approval, compared with 72% for AMLO at a similar point. Dates are uneven survey snapshots, not monthly averages.
Pollitik retweeted
Very excited to see this important Special Issue come together and to have contributed to it. Thx to the co-editors @htchen_ @uatiff @SebaValenz for their work as support!
🚨Out now!🚨
POQ's special issue, Advancing Public Opinion Research Across Countries and Contexts.
An overview from the editors: doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfag062
All articles and notes: academic.oup.com/poq/issue
Pollitik retweeted
🌡️ readings for the US public
Are Americans more identified as Liberal or Consevative these days? The answer matters for the midterms.
50 yrs of data show thermostatic dynamics @CBWlezien-conservative ID goes us when policy moves too liberal & vice versa.
Check it out & subscribe! pollitik.substack.com/p/ideo…
Pollitik retweeted
Blessed to have worked with THE @JamesSwaffordGA on this as part of the 2026 Summer edition of @PollitikLab. Thx for bringing it, James!
Florida isn't my specialty, but I took a look. Based on the math, I projected that @RepDonaldsPress will take the Florida governorship with 48.3% of the vote.
This ended up being a fun yet challenging project to work on as part of my Grad program.
Pollitik retweeted
Nice job @PollitikLab on this report! Forecasts were built on data from @MattSingerPOLS's State Executive Approval Database
Pollitik retweeted
Worth a look
We hear a lot about presidential "honeymoons" in American Politics. But do they still exist?
Check out our latest analysis. pollitik.substack.com/p/is-t…
H/t Sam Wilder for this great piece!
Pollitik retweeted
⭐️⭐️⭐️NEW DATA ESSAY⭐️⭐️⭐️
📣 "La inteligencia artificial como refugio digital. Usos emocionales y regulación de la soledad en Argentina" by Constanza Cilley
✅ Check it out! ➡️ lnkd.in/eekZHUxz
Pollitik retweeted
⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️NEW ARTICLE⭐️⭐️⭐️
"Is Democracy in Plain Sight? Presidential Personalism and Public Opinion about the Country’s Democratic Status" by Alejandro Monsivais-Carrillo @AMonsivaisC 🔗in 1st comment.
Pollitik retweeted
The Seligson Prize is awarded annually by @LAPOP_Lab to recognize outstanding scholarship using AmericasBarometer data.
The prize honors the legacy of the late Mitchell A. Seligson, founder of LAPOP and a pioneer in the study of public opinion in Latin America.
Pollitik retweeted
🏆 Congratulations to @RyanECarlin1 and Shane P/ Singh, recipients of the 2026 Seligson Prize!
Their paper, "The Pigmentocracy of Executive Approval," was selected as this year's winning work for its outstanding use of #AmericasBarometer data.
Pollitik retweeted
This year's selection committee, @AmyEricaSmith, @TaylorBoas, and @yogerardomh, recognized the paper's important contribution to the study of democracy, governance, and public opinion in the Americas.
📖 Read the award-winning article: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.…
Pollitik retweeted
Just out in @poqjournal! H/t to Philip Warncke, my amazing co-author & methods wiz. Thx to all those who engaged critically w/this work at any point, start to finish.
Pollitik retweeted
Some really great work I’ve had the opportunity to contribute to over the past couple months. Check it out!
New forecast report for upcoming elections in Colombia 🇨🇴 incl. fundamentals model, horse-race & prediction mrkts. 📈📉
Collab w/@USanSebastian's Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno. #colombiadecide2026
Pollitik retweeted
Colombia's election is wide open. Compare prognostications via @PollitikLab S<bst@ck open.substack.com/pub/pollit…
New forecast report for upcoming elections in Colombia 🇨🇴 incl. fundamentals model, horse-race & prediction mrkts. 📈📉
Collab w/@USanSebastian's Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno. #colombiadecide2026
Pollitik retweeted
I've enjoyed a COIL "virtual exchange" pairing my @PollitikLab w/@kennethbunker's LabDemGob this spring! Full report here: open.substack.com/pub/pollit…
New forecast report for upcoming elections in Colombia 🇨🇴 incl. fundamentals model, horse-race & prediction mrkts. 📈📉
Collab w/@USanSebastian's Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno. #colombiadecide2026
Pollitik retweeted
Fascinating data, great questions. H/t Enya Wong @PollitikLab! Please follow the lab on this new acct.🙏
Approval ratings for Hong Kong’s government has declined since 2019📉.First under Carrie Lam with protests and COVID😷, and now reaching a new low of 20.1% in 2025 under John Lee. What explains the decrease? Does Beijing’s backing play a role?🤔
#HongKong #China #JohnLeeCarrieLam
Pollitik retweeted
🇫🇷Macron’s approval drops 📉 to ~25% — lowest since the Yellow Vest crisis. From 2017 highs 🚀 to today’s lows 🪨, even the Ukraine war bump couldn’t save him. Will France maintain a Renaissance or replace it in the next elections? #FrancePolitics #France #ApprovalWatch #Macron
ALT https://www.bva-group.com/sondages/observatoire-de-politique-nationale-bva-orange-rtl-fevrier-2022/ https://harris-interactive.fr/wp-content/uploads/sites/6/2025/06/Barometre-de-confiance-politique-Toluna-Harris-Interactive-LCI_juin-2025.pdf https://www.lefigaro.fr/politique/emmanuel-macron-une-cote-de-confiance-en-tole-ondulee-20240530 https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/Topline_Eurotrack_Jul25_w.pdf