Farrell McManus (@farrellmcmanus) header
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On a Twitter hiatus

FiDi
Joined September 2008
Photo by Farrell McManus (@farrellmcmanus)Photo by Farrell McManus (@farrellmcmanus)Photo by Farrell McManus (@farrellmcmanus)Photo by Farrell McManus (@farrellmcmanus)Photo by Farrell McManus (@farrellmcmanus)Photo by Farrell McManus (@farrellmcmanus)Photo by Farrell McManus (@farrellmcmanus)Photo by Farrell McManus (@farrellmcmanus)Photo by Farrell McManus (@farrellmcmanus)Photo by Farrell McManus (@farrellmcmanus)
Farrell McManus retweeted
Disclaimer: Poll paid for by Jamie Davis. It shows him tied with Julia Letlow in Louisiana Senate race at 45. Letlow has big advantage in name recognition. Most political pros still think she will win. I have asked Letlow campaign to provide me with their latest numbers. I’ll tweet if they do #lalege #lagov nola.com/news/politics/trump…
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Farrell McManus retweeted
Via @steveschale Below is total turnout percentage by party through Wednesday of the last full week, 2022 to 2026 Democrats: 28.7% —> 38.6% NPA: 16.0% —> 22.1% Republicans: 32.6% —> 28.6% And this isn’t a function of a typical Dem problem – our Election Day voters voting earlier than usual, thus “cannibalizing” the Democratic electorate and making the early voting numbers look better. If anything, it’s the GOP this cycle that is cannibalizing its Election Day vote. Roughly 60K more 2022 Election Day Republicans have voted than Election Day Democrats.
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Farrell McManus retweeted
Whoa! Justice Dept says cost of new seawall at East Potomac Park will cost between $150 million and $400 million Judge: Who appropriated money for that? Justice Dept says no one did.
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Farrell McManus retweeted
Today's In Person Early Vote Outlook: Today's In Person Early Vote (Oct 30th only) is currently running at R+12.07 as of 11am. With the way things are trending, it's likely to increase slightly for the 3pm drop. Democrats are expected to eat into the margin again later on this evening as we head into the 7pm drop. My rough estimate is that it runs at R+13.5 at 3pm and comes back down to around R+10.5 by 7pm. Again, just some rough estimates. Yesterday, Democrats overperformed at the 7pm drop, wiping away more than 4 points. We should have a better picture of where things stand at 3pm. jaysonfrascatore.github.io/F…
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Dude hated the coverage.
News: President Trump will now hold rallies in Iowa and Kansas this Sunday.
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I have said all along, Nixon beating Vindman in that primary was the best thing that has happened to FL Dems in a LONG time!
If David Jolly wins the Florida governor’s mansion, he’ll owe a massive debt to Angie Nixon for turning out base voters She has worked far harder with far less than any statewide Florida Democratic candidate I’ve ever seen 1/2
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Farrell McManus retweeted
Thanks to reporting we now have a fuller picture of Amy Acton's mother -- homeless, not getting the care she needs, unstable -- and that means someone from the Ramaswamy team scooped her up, got her TV-ready, shot the ad, and then sent her back to destitution without helping her.
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Farrell McManus retweeted
Talarico: "We are literally going up against the richest man in the world. This election is a battle between the powers that be and the powers that ought to be. The powers that be have chosen their candidate. They have bought and paid for Ken Paxton. But we are standing with the powers that ought to be -- the teachers and nurses, the farmers and ranchers, the grandmother who is facing eviction, the little boy waking up from the lights of the data center ... I want to be a senator for every Texan who can't afford one"
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Farrell McManus retweeted
#MISEN: Abdul El-Sayed and Haley Stevens will make a joint appearance Sunday in Detroit, an El-Sayed spokesperson confirms. First reported by @AP
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Farrell McManus retweeted
The Argument Poll has the generic ballot at D+11%
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Holy shit this is good!
Where I'm from, you don't buy wood from people who break their word, screw people over, and cheat. I wouldn't buy a cord of wood from Susan Collins. And I sure as hell wouldn't vote for her for U.S. Senate.
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Hmmmmm......
President Trump is scrapping a planned trip to Kansas this weekend to campaign for the embattled Republican incumbent Sen. Roger Marshall, opting instead to conduct a flurry of virtual tele-rallies, @Kevinliptakcnn reports.
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Hmmmmmm......
From Matt Towery “Our team has been analyzing the early vote in Florida. It is entirely possible that the race for governor will be very close. While the GOP has a slight advantage in the early vote, there is a large segment of independent voters in the mix…and in our surveys they are breaking more for Democrats this cycle. We will be polling the state later this week (where I don’t think we have ever missed a race), so there is nothing definitive. But don’t be surprised if Florida becomes a focal point on Tuesday night.”
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What polls do we think we will get tomorrow?
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Voting today was not the uptick in voting Republicans needed. The total vote today was less GOP than yesterday; just GOP +5. Republicans hold a 1.3% lead in votes cast, with a 9% turnout gap favoring Democrats. Compare this with 2024 and how red the electorate was then #flapol
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I've said this to multiple reporters and operatives today "Republicans are either gonna have the most apocalyptical red election day in living memory, or they just are not motivated to turn out at all"
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OMG! This is real.
Mansfield/Arlington @tarrantgop Get Out the Vote Rally: “Stand Together. Stand Strong. Keep Tarrant Red.”
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Farrell McManus retweeted
Obama tonight on his Cheesecake Factory line: "They mobilized a whole of government response to that joke. Not to inflation, but to that joke. The White House even called the Secretary of the Treasury. This is the man who is in charge of the economy. The person who's supposed to be figuring out how to make your life more affordable. The guy who's supposed to be figuring out how to lower inflation. And reduce interest rates. They told him he should hold a press conference in front of the Cheesecake Factory."
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