@RyanECarlin1

Collaborations: @ExecApproval; @Pollitik_Lab; @PopulismTeam; Editor @RevistaLOP; Director @GSU_CHRD

 Atlanta, GA
sites.google.com/site/ryanecarlin
Joined December 2020
  • Tweets1.4K
  • Following2.7K
  • Followers1.6K
48Media
Best. Present. Ever. Thanks @KelsiQuick3 — much of @Pollitik_Lab’s success owes to you. Thanks for believing in this crazy dream 💭 @EPICProgramGSU @ExecApproval @GSUPoliSci
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New research by @PollitikLab! If you haven't followed the new account, please do. H/t to @IzuO812 for the great visualization!
Pollitik@PollitikLabOct 21
Did Sheinbaum inherit AMLO’s popularity, or surpass it? 🇲🇽 Enkoll’s first-year snapshots put Sheinbaum at 78%, six percentage points above AMLO’s 72% at a similar point. #Enkoll #ApprovalRatings #Mexico #AMLO #ClaudiaSheinbaum
Line chart compares Enkoll approval snapshots during the first year in office for Andrés Manuel López Obrador and Claudia Sheinbaum. Sheinbaum ends at 78% approval, compared with 72% for AMLO at a similar point. Dates are uneven survey snapshots, not monthly averages.

ALT Line chart compares Enkoll approval snapshots during the first year in office for Andrés Manuel López Obrador and Claudia Sheinbaum. Sheinbaum ends at 78% approval, compared with 72% for AMLO at a similar point. Dates are uneven survey snapshots, not monthly averages.

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Ryan E Carlin retweeted
Pollitik@PollitikLabOct 21
Did Sheinbaum inherit AMLO’s popularity, or surpass it? 🇲🇽 Enkoll’s first-year snapshots put Sheinbaum at 78%, six percentage points above AMLO’s 72% at a similar point. #Enkoll #ApprovalRatings #Mexico #AMLO #ClaudiaSheinbaum
Line chart compares Enkoll approval snapshots during the first year in office for Andrés Manuel López Obrador and Claudia Sheinbaum. Sheinbaum ends at 78% approval, compared with 72% for AMLO at a similar point. Dates are uneven survey snapshots, not monthly averages.

ALT Line chart compares Enkoll approval snapshots during the first year in office for Andrés Manuel López Obrador and Claudia Sheinbaum. Sheinbaum ends at 78% approval, compared with 72% for AMLO at a similar point. Dates are uneven survey snapshots, not monthly averages.

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Ryan E Carlin retweeted
Debra Leiter@DebraLeiterOct 23
Interested in using the @ps_polisci special issue "Forecasting the 2026 Midterms" in your class? We have new teaching material posted on APSA Educate. educate.apsanet.org/resource… Thanks to @apsa APSA Educate for getting it posted for us so quickly!

PS Special Issue: Forecasting the 2026 US Midterm Elections Teaching Guide

educate.apsanet.org
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Ryan E Carlin retweeted
RLOP@RevistaLOPOct 23
Check out @ecalvo68’s excellent review of @lschiume’s book, Incumbency Bias, in RLOP! revistas.usal.es/cuatro/inde…
Luis Schiumerini
@lschiumeOct 22
Could not be more grateful to @ecalvo68 for this review of Incumbency Bias in RLOP. Love how he puts it: bias, positive or negative, is not a pathology but what accountability produces when expectations outrun capacity. Review: revistas.usal.es/cuatro/inde… Book: cambridge.org/core/books/inc…
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Who will win the governors' races? 🗳️ Greg Love, @MattSingerPOLS & I take a stab it in the @ps_polisci forecasting symposium. Check it out! cambridge.org/core/journals/…

