Alex Libre retweeted
Replying to @CharlesFLehman
I want to answer this, because the dark abundance stuff leaves me cold even though I agree with some of the policy prescriptions.
Our prisons are terrible, terrible places where there is immense and unnecessary human suffering. In prison people are subject to random violence and the constant threat of violence, including gang violence and racial violence. They are subject to sexual assault. They often don't get adequate healthcare. They are often badly mistreated and have few avenues of recourse. Some of them are innocent; most of them are guilty, and still, they did not deserve to spend decades under the constant threat of violence and sexual assault because no human being deserves that. When you sentence someone to prison, by some estimates you take away from them twice as many years as prison sentenced them to, because that's how much incarceration decreases life expectancy.
The system is capricious. The system is remarkably dumb. A lot of judges openly ignore laws they don't like and they often get away with it. A lot of the people in our prisons are to varying degrees intellectually disabled or severely mentally ill and do not even understand all of the things that our system is implacably doing to them because they broke rules they didn't actually understand how to follow.
And institutionalization! Christ, people on here call for institutionalization as if it's where they cure you rather than where, with even less due process than is offered by the justice system, a differently chaotic and sometimes well-meaning and always incomprehensible system can force people to take medications that change their bodies and minds often in ways that make life a living hell (and of course prevent anyone from killing themselves over it). People are also constantly subject to violence and rape in mental institutions. They may be less bad than the alternatives, sometimes, but they are an awful awful solution and whenever I propose that anyone be sent there I remember that I have heard friends who know what it's like testify they would rather be dead.
I think that we should have more police, solve more crimes, and send people who repeatedly commit crimes to prison for much longer. But I believe this while believing that all of this suffering is real, and horrifying, and destroying an enormous number of lives. I don't feel cool and based about saying we should send some people to prison for longer. I feel sick. I do not believe that we can have any of the other goods of a free, safe society if we repeatedly release people who cannot safely participate in society and have been duly convicted of acts of severe violence onto our streets. But I am not proud of this system. I do not think it is cool or good. I find the mindset of the prison abolitionists basically comprehensible - it is a refusal to participate in any state-sanctioned decades of torture, hang the consequences - and the mindset of the people who meme about how many jails we should build is one which I have not the slightest interest in cultivating.
Of course I see why people cultivate it. If it must be done, then it is much easier to believe it's not that bad, and if the people standing in the way are weepy scolds, then one can differentiate oneself from the weepy scolds by being based. But I guess I think it's a road to Hell. We have to do hard things, but we don't have to hide from our eyes what they really are, or pretend they're all right, and it's not actually a virtue not to blink at them.
I want to build a ton of prisons. My understanding of the research is that small prisons where inmates know each other by name are less violent than large prisoners where they go off visual identifiers (predominantly race), and that prisons close to peoples' homes make their families more likely to visit and help with reintegration. I want cash transfers for newly-released prisoners to help them get on their feet and get a job and have a real shot at not breaking a parole condition and ending up right where they started. I want it to be possible to order anything on a large whitelist from Amazon and Walmart to prison at cost, instead of commissaries that can charge much higher rates. I want prisoners to have internet access and lots of contact with their loved ones. I want prisoners to have xboxes, honestly, because it'll reduce violence in prison if they're less miserably bored.
I want to hire more cops. I want to solve more crimes. I want to hold people without bail if they are a safety risk or a flight risk. And I want to send people who have repeatedly committing crimes to prison for much much longer, because I think the alternatives are even worse. But God help me I am never going to think this is cool, or funny, or anything other than awful.
Dark abundance? No. This is the aching absence of abundance, this is the horrifically painful triage of a society that does not have enough resources to do what is good and can only scrape by blundering towards what is least bad. May our children do better, and struggle to comprehend us.
Alex Libre retweeted
It seems to me agency is about noticing the ways that you have far more control over the world than you realized, and equanimity is noticing the ways that you need far less control over the world than you realized.
Alex Libre retweeted
How are rising mathematicians and physicists coping with the imminent advancements in AI? I have personally met folks who are working on integrating LLMs with proof verification languages (such as Lean) that project under a 2 year time horizon before LLMs can generate proofs and check their proofs step by step with Lean. Once this is possible, we will reach a point where AIs can partake in self-play and generate a ton of increasingly relevant and interesting proofs. Humans will be useful at the early stages of self play because they will help develop the search algorithm for how AIs search the space of possible proofs. But, it seems like the window for humans being at all competitive with AIs in both taste for interesting problems and selecting what's relevant will be incredibly short-lived. Where do we go from here?
Alex Libre retweeted
I notice people who have original ideas ~ always have really forceful personalities: very high confidence + very disagreeable.
I wonder which way the causality goes. If you are too agreeable you just get the originality RLHF'ed out of you??
Alex Libre retweeted
Replying to @aidan_mclau
it’s a good model but it often lacks soul, idk how else to describe it. throw some garlic and onions and mushrooms and spices into the RL fine tuning of that boy and I bet he’ll start smelling like a big model. train him on more videos and writings of Rick Rubin. let him grow a beard and chest hair. Train him on more videos of whales and sloths
Alex Libre retweeted
Replying to @polynoamial
took every beginning letter from the post - lovahosmtdtagrtboafpbpourpr
rearanged "A vast portal hides progress, but small truths reveal potential."
Alex Libre retweeted
Being a founder parent requires a different level of grit and @_AlexLibre over at Libre Talent definitely knows!
When I first onboarded Alex for @hirerapha , he was using a frankenstack of tools to get things done. Spreadsheets, AI tools, Loom videos, etc.
Now with Rapha...
