Steven Kiel retweeted
Every now and again I go back to this passage from Chesterton and it just gets better each time
Urlacher had 20 tackles in the fourth quarter alone!
Un día como hoy pero de 2006, los Osos de Chicago protagonizaron una histórica remontada sin anotar ni un solo touchdown ofensivo al vencer 24-23 a los Arizona Cardinals en el “Monday Night Football”.
El entrenador en jefe de los Cardinals, Dennis Green, protagonizó una célebre frase tras el partido, al declarar : «¡Los Bears son quienes pensábamos que eran! ¡Y los dejamos escapar!».
#DaBears
#VamosOsos
Socialism is impossible. Read that again.
Here is why:
1. Ludwig von Mises and the Calculation Problem; then 2. Friedrich Hayek and the Knowledge Problem.
They are distinct, and it's important to understand the difference.
Mises fired first. In his 1920 paper "Economic Calculation in the Socialist Commonwealth," he drove a stake through the heart of central planning by showing that rational economic calculation is impossible without private ownership of the means of production. Prices are not arbitrary numbers. They are signals generated by actual bids and offers between property owners who face real profit and loss. Strip away private property, and you strip away the bidding process. Strip away the bidding process, and prices become bureaucratic guesses. A Soviet planner deciding how much steel to allocate between rail construction and tractor manufacturing has no genuine price for steel because no one is buying or selling it freely. He is flying blind. The problem is structural, not administrative. Hire smarter planners, give them faster computers; it changes nothing. The information cannot exist without the market process that generates it.
Communists read this and realized Mises was right. They found a roundabout way to keep going. They would simply use prices from Western capitalist countries.
Then Hayek hit them with his 1945 essay "The Use of Knowledge in Society." His target was subtly different. Hayek accepted that prices aggregate information. His contribution was to identify what kind of information markets process: local, dispersed, tacit knowledge that no central authority can collect. A warehouse manager in Düsseldorf knows that his particular supplier is three weeks behind schedule. A farmer in Kansas knows the soil conditions on his specific plot after last month's frost. A textile merchant in Lyon knows which dyes his buyers currently prefer. None of this knowledge is written down anywhere. Much of it the people holding it cannot fully articulate. It lives in habits, relationships, and on-the-ground experience accumulated over years. No survey, no commissar's report, no algorithm extracts it reliably. You cannot copy it from one country to another.
Mises showed that central planners lack the mechanism to generate rational prices. Hayek showed that even if planners somehow had prices, they still could not possess the ground-level knowledge those prices encode. Mises's problem kills socialist calculation at the structural level. Hayek's problem kills it at the epistemological level. The two arguments are complementary, stacked on top of each other like floors of a building.
The Soviet Union ran this entire experiment in full. Central planners in Moscow set over 20 million prices by the late Soviet period. Shortages and surpluses coexisted everywhere. Bread rotted in one city while another city's bread lines stretched around the block. Planners were not uniquely corrupt or stupid. They were operating inside an institutional structure that made rational allocation geometrically impossible, exactly as Mises predicted in 1920 and exactly as Hayek's epistemology explained in 1945.
Every government price control, every production quota, every centralized allocation scheme you live under today repeats this mistake at a smaller scale. The mechanism fails whether the commodity is steel, housing, or healthcare. The scale changes; the logic does not.
Steven Kiel retweeted
on $LQDA there will be no refiling of NDA or stays or any other BS. i've done a PAS to remove an indication in 30 days. this is super easy and straightforward. don't believe the shorts. FDA is not going to make a sponsor refile a whole NDA because of litigation on an indication
I just sent out an email with my thoughts on $LQDA. If you are not on my email list and would like to read it, please sign up at arquitos.com.
Steven Kiel retweeted
This is truly a great man. He has invested more in Ukraine than 185 countries combined.
Meet Howard Buffett, Warren Buffett’s middle son. He is 71 years old. He dropped out of college three times. He drinks Dr Pepper and looks for a McDonald’s wherever he travels.
Since the beginning of the war, his foundation has become the largest private donor to Ukraine: $1.4 billion.
Over four years, he has personally visited Ukraine 27 times.
In April 2022, he saw burned-out agricultural machinery and called the president of John Deere:
“How many combines are available in Europe?”
“Fifteen. All of them were supposed to go to Russia.”
“I’ll take them all.”
Then came all the available New Holland equipment in Europe. Altogether, more than 100 tractors and combines were provided to Ukrainian farmers.
