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Military News & Developments, Significant Air Activity, Conflict Crisis Areas (Open Source)

East Midlands, England
Joined January 2012
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🇷🇺🇱🇾🇸🇾OSINT UPDATE: RUSSIAN CONVOY IN THE ENGLISH CHANNEL New tracking and radio data confirm the Russian naval convoy continues its transit heading southwest. •Positions: The Altay-class tanker Yelnya (50.7°N 00.8°E, 6-10 knots), alongside cargo ships Ascalon and Anastasiia, are currently in the English Channel.
 •Escort: The Steregushchiy-class corvette Stoiky's presence remains unconfirmed.
 •Destination: Unknown, though current analysis indicates a 60% chance for Tobruk and 40% for Syria,with a dual stopover possible. @KaptainLOMA @key2med @TiaFarris10 @SONARROW_OSINT @MrFrantarelli @te3ej @Gibdan1 @NavyLookout @UKForcesTracker @seawaves_mag @charly0153 @Capt_Navy @supbrow @CeciliaSykala @jr_amon_ceuta @DonnetJules
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Four Nyan One-Way Effector strike drones launched from HMS Queen Elizabeth during trial last month. If the carriers can be set up to quickly fire off a big swarm of Nyans in short time this would be a really significant capability navylookout.com/hms-queen-el…
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I Worked STRATCOM J2 for 5 years. This isn’t mystery radio. That’s an E-6B Mercury on 11175 USB, Atlantic orbit, reading an EAM preamble: K7CWD7. HFGCS + TACAMO doing what they were built to do — HF/VLF relay so the boats and bombers still hear the message if the pretty networks go dark. Not a launch order. Not “decoded.” Just the backup C2 net doing its job off the Carolina coast. #HFGCS #E6B #STRATCOM
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Ukrainian forces continued their long-range strike campaign against Russian logistical, industrial, and oil infrastructure in Ryazan and Oryol oblasts. Ukrainian forces recently advanced in western Zaporizhia Oblast. Russian forces launched two Kh-35 anti-ship missiles and 128 drones against Ukraine overnight.
NEW: The Kremlin is weaponizing humanitarian crises Russia itself has created in order to court the Trump Administration. (1/2)
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BlueSky retweeted
👀 As a data signal goes out over the HFGCS, B52 bombers FEAR47 and CHILL41 exchange radio checks with each other. I wonder what's going on...
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The Steregushchiy-class corvette "Stoykiy"(545) has returned to the Baltic Sea. 🎥Frank Behling (Nov. 3)
The cargo vessels ANASTASIIA and ASCALON, escorted by the Steregushchiy-class corvette Stoykiy and the Altay-class oiler Yelnya, are departing the Baltic Sea and are likely heading toward the shores of the African continent. 📸FB-"Under Broen" | Henrik B. Knudsen (Nov. 1)
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🚨🚨🚨 A second Russian cargo convoy is now heading out of the Baltic Sea. The convoy consists of three vessels sailing together: 🇷🇺 LADY R (IMO 9161003), LADY D (IMO 9349289) and MAIA-1 (IMO 9358010). The second convoy is crossing the southern Baltic Sea, north of the Polish coast and east of Bornholm, heading southwest towards the Danish Straits. Meanwhile, the first convoy, comprising 🇷🇺 ASCALON (IMO 9198226) and ANASTASIIA (IMO 9349291), is approaching the western exit of the English Channel, heading into the Atlantic. These successive convoy movements further strengthen indications of a major Russian military sealift operation originating from Baltiysk. 👀 Are both convoys bound for the same destination? Libya and West Africa remain possibilities.
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BlueSky retweeted
Russian Navy Headquarters, callsign RMX, works Russian Navy Frigate Admiral Kasatonov (461), callsign RMYC with enciphered Morse link. 10388 kilohertz CW, 0722 UTC Morse recording vocaroo.com/1dxqU0K2E0uC
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🇷🇺Russian convoy of 3 merchant vessels, possibly escorted by corvette, passing west through the English Channel today.
🇷🇺🇱🇾🇸🇾OSINT UPDATE: RUSSIAN CONVOY IN THE ENGLISH CHANNEL New tracking and radio data confirm the Russian naval convoy continues its transit heading southwest. •Positions: The Altay-class tanker Yelnya (50.7°N 00.8°E, 6-10 knots), alongside cargo ships Ascalon and Anastasiia, are currently in the English Channel.
 •Escort: The Steregushchiy-class corvette Stoiky's presence remains unconfirmed.
