Buy and sell political futures. PSAs: - 95% ≠ Certainty - Forecasts ≠ Future - Turnout = Outcome
Washington, DC
Joined November 2013
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Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball ratings change
Ohio Governor
Toss-up —> Lean D
Link to article: centerforpolitics.org/crysta…
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Election Day is less than 20 days away! 🗳️
Which races should you be watching, and who has the best odds of winning? Aristotle and @PredictIt give you the insights you need to stay ahead of the 2026 midterms and make smarter decisions: bit.ly/4eC1lZV #NowYouKnow
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Read the press release here: bit.ly/47STBPs
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Early voting is underway in the 2026 midterms. Who has already cast a ballot in your district?
Find out with Aristotle's 2026 Midterms Early and Absentee Voting Dashboard: bit.ly/4B3Hs7D #NowYouKnow
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Texas Hispanic likely voters: Talarico 63%, Paxton 30%.
@SenTedCruz won the group by three points in 2024.
PI Traders = Talarico 57¢ to win the Senate seat.
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Pleased to announce that PredictIt joins PREDICT 2026 as a Media Partner, Oct. 6-7 in NYC.
This conference features 70+ prediction markets experts and 2 full days of networking.
Register now: lnkd.in/eMpeYY88
#PredictionMarket
#PREDICTCONFERENCE
@PredictIt
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Fascinating lunch with @DustinGouker, John Phillips of @PredictIt and Alex Dubin of Dubin Law talking through where prediction markets are heading. Love these conversations, the space is moving fast and the smartest people in it are still figuring out the next big shift!!
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Impact Research poll | 8/18-8/24 LV
US Senate South Carolina 2026
🟦Annie Andrews 41%
🟥Darline Graham 41% (incumbent)
🟨Kasie Whitener 5%
——
(Informed ballot)
🟦Annie Andrews 44%
🟥Darline Graham 39% (incumbent)
🟨Kasie Whitener 4%
(Annie Andrews internal)
Link to poll: drannieandrews.com/wp-conten…
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AP: US Supreme Court clears the way for Trump mail voting order in advance of midterms
The Supreme Court on Monday cleared the way for President Donald Trump to move ahead with his executive order restricting mail-in voting, though it remains unclear how much his administration can implement before the fast-approaching midterm elections.
apnews.com/article/trump-mai…
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I’m beyond excited to introduce Prediction Markets Day, taking place on October 1 this year!
Thank you to our early supporters: @williamlegate of @Polymarket , John Phillips of @PredictIt, Elie Mishory of @Novig , @FiftyOneAlpha, Andrew Lawrence and a few more announced soon!
We’re gathering the BEST prediction markets articles, podcasts, educational resources, and events from across the ecosystem. If there’s something we should feature, please reach out!
Introducing Prediction Markets Day:
Held annually on the first Thursday in October, this year, that’s October 1.
Only 42 days to go!!!
predictionmarketsday.com
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What an evening with @FiftyOneAlpha ! An incredible turnout, a fantastic panel, and one clear takeaway: this industry is bullish on institutional adoption.
We also got an exciting first look at @verifact as it came out of stealth today!!
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NYP: Kari Lake, Scott Jennings and Spencer Pratt are seen as possible contenders who could replace White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt.
Link to article: nypost.com/2026/08/12/us-new…
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Demuth up to 84 cents and Hong down to 50! predictit.org/markets/detail…
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New episode is live!
@StuDoesAmerica sits down with @PredictIt co-founder and CEO John Phillips to discuss the history of political prediction markets, PredictIt's legal battle with the federal government, and why markets can cut through political spin. youtube.com/live/wVJKQSyBBgg…
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Breaking: Progressive candidate Abdul El-Sayed narrowly beat four-term congresswoman Haley Stevens to win the Democratic Senate nomination in Michigan on.wsj.com/4hgyX1S
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This is narrowing at a rapid rate and will come down to Wayne. Stevens is vastly outperforming expectations across a lot of whiter, less urban areas.
El-Sayed exceeding his targets in Kent, Washtenaw, and Oakland. Stevens exceeding elsewhere.
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Polls are now CLOSED in most of Michigan. ⏰
Standby for live results at a precinct-level where available on our site.
votehub.com/2026_mi_sen_dem_…