He even tested demining equipment himself - on his own farm in Illinois, detonating explosives beneath rollers. When a Ukrainian deputy minister expressed doubts, Buffett told him:
“Stop counting my tractors. If necessary, I’ll blow up a thousand of them.”
Andriy Stavnitser initially asked him for $1 million for Superhumans. Buffett asked how much was needed to build the entire center.
“$14 million.”
“Okay. And what do you expect in return?”
“Nothing. Build it.”
Today, his support for Superhumans has reached $77 million, and the center has treated more than 1,700 patients.
But his largest area of spending is neither agricultural machinery nor prosthetics.
It is food: 642 million meals.
And that is only part of it:
* 344,000 windows replaced after Russian attacks;
* 9 bridges, 4 power plants, 2,500 generators, and 18 DNA laboratories;
* Much of Bucha rebuilt with his funding.
“I already have more friends in Ukraine than I do at home,” he says.
He celebrates birthdays in Ukraine, comes for Christmas, and even has a Ukrainian godson.
Friends, this is truly a great man - someone who understands that he cannot take all his money with him when he leaves this world.
I simply want to thank him and wish him well.
Whatever else one may say, this is real help from a person who had no personal obligation to Ukraine.
He simply chose to help.
Source: translated from the original text by Oleh Bairak.
Some ideas: xitter.cf/ClarkSquareCap/status/…
Hook up your personal email and use this prompt on Muse, Grokbot, or your favorite personal assistant to find some $$ and/or savings.
---
You are auditing my email for two things: (1) cash savings I can unlock by canceling, downgrading, or switching, and (2) money that's just sitting there — credits, rewards, points, gift cards, unclaimed payouts.
Search my email across these angles (last 12 months unless noted):
A. SUBSCRIPTION AUDIT
- Search: subject:(subscription OR renewal OR "price increase" OR billing OR receipt OR invoice)
- Identify every recurring charge: service name, amount, frequency, next charge date.
- Flag: price increases in the last 12 months, duplicate/overlapping services (two music apps, five streaming services), free trials converting to paid, annual plans that already auto-renewed.
- Verify amounts from transactional mail (receipts, confirmations, account alerts) — never from marketing mail.
B. MONEY SITTING IDLE
- Search: subject:(credit OR "gift card" OR "store credit" OR reward OR "cash back" OR points OR miles OR dividend)
- Search: subject:(expiring OR expire OR "use it or lose it")
- List every balance: where it lives, how much, expiry date. Note anything that expired recently.
- Include: store credits, gift cards, credit card rewards, airline/hotel points, membership dividends (REI, Costco), cashback offers needing activation.
C. BILLS TO SHOP OR CHALLENGE
- Insurance renewals (auto, home/renters, life, umbrella), utilities, phone, internet.
- Flag rate increases vs. the prior term and note upcoming renewal dates.
- Flag billing addresses in cities I no longer live in (stray local taxes/fees).
D. MISSED PAYOUTS
- Search: subject:("class action" OR settlement OR refund OR rebate)
- Flag claim deadlines — especially within 30 days or recently missed.
E. LIVE COUPONS (last 30 days only)
- Search: subject:(coupon OR "% off" OR "promo code") — only ones still valid, with expiry dates.
RULES:
- Rank everything by dollar impact, biggest first. Anything with a deadline within 14 days goes at the very top with the date in bold.
- For each item: what it is, the dollar amount, the deadline, and the single action to take.
- If you can't verify an amount, say so instead of guessing.
- Never paste claim codes, PINs, gift card numbers, or one-time codes into your reply.
- Keep it tight: a ranked list, no essays. Skip anything under ~$5 unless it expires within 7 days.
Learn Austrian Economics in one X post:
1. Humans act. Every choice a person makes traces back to an incentive, a trade-off, a cost weighed against a benefit. Remove the incentive and the action stops. Distort the incentive and the action warps.
Tax income at 90% and watch producers stop producing. Subsidize failure and watch failure multiply. The behavior follows the reward structure, always.
2. Value exists only in the mind of the person choosing. A glass of water is worth nothing to a drowning man and everything to a man dying of thirst. No central authority can calculate this, because it changes with every individual and every circumstance.
Nothing has value in itself, only the degree to which humans choose to value it. Diamonds and even gold only carry value because humans decided they do.
3. Money does not come from a government decree. It emerged spontaneously when traders needed something durable, divisible, and widely accepted to escape the limitations of direct barter. Gold won that competition across centuries and across dozens of independent civilizations because the market, not a ministry, chose it.
