not to unduly blackpill but I think there is a serious chance of a foreign policy situation that even normie Americans will care about by spring, a Russia-NATO war and an open-ended Iran conflict in the middle of Eurasia suddenly fusing
"Activity linked to the IRGC" here means ostensibly monarchist accounts. This would in theory be easy enough to address: an org like NUFDI could work with an ally like Schrader and an analytics firm to develop a list of inauthentic accounts everyone could just block and move on. That no one in that advocacy network has ever attempted this after years of grievances like this suggests one of two things: either they know their organic grassroots is this deranged and unpleasant and don't want to alienate them, or there are powers other than the Iranian government behind the inauthentic activity better left unpoked.
unavailable
Andrew Fogle retweeted
Iranians don’t understand the mindset of the group of people in America who watched America’s humiliation during the hostage crisis night after night on Ted Koppel’s Nightline.
Until that generation leaves decision making, nothing will improve in the relationship between the two countries, even if Israel is removed from the picture. That’s a generational score they feel they need to settle. It’s Hatfields vs McCoys
I know some of my excellent moots have other views but I think the perspective the Iranian leadership should take on the Trump admin is the maximally paranoid and pessimistic one and anything short of that is suicidal. Trump, hawks, and the Israel Lobby want to settle a generational grudge against the Islamic Republic and are utterly indifferent to public opinion, this is post-consent foreign policy and it's foolish to assume anything internal to US politics can stop it. Every olive branch is a trick, every overture is a lie, and at this point I even think some of the signals about depleted munitions and so on are part of the hybrid warfare. Iran should dig in for, minimally, two years of on and off war, anything else is geopolitical malpractice.
When I worked as a door boy at an old gay guy bar right after undergrad I unknowingly carded Crystal Waters. She was super gracious about it. Autism origins.
I used to think Halloween was just a way for Americans to try to conjure a little bit of sublime horror in a secure "Last Man" consumer society but it permanently broke my theory to see on IG Iranians doing this stuff *in the middle of a war*
This year, similar to previous years, there are lots of videos on social media relating to young people in Iran celebrating Halloween.
Lots of cafes and restaurants are doing Halloween themed events (and some later issuing clarifications that in accordance to Iranian law they will no longer do it ... but mysteriously have fake spider webs all on their walls).
A huge number of advertisements with people wearing ghost and vampire costumes.
And for the last week there's lots of private Halloween parties & a bunch of people who are just wearing costumes and walking around in the streets. Including young girls publicly wearing very revealing clothing, similar to their West.
This has been going on for a while now. Though a few years ago it was more in big cities like Tehran & Isfahan and now I increasingly see it spreading to very small cities too.
Like everything else there is a counter reaction to this and cultural conservatives angrily making videos against this & meta commentary about "oh why aren't you celebrating authentic Iranian culture instead" and all the normal things.
And yes some businesses and pages getting shut down. I haven't heard of anyone getting actually arrested, but its within the realm of possibility.
All of these are a pretty weak reaction though. And the trend of which way things are going is pretty clear.
galaxy-brained leftist cultural studies guy: "Thus the plastic lawn skeleton serves as both a disavowal of, and haunting by, the entangled legacies of colonial violence and fossil capital"
Tehrani Zoomers: nitter.gq/BBCArdalan/status/2116…
Andrew Fogle retweeted
Kansas Democrats picking up the phone when a pollster calls
We polled Kansas. Democrats wanted to talk. Republicans, not so much. Gift link -> wapo.st/4yUVruu
Andrew Fogle retweeted
The underlying claim also does not seem to be correct. The GCC countries including Qatar overwhelmingly focused their lobbying on the political right in America as well as certain elite institutions that they saw as more corruptible or potentially ideologically aligned.
Even more shortsightedly they focused most of their efforts in recent years on cultivating the highly unreliable and polarizing figure of Donald Trump as well as his son-in-law and other relatives. (The Qataris didn't buy Bernie Sanders a plane for obvious reasons.) As such they do not really have much sympathy in the broader American public and are seen largely correctly as another extension of the increasingly unpopular Trumpworld phenomenon.
Andrew Fogle retweeted
This year, similar to previous years, there are lots of videos on social media relating to young people in Iran celebrating Halloween.
Lots of cafes and restaurants are doing Halloween themed events (and some later issuing clarifications that in accordance to Iranian law they will no longer do it ... but mysteriously have fake spider webs all on their walls).
A huge number of advertisements with people wearing ghost and vampire costumes.
And for the last week there's lots of private Halloween parties & a bunch of people who are just wearing costumes and walking around in the streets. Including young girls publicly wearing very revealing clothing, similar to their West.
This has been going on for a while now. Though a few years ago it was more in big cities like Tehran & Isfahan and now I increasingly see it spreading to very small cities too.
Like everything else there is a counter reaction to this and cultural conservatives angrily making videos against this & meta commentary about "oh why aren't you celebrating authentic Iranian culture instead" and all the normal things.
And yes some businesses and pages getting shut down. I haven't heard of anyone getting actually arrested, but its within the realm of possibility.
All of these are a pretty weak reaction though. And the trend of which way things are going is pretty clear.
thinking about Halloween 2014 when I wore my roommate's abba and all the Iranians I partied with loved it but a gay Saudi guy dispatched one of his white minions to tell me it was problematic
DSA has organized tens of thousands of members and cultivated a generation of politicians who are going to shape public life for decades. Does "the new based right" have anything that compares to this, other than influencers fandoms and oligarchic patronage networks?
Andrew Fogle retweeted
Trump lies a lot and lies frequently, but I think he's being honest when he says he wants it over one way or the other soon.
He wants to close this chapter and move on to other things.
Haa not made a decision on how (leaning towards escalate) but making steps towards both
Andrew Fogle retweeted
The plan was always to say it would take a few days or weeks and then a few months later claim that the sunk costs are too great and it just has to continue indefinitely now.

