 •Destination: Unknown, though current analysis indicates a 60% chance for Tobruk and 40% for Syria,with a dual stopover possible. @KaptainLOMA @key2med @TiaFarris10 @SONARROW_OSINT @MrFrantarelli @te3ej @Gibdan1 @NavyLookout @UKForcesTracker @seawaves_mag @charly0153 @Capt_Navy @supbrow @CeciliaSykala @jr_amon_ceuta @DonnetJules
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.@GBNEWS reports HMS Prince of Wales scrambled two F-35s to intercept a Russian Tu-142 Bear heading towards the carrier strike group while operating in the Norwegian Sea. Not an unusual event during the Cold War and the second time this type of incident has been reported this year. (Library photo)
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🇬🇧UK Foreign Secretary Ed Miliband confronted Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov at the G20 foreign ministers’ meeting, accusing Moscow of having no intention of ending its war against Ukraine and warning that Russia would not win. “We all know who the aggressor is in this war. Just yesterday, Russian drones attacked and killed 15 people at a railway station in Dnipro. And there are countless examples of you killing innocent civilians throughout this entire war. We all know that you are the aggressor,” Miliband said, according to Sky News. He added that Russian leader Vladimir Putin had expected to win the war quickly but had underestimated Ukraine’s resistance and international support. “Putin thought he would win this war easily. But you will not win this war. Thanks to the courage of the Ukrainian people and the solidarity of the nations represented at this table, you will not win,” Miliband said. He urged Lavrov to acknowledge that Russia could not achieve victory and convey that message to Putin. Following the meeting, EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas said Lavrov had made numerous false and distorted statements but showed no willingness to engage in peace negotiations. “Even if the Russians claim otherwise in words, their actions suggest otherwise. Russia must prove through its actions that it is ready for negotiations,” Kallas told AFP. Asked why she had not taken a joint photo with Lavrov, Kallas replied: “We must not normalize war crimes at this table.”
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OSINT Бджоли reports that the October 21 Su-30SM crash in Russia’s Kaliningrad region involved more than one aircraft. Imagery reportedly shows a second Su-30SM damaged in the same incident. Based on the visible damage, an in-air collision is a possible explanation. #Russia
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🚨 OSINT UPDATE: Russian Convoy Out of Baltiysk Escalates Escort Profile Following up on our initial report, updated tracking confirms a multi-ship Russian naval group transiting west from Baltiysk toward an unconfirmed destination. Key Observations: •Corvette Stoiky (545): Equipped with visible PEROED-M C-UAS anti-drone EW systems on the superstructure, confirming high-alert defensive posture against aerial/surface drone threats.
•Cargo Operations: The general cargo vessel ANASTASIIA (IMO 9349291) shows a shallow draft indicating a light/minimal load. Also identified in the group is the cargo ship Ascalon.
•Logistical Support: Escort and replenishment capabilities are further bolstered by the Russian Altay-class oiler Yelnya, providing extended operational range for the task group.
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Zelensky says Ukrainian deep-strike drones and missiles can now reach Russian targets along a line stretching from Yamal to Western Siberia, and that work is underway to extend that reach even farther. He says Ukraine will scale up deep-strike units based on the capabilities of the SBU, including the Alpha Special Operations Center, as well as military intelligence and other parts of the Defense Forces. Zelensky called long-range strike capability a key guarantee of Ukraine’s security. #Ukraine
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🔥🔥🔥 Aftermath of a Storm Shadow🇬🇧 missile strike, by Ukraine 🇺🇦, on a Russian defense plant in Yelets, Lipetsk Oblast. 👉 The factory is destroyed: More missiles for Ukraine means fewer weapons for Russia's war machine.
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HMS Prince of Wales has returned to sea following logistic stop at remote jetty near 🇳🇴Namsos. She is due to arrive in Oslo next weekend.
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Results of the 29 October strike on Marinovka Air Base in Volgograd. Two Su-34 fighter-bombers (KAB carriers) of the 11th Mixed Aviation Regiment were destroyed in a Ukrainian Navy Long Neptune missile strike. Satellite imagery from 30 October shows wreckage at the aircraft’s regular parking positions near hangars. NASA FIRMS also recorded a fire at the airfield that night. The base is over 400 km from Ukrainian-controlled territory. #OSINT #Ukraine #Marinovka #Su34 #Neptune
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Is Italy About to Join the A400M Club? A document titled "Airbus A400M for Italy" was spotted during recent UK-Italy talks about RAF-ItAF cooperation, adding substance to reports that Rome is considering the European cargo aircraft. Story: theaviationist.com/2026/10/3…
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#ASCOT9751 UK - Royal Air Force Eurofighter Typhoon ZK362 heading for deployment to RAF Akrotiri 🇨🇾
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BlueSky retweeted
BREAKING | 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 The US State Department has approved a possible $2.1 billion sale of 500 PAC-3 MSE Patriot interceptors to Ukraine, with Lockheed Martin as the principal contractor. The purchase would be financed through contributions from Canada, Germany and Norway under the JUMPSTART program, alongside Ukrainian funds backed by an EU loan. No US funds are involved.
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