Fiat currency is the state hijacking that evolved institution and replacing it with paper backed by nothing but a legal threat. Every central bank on earth operates on this model right now.
4. Wealth does not fall from the sky. A farmer who eats his entire harvest produces nothing next season. The farmer who saves seed, plants it, and specializes in what he grows best accumulates a surplus. That surplus is capital. Capital funds everything that comes after.
Consumption without prior production is just burning down the furniture for warmth. Every welfare state eventually reaches this point.
5. Strip private property rights and production collapses. A farmer will work his own land until midnight. That same farmer, working collective land, stops at noon. The Soviet Union ran this experiment across seventy years and killed tens of millions, proving the point.
When you cannot own the outcome, you do not produce the outcome.
6. Voluntary trade generates wealth from nothing but mutual preference. When you pay twelve dollars for a meal, you value the meal above twelve dollars; the restaurant values twelve dollars above the meal. Both parties walk away wealthier in real terms. No politician, no regulator, no bureaucrat added anything.
Protectionism destroys this. The 2018 US steel tariffs raised steel prices for American manufacturers, killed more jobs in steel-consuming industries than existed in steel production itself, and transferred wealth from productive firms to a protected few.
7. Ludwig von Mises identified inflation as a tax. Every dollar the Federal Reserve creates without corresponding production dilutes every dollar you already hold. The new money flows first to the government and its contractors, who spend it at current prices. By the time it reaches you, prices have already risen.
The US M2 money supply grew from roughly 15 trillion dollars in January 2020 to over 21 trillion by early 2022. Consumer prices followed. Your savings took the loss.
8. Prices carry information. A price spike tells producers to produce more and tells consumers to use less. It coordinates millions of strangers without a single central command. Interfere with that signal and the coordination breaks.
Rent control in New York City is the cleanest example. Cap rents below market and landlords stop maintaining buildings, stop building new ones, and convert units to other uses. The people rent control was supposed to help pay the price through collapsing supply.
9. Interest rates are the price of capital over time. When the Federal Reserve pushed rates to near zero between 2008 and 2022, it told every investor that capital was nearly free. Businesses built projects that only made sense at zero percent. When rates normalized, the projects failed. The 2022 collapse of the US tech sector and the crypto market were not random events. They were the correction of a decade of artificially cheap capital.
The business cycle is not a mystery of capitalism. Central banks manufacture it.
10. Bureaucrats face no profit and loss. A businessman who misallocates capital goes bankrupt. A bureaucrat who misallocates capital writes a report requesting more funding. The feedback loop that disciplines markets simply does not exist inside a government agency.
The US Department of Education has spent over a trillion dollars since 1980. Literacy rates have not improved. No one at the department has been bankrupted by this outcome.
11. Every producer inside a local market holds knowledge that no bureaucrat in a capital city can replicate. A wheat farmer in Kansas tracks soil moisture, futures prices, local equipment costs, his specific buyer relationships, and a hundred other variables simultaneously. That knowledge lives in the price he sets.
Friedrich Hayek called this tacit knowledge in 1945. The Soviet central planners ignored him and spent fifty years proving him correct, producing chronic shortages of goods that private markets coordinate effortlessly. No model, no algorithm, and no committee can compress what millions of independent actors know into a single plan.
12. Every government intervention produces effects you see and effects you don't. You see the road the state builds. You don't see the factory the tax dollars never funded, the job that never existed, the innovation that never happened because capital was extracted at gunpoint and redirected by bureaucrats with no skin in the game.
Take the 2009 Cash for Clunkers program. Congress destroyed 690,000 working cars, handed dealers a short-term spike, and you saw the sales numbers. The used car market was stripped of affordable inventory, pricing working-class buyers out for years afterward.
13. Prices, supply chains, and language itself coordinate millions of strangers without any central planner issuing a single command. That coordination is spontaneous order: complex, functional patterns that emerge from individuals pursuing their own goals under rules they did not collectively design. No committee holds the dispersed local knowledge required to replicate what voluntary exchange produces every second.
Watch how English evolved. No king designed its grammar. Millions of speakers across centuries adopted words and structures that worked, dropped ones that didn't, and produced a language richer than any bureaucrat could have engineered. Central planners who believe they can replicate that process with price controls or production quotas destroy the feedback mechanism that generates the order in the first place.
Thanks for reading this long post! What would you add to this list?