Forecasting the 2026 US Midterm Elections

Forecasting the 2026 US Midterm Elections

cambridge.org
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Ryan E Carlin retweeted
RLOP@RevistaLOPOct 14
rlop.usal.es/index.php/pt/20…
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Replying to @lorenagbarberia @JotaInfo
@rnishimura @polling_data @RyanECarlin1 reforçando pontos que vocês tem discutido muito.
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Cool paper that use the Executive Approval Database! Thanks & congrats, @l_gamboag!
Laura Gamboa@l_gamboagOct 4
Defection from authoritarian allies is crucial to stop autocratization or transition back to democracy. In this JoD (free for anyone), I show some successful examples on how can oppositions support and foster loyalty shifts.
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Ryan E Carlin retweeted
RLOP@RevistaLOPOct 4
Replying to @Perez1oj
As always, it's an empirical question! Submit your proposal for our special here: rlop.usal.es/index.php/2026/…
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What a great opportunity to take the pulse of the region! New data from @pewresearch & @LAPOP_Lab + historical dat from @RoperCenter @AmericasyMundo should come in handy.
RLOP@RevistaLOPSep 22
📢CALL FOR PAPERS: Special Issue LATIN AMERICAN PUBLIC OPINION TOWARDS THE UNITED STATES: Patterns, Determinants & Consequences CO-EDITORS Orlando J. Pérez @Perez1oj Dinorah Azpuru Gerardo Maldonado @yogerardomh Federico Merke Proposal deadline 1 Dec 2026 rlop.usal.es/index.php/2026/…
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Ryan E Carlin retweeted
RLOP@RevistaLOPSep 22
📢CALL FOR PAPERS: Special Issue LATIN AMERICAN PUBLIC OPINION TOWARDS THE UNITED STATES: Patterns, Determinants & Consequences CO-EDITORS Orlando J. Pérez @Perez1oj Dinorah Azpuru Gerardo Maldonado @yogerardomh Federico Merke Proposal deadline 1 Dec 2026 rlop.usal.es/index.php/2026/…
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Very excited to see this important Special Issue come together and to have contributed to it. Thx to the co-editors @htchen_ @uatiff @SebaValenz for their work as support!
Public Opinion Quarterly@poqjournalSep 9
🚨Out now!🚨 POQ's special issue, Advancing Public Opinion Research Across Countries and Contexts. An overview from the editors: doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfag062 All articles and notes: academic.oup.com/poq/issue
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🌡️ readings for the US public
Pollitik@PollitikLabAug 4
Are Americans more identified as Liberal or Consevative these days? The answer matters for the midterms. 50 yrs of data show thermostatic dynamics @CBWlezien-conservative ID goes us when policy moves too liberal & vice versa. Check it out & subscribe! pollitik.substack.com/p/ideo…
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Excellent work w/midterms implications
Pollitik@PollitikLabAug 2
Americans' preferences for issues aren't static. How have abortion stances shifted post-Dobbs?
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Ryan E Carlin retweeted
Pollitik@PollitikLabAug 1
RIP🙏What happens to approval ratings when a world leader dies in office? Explore approval ratings for 4 dead presidents and their successors in our latest observation📈📉: Going Out On Top open.substack.com/pub/pollit… #approvalratings #twitterstorian #deadpresidents
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Ryan E Carlin retweeted
Pollitik@PollitikLabJul 30
Replying to @Pollitik_Lab
@Pollitik_Lab The race for Georgia governor just got a projection. 823 votes decided Keisha Lance Bottoms' 2017 runoff. Could 2026 come down to just as few? Check out our new forcast: pollitik.substack.com/p/fund… #gapol
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Data from 6 months out but the result is compelling. Check it out!
Pollitik@PollitikLabJul 31
Who'll be Florida's next governor? A view from the fundamentals suggests a tighter race than you might suspect...subscribe to our Substack for free access or see link in comments
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Blessed to have worked with THE @JamesSwaffordGA on this as part of the 2026 Summer edition of @PollitikLab. Thx for bringing it, James!
James Swafford
@JamesSwaffordGAJul 31
Florida isn't my specialty, but I took a look. Based on the math, I projected that @RepDonaldsPress will take the Florida governorship with 48.3% of the vote. This ended up being a fun yet challenging project to work on as part of my Grad program.
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Ryan E Carlin retweeted
Pollitik@PollitikLabJul 31
Read all about it open.substack.com/pub/pollit…
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This race is heating up and should be a barn-burner.
Pollitik@PollitikLabJul 31
Who'll be Florida's next governor? A view from the fundamentals suggests a tighter race than you might suspect...subscribe to our Substack for free access or see link in comments
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