✳️ All of Alex's write ups are transcribed + summarized for the HM w/o a phone screen (yes you read that right)
✳️ Alex is able to push candidates along within a built-in CRM
✳️ Alex is able to sell the role via audio job description so candidates know what the expectations are
✳️ HM's are able to LISTEN to applicants and collaborate with Alex at step 0
✳️ Alex is able to to focus on quality vs quantity
✳️ Candidates finally feel human again and are able to provide the much needed context in this AI world...
Because of this...
✅ Alex gets hours back every week to spend time with the family
✅ Client gets their hire faster, more efficiently, and get time back + save money
✅ Candidate finally gets to tell their story
and this is all happening at step 0.
---
As I was writing this out...I was constantly 👀 glancing at my baby monitor to make sure my son (2yr old) and daughter (1yr old) are sleeping okay. It's basically my third monitor in my "office space" lol. My co-founder Marcelo understands this too with his two daughters. The founder journey is a challenge within itself and becomes even more of a challenge when you have kids...but I gotta say I absolutely love it and wouldn't want it anyway.
When looking at the journey ahead, I have no doubt in my mind that both Marcelo and I are built for it -- the ink is dry. We want to make sure people like Alex Libre, recruiters, hiring managers etc are able to spend quality time with their families, their team, their projects etc by any means necessary.
Congrats again Alex on the little one :)
Alex Libre retweeted
Replying to @hirerapha
@hirerapha Wrap Up 2024 is here 👀
✳️ Conducted over 20K+ initial phone screens
✳️ Saved over 600K hours for hiring teams and candidates
✳️ 1K+ Job postings
✳️ 35K+ minutes of candidate stories
✳️ 99% NPS score on candidate exp
✳️ "What's your origin story?" was the most popular audio question this year!
Though it technically hasn't even been a year of Marcelo and I building Rapha, we have so much to look back at...We are just warming up.
Alex Libre retweeted
In my opinion we have already achieved AGI and it’s even more clear with O1. We have not achieved “better than any human at any task” but what we have is “better than most humans at most tasks”. Some say LLMs only know how to follow a recipe. Firstly, no one can really explain what a trillion parameter deep neural net can learn. But even if you believe that, the whole scientific method can be summarized as a recipe: observe, hypothesize, and verify. Good scientists can produce better hypothesis based on their intuition, but that intuition itself was built by many trial and errors. There’s nothing that can’t be learned with examples.
Alex Libre retweeted
The @gwern interview.
0:00:00 – Anonymity
0:01:09 – Automating Steve Jobs
0:04:38 – Isaac Newton's theory of progress
0:06:36 – Grand theory of intelligence
0:10:39 – Seeing scaling early
0:21:04 – AGI Timelines
0:22:54 – What to do in remaining 3 years until AGI
0:26:29 – Influencing the shoggoth with writing
0:30:50 – Human vs artificial intelligence
0:33:52 – Rabbit holes
0:38:48 – Hearing impairment
0:43:00 – Wikipedia editing
0:47:43 – Gwern dot net
0:50:20 – Counterfactual careers
0:54:30 – Borges & literature
1:01:32 – Gwern's process
1:19:17 - Gwern's finances
1:25:05 - Random
Alex Libre retweeted
Replying to @ESYudkowsky
I think this is probably wrong, and my guess is your impression comes from some form of selection bias
Alex Libre retweeted
Interesting to see Anthropic joining TechNet, the trade group opposing SB 1047.
That means OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, Meta, Amazon, Apple, IBM, and Andreessen Horowitz all now belong to orgs opposing the bill.
Hardly looking like regulatory capture!
Alex Libre retweeted
🔥 Everyone in the LLMs/Foundation Models/AI Policy arena should take time today to read @jackclarkSF’s current issue of Import AI!
What a breath of fresh air to read some thoughtful, well-written (!) commentary on managing our AI future!
Recommended!
importai.substack.com/p/impo…
Alex Libre retweeted
Two weeks ago we released Reflect on Apple's App Store - it’s been a disaster.
Initially, we used TestFlight to distribute our iOS app, which worked well and allowed us to quickly iterate and ship updates. However, there was a cap on the number of users we could have.
Eventually, we decided to move to the App Store. Anyone familiar with this process knows it involves some back-and-forth before getting approval, but finally, the Apple reviewers gave us their blessing.
We announced our new iOS app and transitioned our customers off TestFlight. Job done! Or so we thought...
A week later, we prepared an update to the app with some editor fixes. The update was denied. Apple stated that our sign-in process violated their Terms of Service.
We use end-to-end encryption to protect our customers' notes so that nobody else, not even us, can read them. Our encryption process works in two stages: first, Apple or Google Auth is used to log into your Reflect account, and then you provide an encryption password which is used to end-to-end encrypt your notes. This password never leaves your device, ensuring your notes remain secure.
Apple's issue was with displaying a password field after the "Sign in with Apple" button, which they claimed was against their terms of service. It's important to note that this functionality had not changed since the initial approval of the app. They had approved the app, we announced it, moved everyone to it, and now they were blocking our update. We've tried appealing several times but have never received a response.
We are now in limbo. I don't know what to do.
This story is not unique. Every day developers are running into these app-store issues, but many are afraid to speak up in case of reprisals. Apple, if you're wondering why there are no apps for the Apple Vision, maybe take a good look in the mirror and think about how you treat us.
Alex Libre retweeted
The scary thing about the speed at which AI is evolving is that it isn't yet mainly evolving itself. The current rate of progress is still driven mainly by improvements in hardware and in code written by human programmers.
Alex Libre retweeted
Replying to @SteveStuWill
You don't need biology to demolish free will. Physics is enough.



