Steven Kiel retweeted
Because…. Capitalism
Just out from the Census Bureau: New evidence shows America's middle class IS shrinking, but it's because more US households are moving into higher income groups over time. The share of High-Income households earning $100,000 or more (in 2025 dollars) has almost tripled since 1967, from 16.5% to 44.7%. The share of Low-Income households earning $35,000 or less has decreased from 29.8% in 1967 to 19.2% last year. The share of Middle-Income households has decreased since 1967 from 53.7% (more than half) to 36.1% (slightly more than one-third). #MovingUp
@charlesmurray
@swinshi
@shellenberger
@BradWilcoxIFS
@kyleopeterson
@WSJopinion @jmhorp @MichaelRStrain @caroljsroth @elonmusk @asymmetricinfo @HMDatMI @HumanProgress
Steven Kiel retweeted
"The supreme trick of mass insanity is that it persuades you that the only abnormal person is the one who refuses to join in the madness of others, the one who tries vainly to resist. We will never understand totalitarianism if we do not understand that people rarely have the strength to be uncommon."
~Eugène Ionesco
Steven Kiel retweeted
this is some of the most disgusting news reporting i have ever seen.
it’s absolutely insane to think you could be forcibly conscripted into jury duty at any time and have your entire life completely excavated by the media if you vote unacceptably.
the unanimous verdict requirement exists precisely so one person can refuse to go along.
if being that person now means risking all of your laundry being aired out to your community that can easily identify you, we’ve essentially converted unanimity to majority rule by intimidation.
EXCLUSIVE: The holdout juror in the Lindsay Clancy trial had a history of domestic violence allegations, the NBC10 Boston Investigators have learned through court documents and interviews with family members. Read the full investigation here. on.nbcboston.com/FL2Wbjr
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
Massachusetts law prohibits anyone “to engage in an act directed at a [juror] that seriously alarms or annoys such person” with a penalty of up to 10 years imprisonment.
mass.gov/info-details/m…
Steven Kiel retweeted
The rubble at the scene of the World Trade Center collapse is filled with the sounds of “PASS devices,” or emergency signals attached to firefighters when they are no longer moving.
The scale of overlapping PASS alarms bespeaks the horrible death toll that must have taken place here.
Yet worse - the alarms can’t be stopped because the bodies haven’t been found.
Steven Kiel retweeted
$ENDI Announces completion of its stock repurchase. Repurchased 256,566 Class A for $4,077,219 or approx. $15.89 per share in a series of private transactions between 9/3-9/9. otcmarkets.com/stock/ENDI/ne…
Steven Kiel retweeted
Interesting comment from $UTHR management yesterday, couldn't help but do a double take.
They said that the company bought back $4B worth shares outstanding and how they're returning capital to the shareholders.
Let's try to unpack this.
From Jan 2024 to June 2026, if you add the ASRs and the s/o reported there, the three completed ASRs purchased 8,733,267 shares, equivalent to ~19% of the roughly 47 million shares outstanding before these programs began.
Wow, what a shareholder friendly team. Excellent capital allocators, Charlie Munger would've loved this am I right?
Hold on! But as of 2Q26, the net decrease in s/o after these repurchases was ~4.2 million shares, or 8.9%.
Why does the math not reconcile you ask? Because in that timeframe they issued 4,369,557 shares.
Half of their buybacks were offset by issuance. Who said SaaS is dead? It's masquerading as a 𝚠̶𝚘̶𝚖̶𝚊̶𝚗̶ Biotech.
The CEO, CFO, COO & General Counsel alone accounted for 80% of all new shares issued in 2025. Their option exercises offset 44% of the shares the company repurchased that year.
These four execs realized $343.5 million of value on option exercises in 2025.
Including all employee issuance, 55% of 2025’s repurchased shares were offset by dilution. Consequently, spending $1 billion on buybacks reduced outstanding shares by just 2.65% during 2025.
What's funnier is shareholders approved a new incentive plan on June 26, 2026, adding 1.5 million shares to the award reserve, ~3.5% of the March share count.
How long are buybacks going to absorb comp based dilution? All while institutions love cheering on these guys.
Steven Kiel retweeted
When a wrong prediction about technological change repeats through history consistently across large groups of people it is a sign a cognitive bias is at play.
Example: automation and the lump of labor fallacy newsletter.pessimistsarchive…
Steven Kiel retweeted
I think the IMF has never praised a country's government as much as they have @JMilei and it's absolutely deserved.
Milei has achieved and will continue to achieve an ECONOMIC MIRACLE in Argentina.
Free markets work.




























