Pollitik retweeted
New research by @PollitikLab! If you haven't followed the new account, please do. H/t to @IzuO812 for the great visualization!
Did Sheinbaum inherit AMLO’s popularity, or surpass it? 🇲🇽
Enkoll’s first-year snapshots put Sheinbaum at 78%, six percentage points above AMLO’s 72% at a similar point.
#Enkoll #ApprovalRatings #Mexico #AMLO #ClaudiaSheinbaum
ALT Line chart compares Enkoll approval snapshots during the first year in office for Andrés Manuel López Obrador and Claudia Sheinbaum. Sheinbaum ends at 78% approval, compared with 72% for AMLO at a similar point. Dates are uneven survey snapshots, not monthly averages.
Did Sheinbaum inherit AMLO’s popularity, or surpass it? 🇲🇽
Enkoll’s first-year snapshots put Sheinbaum at 78%, six percentage points above AMLO’s 72% at a similar point.
#Enkoll #ApprovalRatings #Mexico #AMLO #ClaudiaSheinbaum
ALT Line chart compares Enkoll approval snapshots during the first year in office for Andrés Manuel López Obrador and Claudia Sheinbaum. Sheinbaum ends at 78% approval, compared with 72% for AMLO at a similar point. Dates are uneven survey snapshots, not monthly averages.
Pollitik retweeted
Very excited to see this important Special Issue come together and to have contributed to it. Thx to the co-editors @htchen_ @uatiff @SebaValenz for their work as support!
🚨Out now!🚨
POQ's special issue, Advancing Public Opinion Research Across Countries and Contexts.
An overview from the editors: doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfag062
All articles and notes: academic.oup.com/poq/issue
Pollitik retweeted
🌡️ readings for the US public
Are Americans more identified as Liberal or Consevative these days? The answer matters for the midterms.
50 yrs of data show thermostatic dynamics @CBWlezien-conservative ID goes us when policy moves too liberal & vice versa.
Check it out & subscribe! pollitik.substack.com/p/ideo…
Are Americans more identified as Liberal or Consevative these days? The answer matters for the midterms.
50 yrs of data show thermostatic dynamics @CBWlezien-conservative ID goes us when policy moves too liberal & vice versa.
Check it out & subscribe! pollitik.substack.com/p/ideo…
RIP🙏What happens to approval ratings when a world leader dies in office?
Explore approval ratings for 4 dead presidents and their successors in our latest observation📈📉: Going Out On Top open.substack.com/pub/pollit…
#approvalratings #twitterstorian #deadpresidents
Pollitik retweeted
Blessed to have worked with THE @JamesSwaffordGA on this as part of the 2026 Summer edition of @PollitikLab. Thx for bringing it, James!
Florida isn't my specialty, but I took a look. Based on the math, I projected that @RepDonaldsPress will take the Florida governorship with 48.3% of the vote.
This ended up being a fun yet challenging project to work on as part of my Grad program.
Candidate quality will definitely matter. But these fundamentals were locked in before the primaries! So take it as a data point. Polymarket and Kalshi equally bullish on Keisha.
@Pollitik_Lab
The race for Georgia governor just got a projection. 823 votes decided Keisha Lance Bottoms' 2017 runoff. Could 2026 come down to just as few? Check out our new forcast:
pollitik.substack.com/p/fund…
#gapol
Our forecasts show something similar in the GA Governor's race open.substack.com/pub/pollit…
Pollitik retweeted
Nice job @PollitikLab on this report! Forecasts were built on data from @MattSingerPOLS's State Executive Approval Database
Our latest forecasts point to something similar for the governor's race in GA open.substack.com/pub/pollit…
Pollitik retweeted
Worth a look
We hear a lot about presidential "honeymoons" in American Politics. But do they still exist?
Check out our latest analysis. pollitik.substack.com/p/is-t…
H/t Sam Wilder for this great piece!
